Results in · 1 contest · 5,112 entries

NBA Oct 24 DraftKings ownership: MIA @ CHI Showdown

What the field actually played on the NBA Sat Oct 24 DraftKings MIA @ CHI Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026 · After The Timeout

1 game · showdown

The slate at a glance

Sport
NBA
Site
DraftKings
Format
Showdown (single game)
Games
1
Teams
CHA, MIA
First lock
Sat Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET
Player pool
29 players
Projections
Captured Sat Oct 24, 5:07 PM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,112 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.

Ours vs the field, 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,112 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIAPF100.0%92.7%−7.3
Brandon MillerCHASF77.0%63.2%−13.8
Naz ReidCHAPF/C100.0%59.1%−40.9
Bam AdebayoMIAC100.0%55.2%−44.8
Dennis SchroderCHAPG6.5%51.0%+44.5
Grayson AllenCHASG/SF10.6%48.8%+38.1
Davion MitchellMIAPG32.3%32.1%−0.2
Bobby PortisMIAPF/C6.6%31.6%+24.9
Moussa DiabateCHAC37.0%28.0%−9.0
Pelle LarssonMIASG/SF0.7%23.9%+23.2
Andrew WigginsMIASF/PF22.7%23.3%+0.6
Tim Hardaway Jr.MIASG/SF0.7%15.9%+15.2

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Dennis SchroderCHAPG6.5%51.0%+44.5
Grayson AllenCHASG/SF10.6%48.8%+38.1
Bobby PortisMIAPF/C6.6%31.6%+24.9
Pelle LarssonMIASG/SF0.7%23.9%+23.2
Tim Hardaway Jr.MIASG/SF0.7%15.9%+15.2
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Bam AdebayoMIAC100.0%55.2%−44.8
Naz ReidCHAPF/C100.0%59.1%−40.9
Brandon MillerCHASF77.0%63.2%−13.8
Moussa DiabateCHAC37.0%28.0%−9.0
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIAPF100.0%92.7%−7.3

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,112 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 2 contests behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
NBA Showdown $2.1K mini-MAX [150 Entry Max] (MIA @ CHI)large-field tournament5,112$0.50150
NBA Showdown $30K Fadeaway [$10K to 1st] (MIA @ CHI)small-field or limited-entry tournament1,960$18-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 29 players, our point projections missed by 8.5 fantasy points on average (9.7 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.74 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA53.626.5−27.1
Brandon MillerCHA28.951.0+22.1
Dennis SchroderCHA18.338.0+19.7
Pelle LarssonMIA12.331.2+18.9
Royce O'NealeCHA15.11.2−13.8
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
C85.8−4.0
PF215.6−15.6
PF/C27.7+7.7
PG412.3+4.3
PG/SG10.3−0.3
SF213.4+8.7
SF/PF39.7−9.7
SG/SF76.9+3.4

Before the next lock

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