Results in · 1 contest · 2,378 entries

NFL Week 8 DraftKings ownership: NE @ MIA Showdown

What the field actually played on the NFL Week 8 DraftKings NE @ MIA Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

November 1, 2026 · Updated November 1, 2026 · After The Timeout

1 game · showdown

The slate at a glance

Sport
NFL
Week
Week 8
Site
DraftKings
Format
Showdown (single game)
Games
1
Teams
MIA, NE
First lock
Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Player pool
29 players
Projections
Captured Sun Nov 1, 3:08 PM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.

Ours vs the field, 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Drake MayeNEQB100.0%91.8%−8.2
Rhamondre StevensonNERB74.0%81.7%+7.7
Hunter HenryNETE39.7%57.2%+17.5
Malik WillisMIAQB60.4%51.4%−9.0
Ollie Gordon IIMIARB44.4%50.6%+6.2
DeMario DouglasNEWR40.2%38.1%−2.1
Malik WashingtonMIAWR31.9%29.0%−2.9
Caleb DouglasMIAWR22.2%27.5%+5.3
PatriotsNEDST30.8%24.9%−6.0
Efton Chism IIINEWR18.1%24.3%+6.2
Eli RaridonNETE10.6%21.9%+11.3
Greg DulcichMIATE22.2%21.7%−0.6

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Hunter HenryNETE39.7%57.2%+17.5
Eli RaridonNETE10.6%21.9%+11.3
Corey KinerNERB7.5%18.0%+10.5
Rhamondre StevensonNERB74.0%81.7%+7.7
Ollie Gordon IIMIARB44.4%50.6%+6.2
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Zane GonzalezMIAK23.4%8.6%−14.7
Andy BorregalesNEK31.4%19.3%−12.1
DolphinsMIADST15.3%4.3%−11.0
Malik WillisMIAQB60.4%51.4%−9.0
Drake MayeNEQB100.0%91.8%−8.2

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (2,378 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 2 contests behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
NFL Showdown $2K First Down [20 Entry Max] (NE @ MIA)large-field tournament2,378$120
NFL Showdown $15K Showdown Special [$5K to 1st] (NE @ MIA)small-field or limited-entry tournament1,470$12-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 29 players, our point projections missed by 2.5 fantasy points on average (3.1 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.81 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA1.313.6+12.3
Kyle WilliamsNE3.511.3+7.8
DeMario DouglasNE9.916.6+6.7
Malik WashingtonMIA8.515.0+6.5
Chris BellMIA2.96.9+4.0
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
DST20.4−0.4
K22.2−0.3
QB22.6+2.6
RB71.5−1.1
TE71.2−0.8
WR94.9+4.5

Before the next lock

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