Results in · 1 contest · 1,984 entries
NBA Oct 21 FanDuel ownership: MIN @ MIA Single Game
What the field actually played on the NBA Wed Oct 21 FanDuel MIN @ MIA Single Game, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
1 game · showdown
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- FanDuel
- Format
- Showdown (single game)
- Games
- 1
- Teams
- MIA, MIN
- First lock
- Wed Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET
- Player pool
- 21 players
- Projections
- Captured Wed Oct 21, 5:08 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 small-field or limited-entry tournament contest, 1,984 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA | PF | 100.0% | 84.9% | −15.1 |
| Anthony EdwardsMIN | SG | 100.0% | 69.2% | −30.8 |
| Bam AdebayoMIA | C | 95.8% | 53.8% | −42.0 |
| Jaden McDanielsMIN | PF | 12.6% | 50.4% | +37.8 |
| LaMelo BallMIN | PG | 100.0% | 49.2% | −50.8 |
| Ayo DosunmuMIN | SG | 4.2% | 44.9% | +40.7 |
| Rudy GobertMIN | C | 28.5% | 41.5% | +13.0 |
| Jonathan KumingaMIN | SF | 17.1% | 39.6% | +22.5 |
| Davion MitchellMIA | PG | 6.6% | 33.6% | +27.0 |
| Bobby PortisMIA | C/PF | 7.8% | 32.9% | +25.1 |
| Andrew WigginsMIA | SF | 17.8% | 31.3% | +13.5 |
| Pelle LarssonMIA | SG/SF | 1.0% | 19.2% | +18.2 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo DosunmuMIN | SG | 4.2% | 44.9% | +40.7 |
| Jaden McDanielsMIN | PF | 12.6% | 50.4% | +37.8 |
| Davion MitchellMIA | PG | 6.6% | 33.6% | +27.0 |
| Bobby PortisMIA | C/PF | 7.8% | 32.9% | +25.1 |
| Jonathan KumingaMIN | SF | 17.1% | 39.6% | +22.5 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo BallMIN | PG | 100.0% | 49.2% | −50.8 |
| Bam AdebayoMIA | C | 95.8% | 53.8% | −42.0 |
| Anthony EdwardsMIN | SG | 100.0% | 69.2% | −30.8 |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA | PF | 100.0% | 84.9% | −15.1 |
| Bones HylandMIN | PG | 3.5% | 0.0% | −3.5 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one small-field or limited-entry tournament contest (1,984 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 1 contest behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| $15K Wed NBA Shot ($3K to 1st) | 1,984 | $9 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 21 players, our point projections missed by 7.4 fantasy points on average (7.7 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.78 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony EdwardsMIN | 38.1 | 66.5 | +28.4 |
| Bones HylandMIN | 22.0 | 4.2 | −17.8 |
| Andrew WigginsMIA | 28.2 | 12.9 | −15.3 |
| Klay ThompsonMIA | 23.2 | 9.2 | −14.0 |
| Joan BeringerMIN | 21.2 | 7.7 | −13.5 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 4 | 6.6 | −5.6 |
| C/PF | 1 | 8.3 | −8.3 |
| PF | 4 | 6.3 | +2.0 |
| PG | 3 | 8.5 | −6.9 |
| SF | 3 | 5.9 | −5.5 |
| SG | 5 | 9.8 | +4.2 |
| SG/SF | 1 | 3.8 | +3.8 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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