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NFL · Prop consistency

How often each player clears his line

Every prop on this week's board, with how many of the player's recent games went over the line the books are posting now: last 5, last 10, this season, and every game since 2025. Tap a row for his game log.

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PlayerLineHit rate ↓ L5L102026Since 2025 AvgBook

Hit rate counts games over the line. Book is the sportsbook consensus's implied chance of the over (for Anytime TD, of one or more touchdowns). A game a player sat out is not counted.

How to read this

History is not a forecast. A hit rate ignores the matchup, the game script and who is out this week. A rate built on 4 games tells you very little, so every rate shows its count, and players with fewer than 5 games are marked.

The threshold is the real line. Most consistency sheets use round numbers like "200+ yards". We use the line being priced now, so the hit rate and the book's price answer the same question.

Want our projection for each of these props next to the market? That is on NFL Props vs Market for members.