Results in · 1 contest · 2,972 entries
NBA Oct 23 DraftKings ownership: HOU @ SAS Showdown
What the field actually played on the NBA Fri Oct 23 DraftKings HOU @ SAS Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
1 game · showdown
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Showdown (single game)
- Games
- 1
- Teams
- HOU, SA, SAS
- First lock
- Fri Oct 23, 9:30 PM ET
- Player pool
- 20 players
- Projections
- Captured Fri Oct 23, 8:37 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,972 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor WembanyamaSA | C | 100.0% | 81.6% | −18.4 |
| Kevin DurantHOU | SF | 99.7% | 71.9% | −27.7 |
| Dylan HarperSA | PG/SG | 20.0% | 55.8% | +35.8 |
| Fred VanVleetHOU | PG | 10.1% | 53.0% | +42.9 |
| Alperen SengunHOU | PF/C | 100.0% | 52.8% | −47.2 |
| Julian ChampagnieSA | PF | 3.4% | 49.3% | +45.8 |
| Stephon CastleSA | SG | 47.4% | 48.4% | +1.0 |
| Amen ThompsonHOU | PG/SG | 51.3% | 41.2% | −10.1 |
| Marcus SmartHOU | PG/SG | 1.1% | 26.1% | +25.0 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.HOU | PF/C | 28.8% | 24.7% | −4.1 |
| De'Aaron FoxSA | PG | 34.0% | 24.3% | −9.7 |
| Keldon JohnsonSA | SF/PF | 1.2% | 22.4% | +21.2 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian ChampagnieSA | PF | 3.4% | 49.3% | +45.8 |
| Fred VanVleetHOU | PG | 10.1% | 53.0% | +42.9 |
| Dylan HarperSA | PG/SG | 20.0% | 55.8% | +35.8 |
| Marcus SmartHOU | PG/SG | 1.1% | 26.1% | +25.0 |
| Keldon JohnsonSA | SF/PF | 1.2% | 22.4% | +21.2 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen SengunHOU | PF/C | 100.0% | 52.8% | −47.2 |
| Kevin DurantHOU | SF | 99.7% | 71.9% | −27.7 |
| Victor WembanyamaSA | C | 100.0% | 81.6% | −18.4 |
| Amen ThompsonHOU | PG/SG | 51.3% | 41.2% | −10.1 |
| De'Aaron FoxSA | PG | 34.0% | 24.3% | −9.7 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (2,972 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NBA Showdown $2.5K And-One (HOU @ SAS) | 2,972 | $1 |
| NBA Showdown $15K Fadeaway [$5K to 1st] (HOU @ SAS) | 1,176 | $15 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 20 players, our point projections missed by 6.3 fantasy points on average (6.3 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.91 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian ChampagnieSA | 25.6 | 12.5 | −13.1 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.HOU | 31.9 | 20.2 | −11.6 |
| Amen ThompsonHOU | 36.3 | 47.5 | +11.2 |
| Tari EasonHOU | 14.6 | 25.0 | +10.4 |
| Marcus SmartHOU | 19.3 | 10.8 | −8.6 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 4 | 4.5 | −2.1 |
| PF | 1 | 13.1 | −13.1 |
| PF/C | 2 | 9.8 | −1.9 |
| PG | 2 | 3.8 | +3.8 |
| PG/SG | 3 | 8.2 | −0.7 |
| SF | 3 | 4.5 | −4.5 |
| SF/PF | 3 | 6.8 | +0.1 |
| SG | 1 | 3.8 | −3.8 |
| SG/SF | 1 | 5.5 | −5.5 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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