Results in · 1 contest · 2,378 entries
NBA Oct 27 DraftKings ownership: BKN @ BOS Showdown
What the field actually played on the NBA Tue Oct 27 DraftKings BKN @ BOS Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
1 game · showdown
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Showdown (single game)
- Games
- 1
- Teams
- BKN, BOS
- First lock
- Tue Oct 27, 7:30 PM ET
- Player pool
- 28 players
- Projections
- Captured Tue Oct 27, 7:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 2,378 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumBOS | SF/PF | 100.0% | 90.2% | −9.8 |
| Paul GeorgeBOS | SG/SF | 96.2% | 63.4% | −32.9 |
| Julius RandleBKN | PF | 100.0% | 56.2% | −43.8 |
| Michael Porter Jr.BKN | SF | 100.0% | 54.3% | −45.7 |
| Neemias QuetaBOS | C | 4.1% | 50.2% | +46.1 |
| Payton PritchardBOS | PG/SG | 13.6% | 41.3% | +27.7 |
| Mitchell RobinsonBOS | C | 2.6% | 35.2% | +32.7 |
| Derrick WhiteBOS | PG | 49.6% | 32.6% | −17.1 |
| Day'Ron SharpeBKN | C | 19.5% | 25.5% | +6.0 |
| Moritz WagnerBKN | C | 0.7% | 20.3% | +19.6 |
| Nolan TraoreBKN | PG | 0.9% | 18.1% | +17.1 |
| Egor DeminBKN | PG/SG | 7.7% | 16.9% | +9.2 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neemias QuetaBOS | C | 4.1% | 50.2% | +46.1 |
| Mitchell RobinsonBOS | C | 2.6% | 35.2% | +32.7 |
| Payton PritchardBOS | PG/SG | 13.6% | 41.3% | +27.7 |
| Moritz WagnerBKN | C | 0.7% | 20.3% | +19.6 |
| Nolan TraoreBKN | PG | 0.9% | 18.1% | +17.1 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr.BKN | SF | 100.0% | 54.3% | −45.7 |
| Julius RandleBKN | PF | 100.0% | 56.2% | −43.8 |
| Paul GeorgeBOS | SG/SF | 96.2% | 63.4% | −32.9 |
| Derrick WhiteBOS | PG | 49.6% | 32.6% | −17.1 |
| Jayson TatumBOS | SF/PF | 100.0% | 90.2% | −9.8 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (2,378 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NBA Showdown $500 Quarter Jukebox [Just $0.25!] (BKN @ BOS) | 2,378 | $0.25 |
| NBA Showdown $10K Pull Up Jumper [$2K to 1st] (BKN @ BOS) | 1,176 | $10 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 28 players, our point projections missed by 7.6 fantasy points on average (7.9 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.87 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr.BKN | 33.3 | 52.0 | +18.7 |
| Jayson TatumBOS | 45.7 | 61.2 | +15.5 |
| Moritz WagnerBKN | 14.7 | 29.5 | +14.8 |
| Jordan WalshBOS | 13.1 | 27.5 | +14.4 |
| Mikel Brown Jr.BKN | 17.7 | 31.8 | +14.1 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 7 | 7.4 | +0.4 |
| PF | 2 | 9.9 | +9.9 |
| PF/C | 2 | 6.2 | −6.2 |
| PG | 3 | 8.0 | +1.2 |
| PG/SG | 3 | 10.7 | −1.3 |
| SF | 3 | 10.1 | +4.1 |
| SF/PF | 2 | 8.4 | +7.2 |
| SG/SF | 6 | 4.4 | −1.8 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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