Results in · 1 contest · 3,567 entries
NBA Oct 21 DraftKings ownership: DAL @ HOU Showdown
What the field actually played on the NBA Wed Oct 21 DraftKings DAL @ HOU Showdown, next to what we projected before lock. Our misses are shown in full.
1 game · showdown
The slate at a glance
- Sport
- NBA
- Site
- DraftKings
- Format
- Showdown (single game)
- Games
- 1
- Teams
- DAL, HOU
- First lock
- Wed Oct 21, 8:30 PM ET
- Player pool
- 20 players
- Projections
- Captured Wed Oct 21, 8:07 PM ET, before lock
Top 12 by real ownership
The chalk: who the field played most
Field ownership is the share of lineups that used each player, from 1 large-field tournament contest, 3,567 entries. Gap is the field minus our projection: green means the field played him more than we expected.
Some field numbers read low. Part of the real ownership here comes from a results source that counts each player in one roster slot only, so a player the field used in more than one slot can show less ownership than he really had.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin DurantHOU | SF | 100.0% | 72.1% | −27.9 |
| Alperen SengunHOU | PF/C | 100.0% | 70.5% | −29.5 |
| Kyrie IrvingDAL | PG | 0.0% | 62.0% | +62.0 |
| Amen ThompsonHOU | PG/SG | 100.0% | 54.5% | −45.5 |
| Cooper FlaggDAL | PG/SF | 100.0% | 52.9% | −47.1 |
| PJ WashingtonDAL | PF | 17.4% | 39.5% | +22.2 |
| Fred VanVleetHOU | PG | 0.0% | 36.8% | +36.8 |
| Naji MarshallDAL | SF | 4.6% | 34.9% | +30.3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.HOU | PF/C | 27.5% | 28.1% | +0.6 |
| Max ChristieDAL | SG | 2.0% | 24.3% | +22.3 |
| Tari EasonHOU | SF/PF | 2.3% | 22.6% | +20.3 |
| Daniel GaffordDAL | C | 36.8% | 21.6% | −15.2 |
10 players where we were furthest off
Our biggest misses
We publish these on purpose. The players the field played far more than we expected, and the ones it passed on.
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie IrvingDAL | PG | 0.0% | 62.0% | +62.0 |
| Fred VanVleetHOU | PG | 0.0% | 36.8% | +36.8 |
| Naji MarshallDAL | SF | 4.6% | 34.9% | +30.3 |
| Max ChristieDAL | SG | 2.0% | 24.3% | +22.3 |
| PJ WashingtonDAL | PF | 17.4% | 39.5% | +22.2 |
| Player | Pos | Ours | Field | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper FlaggDAL | PG/SF | 100.0% | 52.9% | −47.1 |
| Amen ThompsonHOU | PG/SG | 100.0% | 54.5% | −45.5 |
| Alperen SengunHOU | PF/C | 100.0% | 70.5% | −29.5 |
| Kevin DurantHOU | SF | 100.0% | 72.1% | −27.9 |
| Daniel GaffordDAL | C | 36.8% | 21.6% | −15.2 |
1 contest · not enough to grade
Why there is no grade
We grade a contest type once it has at least 2 contests behind it. This slate has results from one large-field tournament contest (3,567 entries), so the tables above show that contest, and we do not put a grade on it.
The 2 contests behind these numbers
| Contest | Entries | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| NBA Showdown $750 Quarter Jukebox [Just $0.25!] (DAL @ HOU) | 3,567 | $0.25 |
| NBA Showdown $10K Pull Up Jumper [$2K to 1st] (DAL @ HOU) | 1,176 | $10 |
How our fantasy point projections held up
Across 20 players, our point projections missed by 9.8 fantasy points on average (9.8 on players who scored), with a correlation of 0.61 against what they actually scored.
| Player | Ours | Actual | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleetHOU | 0.6 | 34.0 | +33.4 |
| Kyrie IrvingDAL | 0.6 | 23.5 | +22.9 |
| Daniel GaffordDAL | 32.3 | 12.8 | −19.5 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.HOU | 27.0 | 43.2 | +16.2 |
| Tari EasonHOU | 16.2 | 5.2 | −10.9 |
| Pos | Players | Avg miss | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | 3 | 10.5 | −10.5 |
| PF | 2 | 9.5 | +1.4 |
| PF/C | 2 | 8.8 | +8.8 |
| PG | 2 | 28.1 | +28.1 |
| PG/SF | 1 | 10.3 | +10.3 |
| PG/SG | 3 | 7.2 | +7.2 |
| SF | 2 | 7.2 | +7.2 |
| SF/PF | 1 | 10.9 | −10.9 |
| SG | 2 | 6.6 | −6.6 |
| SG/SF | 2 | 0.8 | −0.8 |
Before the next lock
Get projected ownership for the next slate
Members get projected ownership and points for every player on every slate we cover, lineups tested in contest simulations, and this grade on each one afterwards.
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