Build your own trend, with the sample size attached
NFL props trends
Every graded prop from our board, 2,715 so far, sliced however you like. Each slice shows how often our side landed, how sure that number is, and what simply taking the market's side did on the same plays.
How to read this
A sportsbook price of -110 needs about 52.4% to break even, so a slice has to clear that before it means anything for betting, and its 95% range has to clear it before it means much at all. Under 50 plays we grey the result out: there is not enough to tell skill from luck.
The bigger trap is looking at lots of slices. Try twenty and one will usually look strong by chance alone. The counter below the result keeps score of how many you have tried this visit, so you can judge any trend you find accordingly.
Matching plays
Box scores from nflverse. Lines are the consensus sportsbook line on our last board before kickoff. Nothing here is betting advice.