Results in · 1 contest · 2,378 entries
CFB Week 9 DraftKings ownership: Late Night slate
What the field actually played on the CFB Week 9 DraftKings Late Night slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
3 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- CFB
- Week
- Week 9
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 3
- Teams
- BSU, FRES, NIU, ORST, TXST, UNLV
- First lock
- Sat Oct 31, 10:00 PM ET
- Player pool
- 14 players
- Projections
- Captured Sat Oct 31, 8:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan RileyBSU not in our pool | RB | - | 70.1% | +70.1 |
| Jesse LegreeORST not in our pool | WR | - | 59.2% | +59.2 |
| Jackson ArnoldUNLV not in our pool | QB | - | 55.3% | +55.3 |
| Jai'Den ThomasUNLV not in our pool | RB | - | 54.3% | +54.3 |
| Beau SparksTXST | WR | 42.4% | 50.4% | +8.0 |
| Eric OlsenORST not in our pool | WR | - | 49.0% | +49.0 |
| Braden AtkinsonORST not in our pool | QB | - | 41.6% | +41.6 |
| Chris Dawn Jr.TXST | WR | 86.1% | 36.2% | −49.9 |
| Telly Johnson Jr.NIU | RB | 95.0% | 35.8% | −59.2 |
| Rasean JonesBSU not in our pool | WR | - | 30.2% | +30.2 |
| Josiah FreemanFRES not in our pool | WR | - | 27.7% | +27.7 |
| Ezekiel AvitFRES not in our pool | WR | - | 24.4% | +24.4 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan RileyBSU not in our pool | RB | - | 70.1% | +70.1 |
| Jesse LegreeORST not in our pool | WR | - | 59.2% | +59.2 |
| Jackson ArnoldUNLV not in our pool | QB | - | 55.3% | +55.3 |
| Jai'Den ThomasUNLV not in our pool | RB | - | 54.3% | +54.3 |
| Eric OlsenORST not in our pool | WR | - | 49.0% | +49.0 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrance Burgess Jr.TXST | RB | 100.0% | 7.6% | −92.4 |
| Taron DickensNIU | QB | 94.6% | 7.4% | −87.2 |
| DeAree RogersNIU | WR | 100.0% | 15.9% | −84.1 |
| Brad JacksonTXST | QB | 100.0% | 22.5% | −77.5 |
| Telly Johnson Jr.NIU | RB | 95.0% | 35.8% | −59.2 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (2,378 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| CFB $2K First Down (Late Night) | 2,378 | $1 |
| CFB $20K Late Night Snack [$5K to 1st] (Late Night) | 1,568 | $15 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 14 players, our point projections missed by 9.2 fantasy points on average (9.4 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.45 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| George DimopoulosNIU | 3.3 | 28.7 | +25.4 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr.TXST | 33.3 | 12.0 | −21.3 |
| Zechariah SampleTXST | 3.9 | 16.9 | +13.0 |
| Brad JacksonTXST | 32.9 | 43.5 | +10.6 |
| La'Don BryantNIU | 11.8 | 1.8 | −10.0 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 2 | 9.2 | +9.2 |
| RB | 4 | 9.7 | −5.0 |
| WR | 8 | 9.1 | +5.0 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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