Results in · 1 contest · 3,567 entries
NFL Week 5 DraftKings ownership: Sun-Mon slate
What the field actually played on the NFL Week 5 DraftKings Sun-Mon slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
13 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NFL
- Week
- Week 5
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 13
- Teams
- 26 teams
- First lock
- Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
- Player pool
- 190 players
- Projections
- Captured Sun Oct 11, 12:37 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 3,567 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael WilsonARI | WR | 16.0% | 37.0% | +21.0 |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR | RB | 24.7% | 34.9% | +10.2 |
| Puka NacuaLAR | WR | 24.1% | 33.5% | +9.4 |
| D'Andre SwiftCHI | RB | 25.9% | 32.7% | +6.8 |
| Trey McBrideARI | TE | 4.5% | 27.6% | +23.1 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | WR | 14.1% | 20.8% | +6.7 |
| Jacoby BrissettARI | QB | 4.5% | 20.7% | +16.2 |
| Roman WilsonPIT | WR | 5.0% | 20.5% | +15.4 |
| Matthew StaffordLAR | QB | 10.2% | 19.6% | +9.5 |
| Bijan RobinsonATL | RB | 23.4% | 19.0% | −4.4 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | RB | 3.5% | 17.9% | +14.5 |
| Tre' HarrisLAC | WR | 3.7% | 16.7% | +13.0 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBrideARI | TE | 4.5% | 27.6% | +23.1 |
| Michael WilsonARI | WR | 16.0% | 37.0% | +21.0 |
| Jacoby BrissettARI | QB | 4.5% | 20.7% | +16.2 |
| Roman WilsonPIT | WR | 5.0% | 20.5% | +15.4 |
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | RB | 3.5% | 17.9% | +14.5 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | WR | 21.6% | 5.4% | −16.2 |
| Derrick HenryBAL | RB | 16.9% | 5.1% | −11.9 |
| Chris OlaveNO | WR | 13.2% | 3.0% | −10.2 |
| Malik WashingtonMIA | WR | 15.3% | 6.3% | −9.0 |
| James Cook IIIBUF | RB | 13.0% | 6.2% | −6.9 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (3,567 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NFL $750 Quarter Jukebox [Just $0.25!] (Sun-Mon) | 3,567 | $0.25 |
| NFL $15K Sun-Mon Special [$5K to 1st] (Sun-Mon) | 882 | $20 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 190 players, our point projections missed by 6.0 fantasy points on average (6.0 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.63 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | 16.1 | 39.8 | +23.7 |
| Drake MayeNE | 18.8 | 42.5 | +23.7 |
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | 10.0 | 32.4 | +22.4 |
| Christian WatsonGB | 15.1 | 35.3 | +20.2 |
| Puka NacuaLAR | 20.8 | 40.7 | +19.9 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| DST | 26 | 4.2 | +0.2 |
| QB | 26 | 8.0 | +3.3 |
| RB | 45 | 6.0 | +1.3 |
| TE | 30 | 6.2 | +0.9 |
| WR | 63 | 5.8 | +0.9 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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