Results in · 1 contest · 79,270 entries
NBA Oct 28 DraftKings ownership: Main slate
What the field actually played on the NBA Wed Oct 28 DraftKings Main slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
9 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 9
- Teams
- 21 teams
- First lock
- Wed Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET
- Player pool
- 238 players
- Projections
- Captured Wed Oct 28, 6:38 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 79,270 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo DosunmuMIN | SG/SF | 7.8% | 42.2% | +34.5 |
| Tari EasonHOU | SF/PF | 7.6% | 39.4% | +31.8 |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA | PF | 7.1% | 31.7% | +24.6 |
| Andrew NembhardIND | PG/SG | 10.8% | 30.9% | +20.2 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.MIN | SG/SF | 5.7% | 29.6% | +24.0 |
| Clint CapelaHOU | C | 0.2% | 29.3% | +29.1 |
| LaMelo BallMIN | PG | 5.0% | 29.2% | +24.2 |
| Amen ThompsonHOU | PG/SG | 13.5% | 27.2% | +13.7 |
| Kevin DurantHOU | SF | 10.1% | 23.9% | +13.8 |
| CJ McCollumATL | PG/SG | 10.1% | 19.6% | +9.5 |
| Paul ReedDET | C | 5.5% | 19.6% | +14.1 |
| Jonathan KumingaMIN | PF | 6.5% | 18.6% | +12.1 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo DosunmuMIN | SG/SF | 7.8% | 42.2% | +34.5 |
| Tari EasonHOU | SF/PF | 7.6% | 39.4% | +31.8 |
| Clint CapelaHOU | C | 0.2% | 29.3% | +29.1 |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA | PF | 7.1% | 31.7% | +24.6 |
| LaMelo BallMIN | PG | 5.0% | 29.2% | +24.2 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ EdgecombePHI | PG/SG | 11.4% | 2.8% | −8.6 |
| Brandin PodziemskiGS | PG/SG | 11.7% | 3.3% | −8.4 |
| Duncan RobinsonDET | SG/SF | 10.3% | 2.1% | −8.3 |
| Josh HartNY | SG/SF | 12.8% | 4.9% | −7.9 |
| Trey Murphy IIINO | SG/SF | 9.3% | 1.6% | −7.7 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (79,270 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 4 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NBA $333K Zone Special [$100K to 1st] | 79,270 | $5 |
| NBA $2 Double Up | 1,149 | $2 |
| NBA $400K Alley Oop [$100K to 1st] | 800 | $555 |
| NBA Single Entry $10 Double Up | 344 | $10 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 238 players, our point projections missed by 6.8 fantasy points on average (7.1 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.81 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen CurryGS | 34.5 | 69.0 | +34.5 |
| Kingston FlemingsATL | 12.2 | 41.2 | +29.1 |
| Jordan ClarksonNY | 1.9 | 28.2 | +26.4 |
| Jalen SmithCHI | 22.0 | 47.2 | +25.2 |
| Clint CapelaHOU | 9.0 | 32.0 | +23.0 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 45 | 7.7 | −2.5 |
| PF | 24 | 6.1 | −2.0 |
| PF/C | 19 | 6.6 | −2.7 |
| PG | 34 | 8.6 | +0.5 |
| PG/SF | 1 | 0.5 | −0.5 |
| PG/SG | 27 | 5.3 | +0.1 |
| SF | 18 | 7.1 | −0.2 |
| SF/PF | 25 | 5.8 | −0.4 |
| SG | 15 | 5.0 | −0.2 |
| SG/SF | 30 | 7.5 | +2.0 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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