Results in · 1 contest · 5,945 entries
NFL Week 7 DraftKings ownership: Thu-Mon slate
What the field actually played on the NFL Week 7 DraftKings Thu-Mon slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
14 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NFL
- Week
- Week 7
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 14
- Teams
- 28 teams
- First lock
- Thu Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET
- Player pool
- 211 players
- Projections
- Captured Thu Oct 22, 7:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,945 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreySF | RB | 6.7% | 28.7% | +21.9 |
| Matthew GoldenGB | WR | 25.7% | 26.6% | +0.9 |
| Germie BernardPIT | WR | 10.5% | 25.4% | +14.9 |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET | RB | 7.7% | 24.5% | +16.9 |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | RB | 19.9% | 20.0% | +0.1 |
| George KittleSF | TE | 14.6% | 19.6% | +5.0 |
| Jordan LoveGB | QB | 6.3% | 18.8% | +12.5 |
| A.J. BrownNE | WR | 13.9% | 16.6% | +2.7 |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR | RB | 12.3% | 15.8% | +3.5 |
| DeMario DouglasNE | WR | 6.4% | 13.9% | +7.5 |
| Tyler HigbeeLAR | TE | 0.3% | 13.6% | +13.3 |
| Jalen CokerCAR | WR | 3.5% | 13.2% | +9.7 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreySF | RB | 6.7% | 28.7% | +21.9 |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET | RB | 7.7% | 24.5% | +16.9 |
| Germie BernardPIT | WR | 10.5% | 25.4% | +14.9 |
| Tyler HigbeeLAR | TE | 0.3% | 13.6% | +13.3 |
| Jordan LoveGB | QB | 6.3% | 18.8% | +12.5 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN | RB | 62.6% | 8.4% | −54.3 |
| Tucker KraftGB | TE | 39.0% | 11.1% | −27.9 |
| D'Andre SwiftCHI | RB | 39.4% | 11.8% | −27.6 |
| Mike EvansSF | WR | 27.4% | 0.3% | −27.1 |
| Tanner McKeePHI | QB | 28.9% | 3.1% | −25.8 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,945 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 3 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NFL $500 Dime Package [Just $0.10!] (Thu-Mon) | 5,945 | $0.10 |
| NFL $30K Thu-Mon Special [$10K to 1st] (Thu-Mon) | 1,960 | $18 |
| NFL $2 Double Up (Thu-Mon) | 574 | $2 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 211 players, our point projections missed by 5.7 fantasy points on average (5.4 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.54 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tony PollardTEN | 10.0 | 39.5 | +29.5 |
| BuccaneersTB | 5.9 | 27.0 | +21.1 |
| Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ | 5.5 | 25.5 | +20.0 |
| KC Concepcion Jr.CLE | 7.0 | 26.2 | +19.2 |
| Mason TaylorNYJ | 6.6 | 25.2 | +18.6 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| DST | 28 | 4.6 | −1.8 |
| QB | 28 | 5.7 | +0.1 |
| RB | 47 | 6.5 | +2.4 |
| TE | 34 | 4.9 | +0.4 |
| WR | 74 | 6.0 | −0.2 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
Open the DFS builderNFL on DraftKings