Results in · 1 contest · 2,378 entries
NFL Week 7 DraftKings ownership: CIN @ BAL Showdown
What the field actually played on the NFL Week 7 DraftKings CIN @ BAL Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
1 game · showdown
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NFL
- Week
- Week 7
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Showdown (single game)
- Games
- 1
- Teams
- BAL, CIN
- First lock
- Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
- Player pool
- 30 players
- Projections
- Captured Sun Oct 25, 12:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowCIN | QB | 65.2% | 78.6% | +13.4 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | WR | 44.2% | 66.8% | +22.6 |
| Derrick HenryBAL | RB | 47.0% | 49.8% | +2.8 |
| Tyler HuntleyBAL | QB | 46.6% | 44.4% | −2.2 |
| Zay FlowersBAL | WR | 49.7% | 43.7% | −6.0 |
| Tee HigginsCIN | WR | 37.0% | 41.5% | +4.5 |
| Chase BrownCIN | RB | 49.0% | 34.9% | −14.1 |
| Evan McPhersonCIN | K | 33.3% | 31.5% | −1.8 |
| Samaje PerineCIN | RB | 20.3% | 28.6% | +8.3 |
| BengalsCIN | DST | 32.5% | 23.6% | −8.9 |
| Tyler LoopBAL | K | 30.3% | 21.2% | −9.0 |
| Mark AndrewsBAL | TE | 25.3% | 17.2% | −8.1 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | WR | 44.2% | 66.8% | +22.6 |
| Joe BurrowCIN | QB | 65.2% | 78.6% | +13.4 |
| Josh CuevasBAL | TE | 1.4% | 11.5% | +10.1 |
| Matt HibnerBAL | TE | 0.1% | 10.1% | +10.0 |
| Samaje PerineCIN | RB | 20.3% | 28.6% | +8.3 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownCIN | RB | 49.0% | 34.9% | −14.1 |
| RavensBAL | DST | 21.6% | 8.5% | −13.2 |
| Mike GesickiCIN | TE | 27.7% | 16.6% | −11.1 |
| Rashod BatemanBAL | WR | 18.4% | 8.1% | −10.3 |
| Tyler LoopBAL | K | 30.3% | 21.2% | −9.0 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (2,378 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NFL Showdown $2K First Down [20 Entry Max] (CIN @ BAL) | 2,378 | $1 |
| NFL Showdown $15K Showdown Special [$5K to 1st] (CIN @ BAL) | 1,764 | $10 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 30 players, our point projections missed by 3.9 fantasy points on average (4.6 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.76 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tee HigginsCIN | 13.0 | 29.8 | +16.8 |
| Zay FlowersBAL | 16.3 | 30.7 | +14.4 |
| Derrick HenryBAL | 17.9 | 5.9 | −12.0 |
| Drew SampleCIN | 1.1 | 10.4 | +9.3 |
| RavensBAL | 5.4 | -3.0 | −8.4 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| DST | 2 | 5.8 | −2.5 |
| K | 2 | 1.9 | −1.9 |
| QB | 2 | 4.8 | +4.8 |
| RB | 6 | 4.1 | −1.7 |
| TE | 8 | 3.0 | +1.9 |
| WR | 10 | 4.3 | +3.1 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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