Results in · 1 contest · 2,378 entries

NFL Week 6 DraftKings ownership: CAR @ PHI Showdown

What the field actually played on the NFL Week 6 DraftKings CAR @ PHI Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.

October 18, 2026 · Updated October 18, 2026 · After The Timeout

1 game · showdown

The slate at a glance

Sport
NFL
Week
Week 6
Site
DraftKings
Format
Showdown (single game)
Games
1
Teams
CAR, PHI
First lock
Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Player pool
29 players
Projections
Captured Sun Oct 18, 12:07 PM ET, before lock

Top 12 by real ownership

The chalk: who the field played most

Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.

Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.

Ours vs the field, 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Bryce YoungCARQB75.2%84.8%+9.5
Chuba HubbardCARRB58.5%77.0%+18.5
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR69.3%62.6%−6.7
Tanner McKeePHIQB45.6%57.1%+11.5
Jalen CokerCARWR39.4%51.1%+11.7
Dallas GoedertPHITE36.2%46.5%+10.4
Dameon PiercePHIRB28.6%39.8%+11.2
DeVonta SmithPHIWR64.1%31.4%−32.7
PanthersCARDST27.6%30.7%+3.1
Ryan FitzgeraldCARK28.1%19.3%−8.8
Darren WallerCARTE12.2%18.6%+6.4
Jake ElliottPHIK22.2%14.0%−8.1

10 players where we were furthest off

Our biggest misses

We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.

The field played him more than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
Chuba HubbardCARRB58.5%77.0%+18.5
Jalen CokerCARWR39.4%51.1%+11.7
Tanner McKeePHIQB45.6%57.1%+11.5
Dameon PiercePHIRB28.6%39.8%+11.2
Dallas GoedertPHITE36.2%46.5%+10.4
The field played him less than we projected
PlayerPosOursFieldGap
DeVonta SmithPHIWR64.1%31.4%−32.7
Dontayvion WicksPHIWR29.2%13.6%−15.5
Tommy TrembleCARTE17.6%5.5%−12.0
Ryan FitzgeraldCARK28.1%19.3%−8.8
EaglesPHIDST18.8%10.1%−8.7

1 contest · not enough to grade

Why there is no grade

We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (2,378 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.

The 2 contests behind these numbers
ContestGroupEntriesFeeMax entries
NFL Showdown $2K First Down [20 Entry Max] (CAR @ PHI)large-field tournament2,378$120
NFL Showdown $15K Showdown Special [$5K to 1st] (CAR @ PHI)small-field or limited-entry tournament1,764$10-
How our fantasy point projections held up

Across 29 players, our point projections missed by 2.8 fantasy points on average (3.4 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.84 against what they actually scored.

Biggest point misses
PlayerOursActualGap
Tommy TrembleCAR5.320.6+15.3
Chuba HubbardCAR13.922.1+8.2
Dameon PiercePHI8.615.0+6.4
DeVonta SmithPHI14.820.5+5.7
Jake ElliottPHI7.02.0−5.0
By position
PosPlayersAvg missBias
DST23.0−3.0
K23.4−1.6
QB22.3+2.3
RB53.0+2.8
TE73.3+1.9
WR112.2+0.9

Before the next lock

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