Results in · 1 contest · 5,748 entries
NFL Week 5 FanDuel ownership: Late Sun-Mon slate
What the field actually played on the NFL Week 5 FanDuel Late Sun-Mon slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
5 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NFL
- Week
- Week 5
- Site
- FanDuel
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 5
- Teams
- ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, DEN, DET, LAC, LAR, SEA, SF
- First lock
- Sun Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
- Player pool
- 73 players
- Projections
- Captured Sun Oct 11, 1:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,748 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael WilsonARI | WR | 45.6% | 64.5% | +18.9 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | RB | 21.5% | 44.8% | +23.3 |
| Bijan RobinsonATL | RB | 38.7% | 41.4% | +2.7 |
| Atlanta FalconsATL | DST | 41.5% | 37.3% | −4.2 |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET | RB | 23.3% | 37.3% | +14.0 |
| Trey McBrideARI | TE | 11.4% | 36.9% | +25.4 |
| Jacoby BrissettARI | QB | 15.8% | 30.9% | +15.1 |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR | RB | 26.2% | 29.2% | +3.0 |
| Sam LaPortaDET | TE | 23.7% | 24.8% | +1.1 |
| Drake LondonATL | WR | 11.8% | 23.6% | +11.8 |
| Puka NacuaLAR | WR | 14.6% | 22.1% | +7.5 |
| Keon ColemanBUF | WR | 6.4% | 21.7% | +15.3 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBrideARI | TE | 11.4% | 36.9% | +25.4 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | RB | 21.5% | 44.8% | +23.3 |
| Michael WilsonARI | WR | 45.6% | 64.5% | +18.9 |
| Keon ColemanBUF | WR | 6.4% | 21.7% | +15.3 |
| Jacoby BrissettARI | QB | 15.8% | 30.9% | +15.1 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersBAL | WR | 27.1% | 7.6% | −19.5 |
| James Cook IIIBUF | RB | 27.5% | 8.1% | −19.4 |
| Omarion HamptonLAC | RB | 22.2% | 5.2% | −17.0 |
| Ladd McConkeyLAC | WR | 17.6% | 0.9% | −16.8 |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN | WR | 30.8% | 15.0% | −15.8 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,748 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| $1.2K Sun NFL Hail Mary (Only $0.25 to Enter) | 5,748 | $0.25 |
| $2.5K Sun NFL Rush ($500 to 1st) | 744 | $4 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 73 players, our point projections missed by 5.4 fantasy points on average (5.3 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.74 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puka NacuaLAR | 15.2 | 32.2 | +17.0 |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET | 21.5 | 38.2 | +16.7 |
| Mike EvansSF | 10.7 | 25.8 | +15.1 |
| Matthew StaffordLAR | 17.4 | 30.3 | +12.9 |
| Josh AllenBUF | 22.8 | 34.5 | +11.7 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| DST | 10 | 3.2 | +0.4 |
| QB | 10 | 7.5 | +3.3 |
| RB | 18 | 5.4 | +1.1 |
| TE | 11 | 4.9 | +0.2 |
| WR | 24 | 5.6 | +1.1 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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