Results in · 1 contest · 5,748 entries

CFB Week 9 FanDuel ownership: Friday slate

What the field actually played on the CFB Week 9 FanDuel Friday slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

October 30, 2026 · Updated October 30, 2026 · After The Timeout

2 games · classic

The slate at a glance

Sport
CFB
Week
Week 9
Site
FanDuel
Format
Classic
Games
2
Teams
BAY, CHAR, TULN, UCF
First lock
Fri Oct 30, 7:00 PM ET
Player pool
33 players
Projections
Captured Thu Oct 29, 8:07 PM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,748 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Ours vs the field, 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,748 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Gavin FreemanBAYWR100.0%80.7%−19.3
Duke WatsonUCFRB50.4%72.0%+21.6
DJ LagwayBAYQB59.6%69.3%+9.7
Keyone JenkinsUCFQB3.9%62.3%+58.4
Josh DerryUCFWR8.2%58.5%+50.3
Johnnie DanielsTULNRB30.4%55.8%+25.4
Jaden BarnesCHARWR24.8%45.6%+20.8
Conner HarrellCHARQB100.0%31.0%−69.0
Henry RutledgeCHARRB8.6%28.0%+19.4
Destyn HillTULNWR19.6%27.7%+8.1
Trace JohnsonTULNQB6.2%26.8%+20.6
Louis Brown IVBAYWR17.4%23.0%+5.6

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Keyone JenkinsUCFQB3.9%62.3%+58.4
Josh DerryUCFWR8.2%58.5%+50.3
Johnnie DanielsTULNRB30.4%55.8%+25.4
Duke WatsonUCFRB50.4%72.0%+21.6
Maurice TurnerTULN not in our poolRB-21.1%+21.1
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Derrick EleyCHARWR96.8%17.2%−79.6
Dawson PendergrassBAYRB75.1%3.0%−72.1
Conner HarrellCHARQB100.0%31.0%−69.0
Caden KnightenBAYRB23.7%1.7%−22.0
Gavin FreemanBAYWR100.0%80.7%−19.3

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,748 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 2 contests behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
$1.2K Fri CFB Spring Game (Only $0.25 to Enter)large-field tournament5,748$0.25-
$15K Fri CFB Wishbone ($3K to 1st)small-field or limited-entry tournament1,984$9-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 33 players, our point projections missed by 5.4 fantasy points on average (5.5 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.55 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
DJ LagwayBAY11.231.1+19.9
Henry RutledgeCHAR7.122.0+14.9
Johnnie DanielsTULN11.125.8+14.7
Tony LivingstonBAY2.115.5+13.4
Dawson PendergrassBAY11.10.7−10.4
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
QB58.1+3.7
RB106.8+2.6
WR183.9+0.9

Before the next lock

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Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.

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