Results in · 1 contest · 5,988 entries
NBA Oct 22 FanDuel ownership: CLE @ PHI Single Game
What the field actually played on the NBA Thu Oct 22 FanDuel CLE @ PHI Single Game, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
1 game · showdown
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- FanDuel
- Format
- Showdown (single game)
- Games
- 1
- Teams
- CLE, PHI
- First lock
- Thu Oct 22, 7:00 PM ET
- Player pool
- 19 players
- Projections
- Captured Thu Oct 22, 6:38 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,988 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel EmbiidPHI | C | 100.0% | 66.6% | −33.4 |
| Tyrese MaxeyPHI | PG | 100.0% | 65.4% | −34.6 |
| Donovan MitchellCLE | SG | 100.0% | 63.9% | −36.1 |
| Jaylen BrownPHI | SF | 61.2% | 62.9% | +1.7 |
| Evan MobleyCLE | PF/C | 38.0% | 59.9% | +21.9 |
| LeBron JamesPHI | PF | 57.9% | 53.3% | −4.6 |
| VJ EdgecombePHI | SG | 3.0% | 47.1% | +44.1 |
| Peyton WatsonCLE | SF/PF | 1.9% | 42.3% | +40.4 |
| Jarrett AllenCLE | C/PF | 3.4% | 35.3% | +31.9 |
| James HardenCLE | PG | 72.7% | 34.2% | −38.5 |
| Jaylon TysonCLE | SF | 0.6% | 21.6% | +21.0 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-PopePHI | SG | 0.1% | 16.1% | +16.0 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ EdgecombePHI | SG | 3.0% | 47.1% | +44.1 |
| Peyton WatsonCLE | SF/PF | 1.9% | 42.3% | +40.4 |
| Jarrett AllenCLE | C/PF | 3.4% | 35.3% | +31.9 |
| Evan MobleyCLE | PF/C | 38.0% | 59.9% | +21.9 |
| Jaylon TysonCLE | SF | 0.6% | 21.6% | +21.0 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James HardenCLE | PG | 72.7% | 34.2% | −38.5 |
| Donovan MitchellCLE | SG | 100.0% | 63.9% | −36.1 |
| Tyrese MaxeyPHI | PG | 100.0% | 65.4% | −34.6 |
| Joel EmbiidPHI | C | 100.0% | 66.6% | −33.4 |
| LeBron JamesPHI | PF | 57.9% | 53.3% | −4.6 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,988 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| $250 Thu NBA Piggy Bank Shot | 5,988 | $0.05 |
| $12K Thu NBA Shot ($3K to 1st) | 1,587 | $9 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 19 players, our point projections missed by 7.4 fantasy points on average (7.2 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.86 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| James HardenCLE | 38.3 | 24.1 | −14.2 |
| Joel EmbiidPHI | 46.5 | 32.9 | −13.6 |
| Anfernee SimonsPHI | 17.9 | 4.6 | −13.3 |
| Donovan MitchellCLE | 39.9 | 52.5 | +12.6 |
| Thomas BryantCLE | 12.0 | 0.0 | −12.0 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 3 | 11.2 | −11.2 |
| C/PF | 1 | 4.5 | +4.5 |
| PF | 3 | 4.6 | +0.7 |
| PF/C | 1 | 7.4 | −7.4 |
| PG | 3 | 7.7 | −1.8 |
| SF | 2 | 3.1 | −1.9 |
| SF/PF | 1 | 7.6 | −7.6 |
| SG | 5 | 8.8 | +2.3 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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