Results in · 1 contest · 7,185 entries

NBA Oct 20 FanDuel ownership: BOS @ DET Single Game

What the field actually played on the NBA Tue Oct 20 FanDuel BOS @ DET Single Game, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

October 20, 2026 · Updated October 20, 2026 · After The Timeout

1 game · showdown

The slate at a glance

Sport
NBA
Site
FanDuel
Format
Showdown (single game)
Games
1
Teams
BOS, DET
First lock
Tue Oct 20, 3:00 PM ET
Player pool
39 players
Projections
Captured Tue Oct 20, 2:08 PM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 7,185 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Ours vs the field, 1 large-field tournament contest, 7,185 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Jayson TatumBOSPF/SF100.0%73.6%−26.4
Cade CunninghamDETPG100.0%64.3%−35.7
Mitchell RobinsonBOSC0.8%61.3%+60.5
Payton PritchardBOSPG/SG29.9%50.5%+20.6
Paul ReedDETC1.7%49.0%+47.3
Derrick WhiteBOSPG40.9%38.7%−2.2
Jalen DurenDETC95.6%38.1%−57.5
Neemias QuetaBOSC24.1%38.0%+13.9
Ausar ThompsonDETSF/SG29.8%35.7%+5.9
John CollinsDETPF/C14.6%31.3%+16.7
Daniss JenkinsDETPG18.6%19.1%+0.5
Paul GeorgeBOSSF47.4%18.9%−28.5

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Mitchell RobinsonBOSC0.8%61.3%+60.5
Paul ReedDETC1.7%49.0%+47.3
Payton PritchardBOSPG/SG29.9%50.5%+20.6
Jordan WalshBOSSF0.2%17.7%+17.5
John CollinsDETPF/C14.6%31.3%+16.7
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Jalen DurenDETC95.6%38.1%−57.5
Cade CunninghamDETPG100.0%64.3%−35.7
Paul GeorgeBOSSF47.4%18.9%−28.5
Jayson TatumBOSPF/SF100.0%73.6%−26.4
Baylor ScheiermanBOSSG6.1%0.0%−6.1

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (7,185 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 2 contests behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
$300 Tue NBA Piggy Bank Shot (150 Entries Max)large-field tournament7,185$0.05150
$15K Tue NBA Shot ($3K to 1st)small-field or limited-entry tournament1,984$9-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 39 players, our point projections missed by 5.2 fantasy points on average (7.4 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.84 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
Paul GeorgeBOS31.160.5+29.4
Daniss JenkinsDET25.28.9−16.3
Javonte GreenDET8.023.8+15.8
Elijah HarklessDET14.30.0−14.3
Jayson TatumBOS43.432.3−11.1
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
C74.3−0.3
PF33.1−3.1
PF/C21.8−1.8
PF/SF111.1−11.1
PG64.3−3.3
PG/SG14.9−4.9
SF67.3+5.2
SF/SG13.8+3.8
SG115.9−1.2
SG/SF17.5+7.5

Before the next lock

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