Results in · 1 contest · 5,112 entries
NBA Oct 25 DraftKings ownership: Early slate
What the field actually played on the NBA Sun Oct 25 DraftKings Early slate, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
2 games · classic
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Classic
- Games
- 2
- Teams
- BKN, IND, LAL, UTA, UTAH
- First lock
- Sun Oct 25, 5:00 PM ET
- Player pool
- 53 players
- Projections
- Captured Sun Oct 25, 9:37 AM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 5,112 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius RandleBKN | PF | 47.8% | 59.2% | +11.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr.BKN | SF | 48.1% | 51.6% | +3.5 |
| Luka DoncicLAL | PG | 33.5% | 50.1% | +16.6 |
| Day'Ron SharpeBKN | C | 18.2% | 47.7% | +29.5 |
| Austin ReavesLAL | PG/SG | 50.8% | 45.5% | −5.4 |
| Ziaire WilliamsLAL | SG/SF | 35.8% | 45.1% | +9.3 |
| Walker KesslerLAL | C | 35.7% | 39.4% | +3.7 |
| Egor DeminBKN | PG/SG | 25.8% | 36.4% | +10.6 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH | PF/C | 50.5% | 32.5% | −18.0 |
| Quentin GrimesLAL | SG/SF | 22.9% | 32.1% | +9.2 |
| Tyrese HaliburtonIND | PG | 38.1% | 30.4% | −7.8 |
| Andrew NembhardIND | PG/SG | 45.5% | 30.1% | −15.3 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day'Ron SharpeBKN | C | 18.2% | 47.7% | +29.5 |
| Luka DoncicLAL | PG | 33.5% | 50.1% | +16.6 |
| Obi ToppinIND | PF | 14.0% | 27.9% | +13.9 |
| Julius RandleBKN | PF | 47.8% | 59.2% | +11.5 |
| Jaxson HayesUTAH | C | 10.5% | 21.3% | +10.8 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri MarkkanenUTAH | SF/PF | 42.6% | 17.6% | −25.0 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH | PF/C | 50.5% | 32.5% | −18.0 |
| Andrew NembhardIND | PG/SG | 45.5% | 30.1% | −15.3 |
| Collin SextonLAL | PG/SG | 18.5% | 3.7% | −14.8 |
| Ben SarafBKN | PG | 14.9% | 0.2% | −14.7 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (5,112 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NBA $2.1K mini-MAX [150 Entry Max] (Early) | 5,112 | $0.50 |
| NBA $15K Fadeaway [$5K to 1st] (Early) | 1,176 | $15 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 53 players, our point projections missed by 9.0 fantasy points on average (9.5 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.68 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicLAL | 54.1 | 84.5 | +30.4 |
| Josh MinottBKN | 3.4 | 33.5 | +30.1 |
| Walker KesslerLAL | 39.6 | 12.2 | −27.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr.BKN | 40.1 | 13.5 | −26.6 |
| Ivica ZubacIND | 31.2 | 5.8 | −25.4 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 12 | 10.2 | −3.5 |
| PF | 4 | 5.9 | −0.3 |
| PF/C | 5 | 8.4 | −6.5 |
| PG | 6 | 15.6 | +10.0 |
| PG/SG | 6 | 7.7 | −2.8 |
| SF | 5 | 12.2 | +0.8 |
| SF/PF | 5 | 4.5 | −0.4 |
| SG | 1 | 7.2 | −7.2 |
| SG/SF | 9 | 6.2 | +1.1 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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