Results in · 1 contest · 718 entries

CFB Week 7 FanDuel ownership: MSST @ LSU Single Game

What the field actually played on the CFB Week 7 FanDuel MSST @ LSU Single Game, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

October 17, 2026 · Updated October 17, 2026 · After The Timeout

1 game · showdown

The slate at a glance

Sport
CFB
Week
Week 7
Site
FanDuel
Format
Showdown (single game)
Games
1
Teams
LSU, MSST
First lock
Sat Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET
Player pool
18 players
Projections
Captured Sat Oct 17, 10:37 AM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 small-field or limited-entry tournament contest, 718 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Ours vs the field, 1 small-field or limited-entry tournament contest, 718 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Sam LeavittLSUQB62.9%94.3%+31.4
Dilin JonesLSURB78.9%87.6%+8.7
Parker PuckettMSSTQB52.4%52.0%−0.4
Winston Watkins Jr.LSUWR56.1%50.4%−5.7
Anthony Evans IIIMSSTWR63.0%45.3%−17.7
Jackson HarrisLSUWR57.4%43.2%−14.2
Kolin WilsonMSSTRB22.0%37.0%+15.0
Eugene Wilson IIILSUWR33.3%26.5%−6.8
Roman MothershedLSU not in our poolWR-25.0%+25.0
Sanfrisco MageeMSSTWR28.5%22.4%−6.1
Zion RaginsMSSTWR22.0%20.3%−1.7
Marquis JohnsonMSSTWR25.9%20.0%−5.9

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Sam LeavittLSUQB62.9%94.3%+31.4
Roman MothershedLSU not in our poolWR-25.0%+25.0
Kolin WilsonMSSTRB22.0%37.0%+15.0
Zach GraceLSU not in our poolTE-12.9%+12.9
Dilin JonesLSURB78.9%87.6%+8.7
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Harlem BerryLSURB37.6%9.1%−28.5
Anthony Evans IIIMSSTWR63.0%45.3%−17.7
Jackson HarrisLSUWR57.4%43.2%−14.2
Jayce BrownLSUWR11.8%0.0%−11.8
Corey Barber Jr.LSUWR8.9%0.0%−8.9

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one small-field or limited-entry tournament contest (718 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 1 contest behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
$150 Sat CFB Spring Game (Only $0.25 to Enter)small-field or limited-entry tournament718$0.25-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 18 players, our point projections missed by 3.9 fantasy points on average (4.0 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.82 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
Jackson HarrisLSU12.923.5+10.6
Anthony Evans IIIMSST15.77.5−8.2
Winston Watkins Jr.LSU11.54.1−7.4
Harlem BerryLSU6.10.3−5.8
Eugene Wilson IIILSU6.611.6+5.0
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
QB23.7+0.3
RB62.7−0.1
WR104.6−1.1

Before the next lock

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