Results in · 1 contest · 8,823 entries
NFL Week 7 DraftKings ownership: Primetime slate
What the field actually played on the NFL Week 7 DraftKings Primetime slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
2 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NFL
- Week
- Week 7
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 2
- Teams
- DAL, KC, PHI, SEA
- First lock
- Sun Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET
- Player pool
- 28 players
- Projections
- Captured Sun Oct 25, 7:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 8,823 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC | RB | 52.5% | 68.3% | +15.7 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | WR | 39.8% | 56.6% | +16.8 |
| Dallas GoedertPHI | TE | 73.6% | 56.0% | −17.6 |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | RB | 73.8% | 52.5% | −21.2 |
| CeeDee LambDAL | WR | 67.8% | 49.8% | −18.0 |
| Xavier WorthyKC | WR | 89.9% | 45.7% | −44.2 |
| George PickensDAL | WR | 36.6% | 40.4% | +3.8 |
| Makai LemonPHI | WR | 61.8% | 39.3% | −22.5 |
| ChiefsKC | DST | 14.3% | 38.2% | +23.9 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | RB | 67.0% | 37.3% | −29.7 |
| Dak PrescottDAL | QB | 5.2% | 35.8% | +30.6 |
| AJ BarnerSEA | TE | 16.0% | 35.5% | +19.5 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius CooperPHI not in our pool | WR | - | 32.3% | +32.3 |
| Dak PrescottDAL | QB | 5.2% | 35.8% | +30.6 |
| ChiefsKC | DST | 14.3% | 38.2% | +23.9 |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL | WR | 9.3% | 29.1% | +19.8 |
| AJ BarnerSEA | TE | 16.0% | 35.5% | +19.5 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner McKeePHI | QB | 77.3% | 24.2% | −53.1 |
| Xavier WorthyKC | WR | 89.9% | 45.7% | −44.2 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | RB | 67.0% | 37.3% | −29.7 |
| Makai LemonPHI | WR | 61.8% | 39.3% | −22.5 |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | RB | 73.8% | 52.5% | −21.2 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (8,823 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 1 contest behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NFL $60K Post Pattern [$20K to 1st] (Primetime) | 8,823 | $8 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 28 players, our point projections missed by 5.1 fantasy points on average (5.0 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.70 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC | 22.3 | 9.7 | −12.6 |
| Makai LemonPHI | 7.1 | 19.7 | +12.6 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | 22.5 | 34.3 | +11.8 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | 11.4 | 21.5 | +10.1 |
| Patrick MahomesKC | 16.7 | 7.0 | −9.7 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| DST | 4 | 4.7 | −3.4 |
| QB | 4 | 4.0 | −1.6 |
| RB | 7 | 5.9 | +2.1 |
| TE | 4 | 3.4 | −2.4 |
| WR | 9 | 6.0 | +2.5 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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