College football
Today's slate: our number and the market's.
Every game today with the implied points each side is expected to score, and the players from our board who are in it. 8 of our 293 ranked players are in action.
Nobody from our board is in this one.
- #27Demond Williams QB
- #49Dezmen Roebuck WR
- #123Rashid Williams WR
- #147Decker DeGraaf TE
- #156Jayden Limar RB
- #238Fame Ijeboi RB
- #248Quaid Carr RB
- #251Jordan Clay WR
Nobody from our board is in this one.
Where our number disagrees with the line, do not read it as an edge. Measured on 5,850 games from 2022-2025 with real closing lines: our margin error is 14.25 points against the market's 11.96, and taking our own side of every disagreement would have gone 49.1% against a 52.38% break-even, with no size of disagreement doing better. We also tested blending the two, and the best weight on our number came out at zero. The column is here to show how our rating sees a matchup, not to beat a price.
Novig rows show that exchange's spread, total and moneyline for each game that has not started, refreshed hourly. If Novig has no price for a game, the row says so. A Novig price is what backing a side costs right now per $1 it pays, so 52c is a 52% implied chance before Novig’s margin. The two sides of a market add to a little over 100c. The spread and total shown are the rungs closest to the DraftKings line. Prices from Novig.
Books (consensus) takes each big US sportsbook’s own spread, total and moneyline, removes that book’s margin, and averages the books quoting the most common line, so the percentages are no-vig chances, not payouts. Each book is shown as quoted, with prices, when it lists the game. Prices move between refreshes (every 15 to 30 minutes on game days). Snapshot from 5:30 PM ET. Odds from The Odds API.
Lines and schedule from ESPN, refreshed every few minutes. Player ranks are ours and are season-long best-ball ranks, not a view on today. Separate per-game projections power the college DFS builder. Per-player usage is collected weekly for the members' usage board.
Estimates, not guarantees. Every number here is a model output or a market price, and none of it predicts a result. You must be 21 or older to bet where sports betting is legal. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.