Results in · 1 contest · 5,945 entries
NFL Week 8 DraftKings ownership: Thu-Mon slate
What the field actually played on the NFL Week 8 DraftKings Thu-Mon slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
14 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NFL
- Week
- Week 8
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 14
- Teams
- 28 teams
- First lock
- Thu Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET
- Player pool
- 221 players
- Projections
- Captured Thu Oct 29, 7:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,945 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh JacobsGB | RB | 25.6% | 30.0% | +4.5 |
| Zay FlowersBAL | WR | 28.8% | 22.8% | −6.1 |
| Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ | WR | 3.6% | 21.3% | +17.7 |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE | RB | 18.3% | 21.1% | +2.8 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | WR | 7.0% | 20.3% | +13.4 |
| BroncosDEN | DST | 13.7% | 17.8% | +4.1 |
| Bhayshul TutenJAX | RB | 11.2% | 17.4% | +6.2 |
| CeeDee LambDAL | WR | 13.0% | 16.0% | +3.1 |
| Dak PrescottDAL | QB | 9.4% | 15.9% | +6.5 |
| Chuba HubbardCAR | RB | 32.0% | 15.4% | −16.6 |
| Hunter HenryNE | TE | 15.4% | 15.1% | −0.2 |
| Chase BrownCIN | RB | 8.4% | 14.6% | +6.2 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ | WR | 3.6% | 21.3% | +17.7 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | WR | 7.0% | 20.3% | +13.4 |
| Braelon AllenNYJ | RB | 0.7% | 11.8% | +11.2 |
| Makai LemonPHI | WR | 0.6% | 10.0% | +9.4 |
| Jonah ColemanDEN | RB | 0.1% | 8.4% | +8.3 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | RB | 28.2% | 8.9% | −19.3 |
| Chuba HubbardCAR | RB | 32.0% | 15.4% | −16.6 |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA | RB | 16.0% | 4.8% | −11.2 |
| DK MetcalfPIT | WR | 16.3% | 5.1% | −11.2 |
| Jeremiyah LoveARI | RB | 13.0% | 1.9% | −11.1 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,945 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NFL $500 Dime Package [Just $0.10!] (Thu-Mon) | 5,945 | $0.10 |
| NFL $20K Thu-Mon Special [$5K to 1st] (Thu-Mon) | 1,568 | $15 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 221 players, our point projections missed by 6.2 fantasy points on average (6.0 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.46 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler AllgeierARI | 5.1 | 39.1 | +34.0 |
| Tee HigginsCIN | 15.1 | 40.5 | +25.4 |
| Adonai MitchellNYJ | 5.1 | 30.2 | +25.1 |
| Emmett JohnsonKC | 4.0 | 28.3 | +24.3 |
| Joe BurrowCIN | 22.6 | 45.5 | +22.9 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| DST | 28 | 4.2 | +0.8 |
| QB | 28 | 7.4 | −0.1 |
| RB | 53 | 7.4 | +2.2 |
| TE | 34 | 5.5 | +0.9 |
| WR | 78 | 6.0 | +0.6 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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