Results in · 1 contest · 5,748 entries

CFB Week 7 FanDuel ownership: Saturday slate

What the field actually played on the CFB Week 7 FanDuel Saturday slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

October 17, 2026 · Updated October 17, 2026 · After The Timeout

8 games · classic

The slate at a glance

Sport
CFB
Week
Week 7
Site
FanDuel
Format
Classic
Games
8
Teams
ARK, BAY, BYU, FSU, HOU, LOU, MIA, ND, OKST, OU, SYR, TCU, UCLA, UK, VAN, WIS
First lock
Sat Oct 17, 7:00 PM ET
Player pool
137 players
Projections
Captured Sat Oct 17, 12:37 PM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,748 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Ours vs the field, 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,748 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Caleb HawkinsOKSTRB24.3%54.4%+30.1
Conner WeigmanHOUQB31.5%50.7%+19.2
Patrick OvermyerHOUWR15.2%33.4%+18.2
Jeremy PayneTCURB8.4%30.3%+21.9
Justin BowickOKSTWR14.6%28.4%+13.8
Wyatt YoungOKSTWR10.1%25.5%+15.4
Chris MarshallARKWR15.8%24.9%+9.1
Malachi ToneyMIAWR29.9%23.9%−6.0
Isaiah Sategna IIIOUWR9.1%23.6%+14.5
Drew MestemakerOKSTQB17.8%21.7%+3.9
Jared CurtisVANQB0.9%19.5%+18.6
Mark Fletcher Jr.MIARB26.6%17.4%−9.2

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Caleb HawkinsOKSTRB24.3%54.4%+30.1
Jeremy PayneTCURB8.4%30.3%+21.9
Conner WeigmanHOUQB31.5%50.7%+19.2
Jared CurtisVANQB0.9%19.5%+18.6
Patrick OvermyerHOUWR15.2%33.4%+18.2
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Umari HatcherSYRWR60.2%16.9%−43.3
Darian MensahMIAQB31.9%15.5%−16.4
CJ CarrNDQB17.2%5.2%−12.0
DJ LagwayBAYQB15.0%5.7%−9.3
Mark Fletcher Jr.MIARB26.6%17.4%−9.2

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,748 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 2 contests behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
$1.2K Sat CFB Spring Game (Only $0.25 to Enter)large-field tournament5,748$0.25-
$15K Sat CFB Wishbone ($3K to 1st)small-field or limited-entry tournament1,984$9-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 137 players, our point projections missed by 5.4 fantasy points on average (5.8 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.64 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
Bear BachmeierBYU17.536.5+19.0
Duce RobinsonFSU7.425.8+18.4
DJ LagwayBAY25.07.5−17.5
Amare ThomasHOU11.228.1+16.9
Malachi ToneyMIA20.536.0+15.5
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
QB167.6+2.6
RB455.8−0.9
WR764.8+0.4

Before the next lock

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