CFB · Moneyline record · 2026
Every moneyline pick, graded. Losses included.
Each week our model picks a side in every college football game. Here is how the current model's picks did, re-run on the games available before each kickoff, against DraftKings' closing odds, and the win rate each price needed to break even.
Narrow the record
Pick a conference, a team or ranked games. Every total, split and week below recounts to match, and the link in your address bar keeps the view.
Either team in the game
Our pick or the opponent
Top 25
Ranked means the poll in effect that week, before the game: AP Top 25, or the Coaches Poll for a team the AP did not rank.
Showing all 534 picks.
The bottom line
404-130, and +11.17 units
Winning 75.7% sounds great. Most of these picks were favorites, though, and favorites have to win a lot just to break even. At these prices that bar was 75%. So the honest summary is: close to even, and not yet enough games to call it more than that.
404-130Wins and losses, every pick
75.7%How often our pick won
75%How often it needed to win to break even at DraftKings' prices
+2.1%Return per 1-unit bet, give or take 3 points of noise
Where it held up and where it didn't
The picks that went against DraftKings lost
Split the same picks by how they lined up with the market. Every row is a flat 1-unit bet on each pick at DraftKings' closing price.
| Which picks | Picks | W-L | Won | Needed | Units | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every pick | 534 | 404-130 | 75.7% | 75% | +11.17 | +2.1% ±3 |
| Our pick was also the DraftKings favorite | 462 | 374-88 | 81% | 80.1% | +6.67 | +1.4% ±2.5 |
| Our pick was the DraftKings underdog | 72 | 30-42 | 41.7% | 42.2% | +4.50 | +6.3% ±15.8 |
| We gave our pick a higher win chance than DraftKings did | 268 | 181-87 | 67.5% | 66.6% | +10.71 | +4.0% ±5.3 |
Week by week
How each week went
The same flat 1-unit bets, one week at a time. Return is left out for any row under 30 picks, where a single result moves it too far.
| Week | Picks | W-L | Won | Needed | Units | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 59 | 52-7 | 88.1% | 85.8% | +1.13 | +1.9% |
| Week 2 | 69 | 59-10 | 85.5% | 81.7% | +4.18 | +6.1% |
| Week 3 | 58 | 50-8 | 86.2% | 79.6% | +5.42 | +9.3% |
| Week 4 | 64 | 49-15 | 76.6% | 76.3% | −2.14 | −3.3% |
| Week 5 | 57 | 41-16 | 71.9% | 71.1% | +2.11 | +3.7% |
| Week 6 | 56 | 39-17 | 69.6% | 67.5% | +5.91 | +10.6% |
| Week 7 | 59 | 39-20 | 66.1% | 70.1% | −1.90 | −3.2% |
| Week 8 | 56 | 33-23 | 58.9% | 69.9% | −8.71 | −15.6% |
| Week 9 | 56 | 42-14 | 75% | 71% | +5.19 | +9.3% |
Every pick
The full list
A number before a team is its poll rank that week. Odds is DraftKings' closing moneyline on our pick. Needed is the win rate that price needs to break even. Book and Ours are the win chances DraftKings (vig removed) and our model gave that team. Result shows the final score, our pick's points first.
No picks match these filters.
| Wk | Our pick | Odds | Needed | Book | Ours | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia State vs North Carolina A&T · Sep 4 | -4000 | 97.6% | 94.3% | 94.8% | Won 59–10 | +0.03 |
| 1 | #7Miami at Stanford · Sep 4 | -4000 | 97.6% | 94.3% | 88.9% | Won 45–6 | +0.03 |
| 1 | Michigan State vs Toledo · Sep 4 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 53.2% | Won 30–20 | +0.25 |
| 1 | San José State at Eastern Michigan · Sep 4 | -105 | 51.2% | 48.9% | 51.6% | Won 27–21 | +0.95 |
| 1 | #14USC vs Fresno State · Sep 4 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 87.9% | Won 39–0 | +0.05 |
| 1 | Air Force vs Duquesne · Sep 5 | -4000 | 97.6% | 94.3% | 91% | Won 34–0 | +0.03 |
| 1 | #13Alabama vs East Carolina · Sep 5 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 92.8% | Won 48–10 | +0.02 |
| 1 | App State vs Maine · Sep 5 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 76.1% | Won 55–3 | +0.07 |
| 1 | Arizona vs Northern Arizona · Sep 5 | -8000 | 98.8% | 95.8% | 92.7% | Won 35–7 | +0.01 |
| 1 | Auburn vs Baylor · Sep 5 | -258 | 72.1% | 69.1% | 59.2% | Won 17–16 | +0.39 |
| 1 | California vs UCLA · Sep 5 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 59.3% | Lost 24–45 | −1.00 |
| 1 | Charlotte vs The Citadel · Sep 5 | -1650 | 94.3% | 90.8% | 76.9% | Lost 41–43 | −1.00 |
| 1 | Cincinnati vs Boston College · Sep 5 | -285 | 74% | 71% | 75.5% | Won 34–15 | +0.35 |
| 1 | Duke vs Tulane · Sep 5 | -380 | 79.2% | 76% | 60.3% | Won 17–3 | +0.26 |
| 1 | Florida vs Florida Atlantic · Sep 5 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 92.8% | Won 66–21 | +0.04 |
| 1 | Georgia Southern vs Charleston Southern · Sep 5 | -5000 | 98% | 94.9% | 91.9% | Won 31–0 | +0.02 |
| 1 | #23Houston vs Oregon State · Sep 5 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 77% | Won 33–20 | +0.07 |
| 1 | #22Iowa vs Northern Illinois · Sep 5 | -10000 | 99% | 96.8% | 95.7% | Won 40–0 | +0.01 |
| 1 | Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State · Sep 5 | -9000 | 98.9% | 96.3% | 98.2% | Won 38–10 | +0.01 |
| 1 | Jacksonville State vs Eastern Kentucky · Sep 5 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 84.7% | Won 49–7 | +0.05 |
| 1 | James Madison vs Liberty · Sep 5 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 89.5% | Won 20–13 | +0.44 |
| 1 | Kentucky vs Youngstown State · Sep 5 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 87.8% | Won 45–13 | +0.05 |
| 1 | #11LSU vs #23 Clemson · Sep 5 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 60.8% | Won 51–10 | +0.24 |
| 1 | Louisiana vs Lamar · Sep 5 | -1200 | 92.3% | 88.7% | 84.7% | Won 38–7 | +0.08 |
| 1 | Memphis vs Arkansas State · Sep 5 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 90% | Won 42–24 | +0.25 |
| 1 | #16Michigan vs Western Michigan · Sep 5 | -8000 | 98.8% | 95.8% | 95.6% | Won 13–12 | +0.01 |
| 1 | Middle Tennessee vs Murray State · Sep 5 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 89% | Won 38–14 | +0.06 |
| 1 | Mississippi State vs UL Monroe · Sep 5 | -4000 | 97.6% | 94.3% | 94.7% | Won 62–13 | +0.03 |
| 1 | Navy vs Towson · Sep 5 | -100000 | 99.9% | 98.1% | 93.1% | Won 42–15 | +0.00 |
| 1 | Nebraska vs Ohio · Sep 5 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 75.6% | Won 49–21 | +0.05 |
| 1 | New Mexico vs Central Michigan · Sep 5 | -470 | 82.5% | 79.1% | 73.4% | Won 38–7 | +0.21 |
| 1 | New Mexico State vs Mercyhurst · Sep 5 | -8000 | 98.8% | 95.8% | 84.4% | Won 51–14 | +0.01 |
| 1 | Oklahoma State at Tulsa · Sep 5 | -520 | 83.9% | 80.4% | 60.9% | Lost 10–24 | −1.00 |
| 1 | #2Oregon vs Boise State · Sep 5 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 92.1% | Won 34–27 | +0.04 |
| 1 | #18Penn State vs Marshall · Sep 5 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 94.9% | Won 45–0 | +0.05 |
| 1 | Pittsburgh vs Miami (OH) · Sep 5 | -850 | 89.5% | 85.8% | 82.2% | Won 59–14 | +0.12 |
| 1 | Rice vs Houston Christian · Sep 5 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 87.7% | Won 31–3 | +0.04 |
| 1 | South Alabama vs SE Louisiana · Sep 5 | -575 | 85.2% | 81.7% | 77% | Won 39–14 | +0.17 |
| 1 | South Carolina vs Kent State · Sep 5 | -50000 | 99.8% | 97.6% | 98.8% | Won 57–0 | +0.00 |
| 1 | South Dakota State at Northwestern · Sep 5 | +400 | 20% | 19.2% | 54.2% | Lost 18–34 | −1.00 |
| 1 | South Florida vs Florida International · Sep 5 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 89.9% | Won 19–9 | +0.15 |
| 1 | Southern Miss vs Alcorn State · Sep 5 | -1600 | 94.1% | 90.4% | 86.2% | Won 49–3 | +0.06 |
| 1 | Syracuse vs New Hampshire · Sep 5 | -100000 | 99.9% | 98.1% | 83.4% | Won 66–3 | +0.00 |
| 1 | Tarleton State at Bowling Green · Sep 5 | +105 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 61.5% | Won 20–13 | +1.05 |
| 1 | Temple vs Rhode Island · Sep 5 | -675 | 87.1% | 83.7% | 58.8% | Won 38–14 | +0.15 |
| 1 | #5Texas vs Texas State · Sep 5 | -8000 | 98.8% | 95.8% | 94.4% | Won 59–7 | +0.01 |
| 1 | Troy vs Sam Houston · Sep 5 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 83.1% | Won 24–21 | +0.13 |
| 1 | UConn vs Lafayette · Sep 5 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 85.2% | Won 56–7 | +0.06 |
| 1 | UNLV at Hawai'i · Sep 5 | -125 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 64.6% | Won 21–6 | +0.80 |
| 1 | UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley · Sep 5 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 75.9% | Won 45–16 | +0.02 |
| 1 | Utah State vs Idaho State · Sep 5 | -675 | 87.1% | 83.7% | 83.4% | Lost 17–29 | −1.00 |
| 1 | Vanderbilt vs Austin Peay · Sep 5 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 92.5% | Won 28–9 | +0.02 |
| 1 | West Virginia vs Coastal Carolina · Sep 5 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 82% | Won 31–24 | +0.06 |
| 1 | Western Kentucky at Nevada · Sep 5 | -112 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 63.4% | Lost 14–49 | −1.00 |
| 1 | Wyoming at Colorado State · Sep 5 | +110 | 47.6% | 45.7% | 50.4% | Lost 13–35 | −1.00 |
| 1 | #4Notre Dame vs Wisconsin · Sep 6 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 90.7% | Won 41–13 | +0.06 |
| 1 | #9Ole Miss vs #24 Louisville · Sep 6 | -245 | 71% | 68.1% | 69.8% | Won 41–38 | +0.41 |
| 1 | #17Washington vs Washington State · Sep 6 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 83.3% | Won 24–10 | +0.04 |
| 1 | #19SMU at Florida State · Sep 7 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 54.6% | Won 27–24 | +0.65 |
| 2 | Boston College vs Rutgers · Sep 11 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 56.5% | Won 28–21 | +0.68 |
| 2 | #23Missouri at Kansas · Sep 11 | -198 | 66.4% | 63.7% | 52.4% | Won 38–21 | +0.51 |
| 2 | NC State vs Richmond · Sep 11 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 93.9% | Won 73–0 | +0.02 |
| 2 | Akron vs Robert Morris · Sep 12 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 85.7% | Won 45–10 | +0.04 |
| 2 | #12Alabama at Kentucky · Sep 12 | -380 | 79.2% | 76% | 77.1% | Won 45–17 | +0.26 |
| 2 | Arkansas State vs West Georgia · Sep 12 | -10000 | 99% | 96.8% | 80.2% | Won 52–7 | +0.01 |
| 2 | Army vs South Florida · Sep 12 | -166 | 62.4% | 60% | 59.9% | Lost 24–28 | −1.00 |
| 2 | Auburn vs Southern Miss · Sep 12 | -9000 | 98.9% | 96.3% | 94.9% | Won 43–8 | +0.01 |
| 2 | #15BYU vs Arizona · Sep 12 | -258 | 72.1% | 69.1% | 71.8% | Won 28–17 | +0.39 |
| 2 | Ball State vs Stony Brook · Sep 12 | -600 | 85.7% | 82.2% | 72.1% | Won 41–17 | +0.17 |
| 2 | Boise State vs Memphis · Sep 12 | -360 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 65.4% | Won 38–20 | +0.28 |
| 2 | Central Michigan vs Colgate · Sep 12 | -1600 | 94.1% | 90.4% | 84.2% | Won 13–10 | +0.06 |
| 2 | Clemson vs Georgia Southern · Sep 12 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 92.7% | Won 22–7 | +0.07 |
| 2 | Coastal Carolina vs Fordham · Sep 12 | -100000 | 99.9% | 98.1% | 93.9% | Won 45–7 | +0.00 |
| 2 | Colorado vs Weber State · Sep 12 | -8000 | 98.8% | 95.8% | 91.3% | Won 52–21 | +0.01 |
| 2 | Colorado State vs Southern Utah · Sep 12 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 62.6% | Won 58–24 | +0.07 |
| 2 | East Carolina vs App State · Sep 12 | -250 | 71.4% | 68.5% | 83.8% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 2 | Florida International vs Buffalo · Sep 12 | -345 | 77.5% | 74.4% | 62.4% | Won 33–20 | +0.29 |
| 2 | Fresno State vs Sacramento State · Sep 12 | -950 | 90.5% | 86.8% | 78.8% | Won 49–3 | +0.11 |
| 2 | Hawai'i vs New Mexico State · Sep 12 | -340 | 77.3% | 74.1% | 70.6% | Won 29–19 | +0.29 |
| 2 | Illinois vs Duke · Sep 12 | -250 | 71.4% | 68.5% | 62.6% | Lost 27–31 | −1.00 |
| 2 | Illinois State at Northern Illinois · Sep 12 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 53.4% | Won 28–24 | +0.68 |
| 2 | #21Iowa vs Iowa State · Sep 12 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 68.2% | Won 16–13 | +0.15 |
| 2 | Kansas State vs Washington State · Sep 12 | -1000 | 90.9% | 87.2% | 80.6% | Won 34–7 | +0.10 |
| 2 | Kennesaw State vs Georgia State · Sep 12 | -325 | 76.5% | 73.4% | 65.8% | Lost 17–31 | −1.00 |
| 2 | Kent State vs Wofford · Sep 12 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 50.3% | Won 36–15 | +0.22 |
| 2 | #8LSU vs Louisiana Tech · Sep 12 | -20000 | 99.5% | 97.3% | 93.5% | Won 45–14 | +0.01 |
| 2 | Liberty vs Gardner-Webb · Sep 12 | -3200 | 97% | 93.6% | 88.9% | Won 24–23 | +0.03 |
| 2 | Marshall vs Middle Tennessee · Sep 12 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 83.8% | Won 28–26 | +0.22 |
| 2 | Maryland at UConn · Sep 12 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 55.8% | Won 38–14 | +0.22 |
| 2 | Massachusetts vs Sacred Heart · Sep 12 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 66.8% | Won 37–10 | +0.04 |
| 2 | Miami (OH) vs Holy Cross · Sep 12 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 86.7% | Won 45–7 | +0.02 |
| 2 | #24Michigan vs #11 Oklahoma · Sep 12 | +190 | 34.5% | 33.1% | 61.3% | Won 17–10 | +1.90 |
| 2 | Michigan State vs Eastern Michigan · Sep 12 | -850 | 89.5% | 85.8% | 88.4% | Won 35–7 | +0.12 |
| 2 | Minnesota vs Mississippi State · Sep 12 | -110 | 52.4% | 50% | 61% | Lost 13–38 | −1.00 |
| 2 | Missouri State vs Lindenwood · Sep 12 | -900 | 90% | 86.3% | 85.6% | Won 48–14 | +0.11 |
| 2 | Montana State at Nevada · Sep 12 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 77.7% | Won 20–7 | +0.46 |
| 2 | Navy at Florida Atlantic · Sep 12 | -205 | 67.2% | 64.5% | 70.1% | Lost 30–38 | −1.00 |
| 2 | Nebraska vs Bowling Green · Sep 12 | -9000 | 98.9% | 96.3% | 90.5% | Won 56–7 | +0.01 |
| 2 | North Carolina vs East Tennessee State · Sep 12 | -100000 | 99.9% | 98.1% | 93.2% | Won 35–3 | +0.00 |
| 2 | North Dakota State at Air Force · Sep 12 | -122 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 71.6% | Won 38–32 | +0.82 |
| 2 | North Texas vs UNLV · Sep 12 | +124 | 44.6% | 42.8% | 63% | Won 44–6 | +1.24 |
| 2 | Ohio vs Jacksonville State · Sep 12 | -125 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 62.5% | Won 29–27 | +0.80 |
| 2 | #1Ohio State at #4 Texas · Sep 12 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 59.3% | Lost 23–24 | −1.00 |
| 2 | #6Oregon at Oklahoma State · Sep 12 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 94.1% | Lost 31–39 | −1.00 |
| 2 | #16Penn State at Temple · Sep 12 | -3600 | 97.3% | 94% | 95.5% | Won 27–9 | +0.03 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh vs UCF · Sep 12 | -298 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 67.9% | Won 12–7 | +0.34 |
| 2 | #17SMU vs UC Davis · Sep 12 | -3200 | 97% | 93.6% | 93.8% | Won 56–10 | +0.03 |
| 2 | Sam Houston vs Tulsa · Sep 12 | +360 | 21.7% | 20.9% | 55% | Lost 17–23 | −1.00 |
| 2 | San José State vs Cal Poly · Sep 12 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 87.9% | Won 30–20 | +0.05 |
| 2 | Syracuse vs California · Sep 12 | -198 | 66.4% | 63.7% | 61.7% | Lost 18–21 | −1.00 |
| 2 | #18Tennessee at Georgia Tech · Sep 12 | -485 | 82.9% | 79.6% | 69.5% | Won 45–24 | +0.21 |
| 2 | #10Texas A&M vs Arizona State · Sep 12 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 81.2% | Won 48–20 | +0.13 |
| 2 | #13Texas Tech at Oregon State · Sep 12 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 84.2% | Won 35–24 | +0.04 |
| 2 | Toledo vs Central Connecticut · Sep 12 | -50000 | 99.8% | 97.6% | 98.1% | Won 63–10 | +0.00 |
| 2 | Troy vs Alabama State · Sep 12 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 88.9% | Won 34–17 | +0.05 |
| 2 | Tulane vs South Alabama · Sep 12 | -360 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 81.5% | Won 28–24 | +0.28 |
| 2 | UAB vs UL Monroe · Sep 12 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 77.1% | Won 26–20 | +0.27 |
| 2 | UCLA vs San Diego State · Sep 12 | -535 | 84.2% | 80.8% | 73.4% | Won 28–10 | +0.19 |
| 2 | #14USC vs Louisiana · Sep 12 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 94.9% | Won 49–30 | +0.02 |
| 2 | UTEP vs Texas Southern · Sep 12 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 90.7% | Won 51–10 | +0.02 |
| 2 | UTSA at Texas State · Sep 12 | +102 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 54.5% | Won 31–26 | +1.02 |
| 2 | #20Utah vs Arkansas · Sep 12 | -625 | 86.2% | 82.7% | 84.8% | Won 43–10 | +0.16 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt vs Delaware · Sep 12 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 93.2% | Won 35–26 | +0.07 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion · Sep 12 | -950 | 90.5% | 86.8% | 68.7% | Won 44–21 | +0.11 |
| 2 | Wake Forest at Purdue · Sep 12 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 56.7% | Won 38–36 | +0.70 |
| 2 | #19Washington vs Utah State · Sep 12 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 93.9% | Won 16–14 | +0.02 |
| 2 | Western Michigan vs Monmouth · Sep 12 | -5000 | 98% | 94.9% | 82.9% | Won 49–14 | +0.02 |
| 2 | Wyoming vs Northern Colorado · Sep 12 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 91.7% | Won 21–13 | +0.06 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh vs Syracuse · Sep 17 | -425 | 81% | 77.7% | 80.8% | Won 27–13 | +0.24 |
| 3 | #5Miami at Wake Forest · Sep 18 | -1650 | 94.3% | 90.8% | 80.3% | Won 33–20 | +0.06 |
| 3 | #13Texas Tech vs #22 Houston · Sep 18 | -310 | 75.6% | 72.6% | 82.9% | Won 28–26 | +0.32 |
| 3 | #10Alabama vs Florida State · Sep 19 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 89.8% | Won 50–36 | +0.07 |
| 3 | App State vs Charlotte · Sep 19 | -1000 | 90.9% | 87.2% | 82.9% | Won 26–21 | +0.10 |
| 3 | Arizona vs Northern Illinois · Sep 19 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 93.6% | Won 42–17 | +0.02 |
| 3 | Arizona State at Kansas · Sep 19 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 54.3% | Won 24–17 | +0.46 |
| 3 | Auburn vs Florida · Sep 19 | +114 | 46.7% | 44.9% | 58.6% | Lost 39–44 | −1.00 |
| 3 | #11BYU at Colorado State · Sep 19 | -950 | 90.5% | 86.8% | 87.5% | Won 41–23 | +0.11 |
| 3 | Baylor vs Louisiana Tech · Sep 19 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 85.8% | Won 36–19 | +0.07 |
| 3 | Boise State vs South Dakota · Sep 19 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 85.7% | Won 38–24 | +0.04 |
| 3 | Central Michigan vs Wyoming · Sep 19 | -108 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 50.2% | Won 24–10 | +0.93 |
| 3 | Cincinnati vs Miami (OH) · Sep 19 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 84.9% | Won 35–31 | +0.15 |
| 3 | Clemson vs North Carolina · Sep 19 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 79% | Won 28–20 | +0.65 |
| 3 | Delaware vs Coastal Carolina · Sep 19 | -205 | 67.2% | 64.5% | 58.4% | Won 22–14 | +0.49 |
| 3 | Duke vs Stanford · Sep 19 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 87.8% | Won 35–7 | +0.27 |
| 3 | Florida Atlantic vs Florida International · Sep 19 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 63.5% | Won 16–10 | +0.44 |
| 3 | Fresno State at San José State · Sep 19 | -198 | 66.4% | 63.7% | 60.2% | Won 26–10 | +0.51 |
| 3 | #2Georgia at Arkansas · Sep 19 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 82.3% | Won 45–17 | +0.04 |
| 3 | Iowa State vs Bowling Green · Sep 19 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 96% | Won 55–7 | +0.04 |
| 3 | Jacksonville State vs Georgia Southern · Sep 19 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 68.6% | Won 31–27 | +0.57 |
| 3 | James Madison at San Diego State · Sep 19 | +110 | 47.6% | 45.7% | 71.2% | Won 26–13 | +1.10 |
| 3 | Kansas State vs Tulane · Sep 19 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 80.2% | Won 31–20 | +0.07 |
| 3 | Liberty vs Ball State · Sep 19 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 83.8% | Won 51–15 | +0.15 |
| 3 | Louisiana vs UAB · Sep 19 | -278 | 73.5% | 70.5% | 76.9% | Won 21–14 | +0.36 |
| 3 | #23Louisville vs #16 SMU · Sep 19 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 58.8% | Won 41–31 | +0.70 |
| 3 | Marshall at Missouri State · Sep 19 | -192 | 65.8% | 63.1% | 52.2% | Won 30–24 | +0.52 |
| 3 | Maryland vs Virginia Tech · Sep 19 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 63.7% | Lost 26–35 | −1.00 |
| 3 | Massachusetts vs Stonehill · Sep 19 | -20000 | 99.5% | 97.3% | 85.4% | Won 36–14 | +0.01 |
| 3 | Memphis vs UT Martin · Sep 19 | -50000 | 99.8% | 97.6% | 94.9% | Won 45–21 | +0.00 |
| 3 | Minnesota vs Akron · Sep 19 | -3200 | 97% | 93.6% | 94.5% | Won 41–7 | +0.03 |
| 3 | #20Missouri vs Troy · Sep 19 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 91.9% | Won 27–17 | +0.02 |
| 3 | Nebraska vs North Dakota · Sep 19 | -2800 | 96.5% | 93.1% | 82.9% | Won 34–7 | +0.04 |
| 3 | Nevada at Middle Tennessee · Sep 19 | -180 | 64.3% | 61.6% | 51% | Lost 20–27 | −1.00 |
| 3 | North Dakota State at Sacramento State · Sep 19 | -5000 | 98% | 94.9% | 86% | Won 31–10 | +0.02 |
| 3 | North Texas at Texas State · Sep 19 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 59.2% | Lost 35–49 | −1.00 |
| 3 | Northwestern vs Colorado · Sep 19 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 60.2% | Won 41–7 | +0.57 |
| 3 | #3Notre Dame vs Michigan State · Sep 19 | -5000 | 98% | 94.9% | 97% | Won 27–10 | +0.02 |
| 3 | #24Oklahoma vs New Mexico · Sep 19 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 92.9% | Won 14–6 | +0.05 |
| 3 | Old Dominion vs East Carolina · Sep 19 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 55.2% | Lost 17–20 | −1.00 |
| 3 | #8Ole Miss vs #7 LSU · Sep 19 | +124 | 44.6% | 42.8% | 74% | Won 32–24 | +1.24 |
| 3 | Oregon State vs Montana · Sep 19 | -850 | 89.5% | 85.8% | 59.1% | Won 52–17 | +0.12 |
| 3 | South Alabama vs Ohio · Sep 19 | -270 | 73% | 70% | 60.5% | Won 41–36 | +0.37 |
| 3 | South Carolina vs Mississippi State · Sep 19 | -162 | 61.8% | 59.3% | 70.9% | Lost 34–41 | −1.00 |
| 3 | TCU vs Arkansas State · Sep 19 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 94.3% | Won 31–7 | +0.07 |
| 3 | #15Tennessee vs Kennesaw State · Sep 19 | -8000 | 98.8% | 95.8% | 99% | Won 42–9 | +0.01 |
| 3 | #1Texas vs UTSA · Sep 19 | -5000 | 98% | 94.9% | 92.9% | Won 30–6 | +0.02 |
| 3 | #9Texas A&M vs Kentucky · Sep 19 | -850 | 89.5% | 85.8% | 85.6% | Lost 21–31 | −1.00 |
| 3 | Toledo vs Temple · Sep 19 | -205 | 67.2% | 64.5% | 86.1% | Won 49–48 | +0.49 |
| 3 | UCF vs Georgia State · Sep 19 | -1100 | 91.7% | 88% | 93% | Won 44–30 | +0.09 |
| 3 | UCLA vs Purdue · Sep 19 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 79.5% | Won 52–38 | +0.15 |
| 3 | UConn at Southern Miss · Sep 19 | -162 | 61.8% | 59.3% | 58.4% | Won 48–20 | +0.62 |
| 3 | #12USC at Rutgers · Sep 19 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 77.8% | Won 42–35 | +0.05 |
| 3 | #17Utah vs Utah State · Sep 19 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 96.2% | Won 33–0 | +0.02 |
| 3 | Vanderbilt vs NC State · Sep 19 | -162 | 61.8% | 59.3% | 67.2% | Won 35–31 | +0.62 |
| 3 | #25Virginia vs West Virginia · Sep 19 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 62.6% | Lost 27–38 | −1.00 |
| 3 | Western Michigan at Rice · Sep 19 | -360 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 63.1% | Won 28–21 | +0.28 |
| 3 | Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan · Sep 19 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 92.3% | Won 54–10 | +0.04 |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina vs Liberty · Sep 24 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 51.8% | Lost 17–34 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Army at Temple · Sep 25 | -192 | 65.8% | 63.1% | 67.8% | Won 21–17 | +0.52 |
| 4 | Clemson at California · Sep 25 | -130 | 56.5% | 54.3% | 64.3% | Won 24–10 | +0.77 |
| 4 | #5Indiana vs Northwestern · Sep 25 | -1650 | 94.3% | 90.8% | 95% | Won 29–23 | +0.06 |
| 4 | Navy at UAB · Sep 25 | -250 | 71.4% | 68.5% | 68.3% | Lost 20–24 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Air Force at Nevada · Sep 26 | -238 | 70.4% | 67.5% | 56.3% | Won 36–33 | +0.42 |
| 4 | #8Alabama vs South Carolina · Sep 26 | -500 | 83.3% | 80% | 86.8% | Won 49–18 | +0.20 |
| 4 | Arizona at Washington State · Sep 26 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 51.8% | Won 34–24 | +0.24 |
| 4 | Arkansas vs Tulsa · Sep 26 | -270 | 73% | 70% | 89.5% | Won 34–6 | +0.37 |
| 4 | Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State · Sep 26 | -238 | 70.4% | 67.5% | 68.8% | Won 17–14 | +0.42 |
| 4 | Auburn vs Vanderbilt · Sep 26 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 63% | Won 21–15 | +0.25 |
| 4 | Ball State at Kent State · Sep 26 | +124 | 44.6% | 42.8% | 50.9% | Lost 13–26 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Baylor vs Colorado · Sep 26 | -380 | 79.2% | 76% | 75.6% | Won 23–13 | +0.26 |
| 4 | Boise State at Western Michigan · Sep 26 | -298 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 67% | Won 32–7 | +0.34 |
| 4 | Buffalo vs Robert Morris · Sep 26 | -3200 | 97% | 93.6% | 93.5% | Won 31–28 | +0.03 |
| 4 | East Carolina vs North Carolina Central · Sep 26 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 96.2% | Won 42–9 | +0.02 |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan vs Lindenwood · Sep 26 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 79.2% | Won 29–3 | +0.04 |
| 4 | Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe · Sep 26 | -485 | 82.9% | 79.6% | 59.7% | Won 45–17 | +0.21 |
| 4 | Florida International vs Long Island University · Sep 26 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 93.4% | Won 20–3 | +0.02 |
| 4 | Fresno State vs Rice · Sep 26 | -520 | 83.9% | 80.4% | 88.7% | Won 38–24 | +0.19 |
| 4 | #2Georgia vs #24 Oklahoma · Sep 26 | -535 | 84.2% | 80.8% | 81.9% | Won 41–13 | +0.19 |
| 4 | Georgia State vs Northern Illinois · Sep 26 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 59.3% | Won 35–14 | +0.25 |
| 4 | Georgia Tech at Stanford · Sep 26 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 72.2% | Lost 27–34 | −1.00 |
| 4 | #25Houston at Georgia Southern · Sep 26 | -950 | 90.5% | 86.8% | 72.6% | Won 42–28 | +0.11 |
| 4 | Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee · Sep 26 | -285 | 74% | 71% | 81.9% | Won 23–13 | +0.35 |
| 4 | James Madison at Old Dominion · Sep 26 | -245 | 71% | 68.1% | 69.8% | Won 46–20 | +0.41 |
| 4 | Kansas State at Cincinnati · Sep 26 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 57.8% | Lost 26–31 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Kentucky vs South Alabama · Sep 26 | -1600 | 94.1% | 90.4% | 83% | Won 45–21 | +0.06 |
| 4 | #10LSU vs #23 Texas A&M · Sep 26 | -345 | 77.5% | 74.4% | 56.8% | Won 35–6 | +0.29 |
| 4 | Louisiana at Charlotte · Sep 26 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 69.8% | Won 34–7 | +0.27 |
| 4 | #16Louisville vs Wake Forest · Sep 26 | -500 | 83.3% | 80% | 85.4% | Lost 27–30 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Marshall vs Gardner-Webb · Sep 26 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 89.5% | Won 36–35 | +0.05 |
| 4 | Maryland vs UCLA · Sep 26 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 60.7% | Lost 3–54 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Miami (OH) vs UConn · Sep 26 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 58.8% | Won 24–21 | +0.74 |
| 4 | #18Michigan vs #17 Iowa · Sep 26 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 65% | Lost 19–20 | −1.00 |
| 4 | #24Mississippi State vs #19 Missouri · Sep 26 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 51.7% | Won 31–24 | +0.57 |
| 4 | NC State vs App State · Sep 26 | -535 | 84.2% | 80.8% | 89.1% | Won 41–31 | +0.19 |
| 4 | Nebraska at Michigan State · Sep 26 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 55.8% | Won 31–13 | +0.44 |
| 4 | New Mexico at New Mexico State · Sep 26 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 67% | Won 42–18 | +0.22 |
| 4 | North Texas vs Houston Christian · Sep 26 | -100000 | 99.9% | 98.1% | 99.2% | Won 63–14 | +0.00 |
| 4 | #3Notre Dame at Purdue · Sep 26 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 95% | Won 49–10 | +0.02 |
| 4 | Ohio vs Stonehill · Sep 26 | -5000 | 98% | 94.9% | 99.2% | Won 35–7 | +0.02 |
| 4 | #7Ohio State vs Illinois · Sep 26 | -4000 | 97.6% | 94.3% | 94.5% | Won 42–19 | +0.03 |
| 4 | #4Ole Miss at #21 Florida · Sep 26 | +142 | 41.3% | 39.6% | 61.5% | Lost 28–52 | −1.00 |
| 4 | #20Oregon at #12 USC · Sep 26 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 59.3% | Won 41–27 | +0.54 |
| 4 | Oregon State at UTEP · Sep 26 | -440 | 81.5% | 78.2% | 70.8% | Won 33–7 | +0.23 |
| 4 | #13Penn State vs Wisconsin · Sep 26 | -380 | 79.2% | 76% | 89.4% | Lost 20–24 | −1.00 |
| 4 | #22SMU vs Missouri State · Sep 26 | -9000 | 98.9% | 96.3% | 96.8% | Won 34–24 | +0.01 |
| 4 | Sacramento State vs Massachusetts · Sep 26 | +160 | 38.5% | 36.9% | 82.6% | Lost 6–35 | −1.00 |
| 4 | South Florida at Bowling Green · Sep 26 | -1050 | 91.3% | 87.6% | 77.5% | Won 14–6 | +0.10 |
| 4 | TCU at UCF · Sep 26 | -170 | 63% | 60.4% | 51.4% | Lost 13–21 | −1.00 |
| 4 | #14Tennessee vs #1 Texas · Sep 26 | +170 | 37% | 35.5% | 54.3% | Lost 17–20 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Texas State vs Incarnate Word · Sep 26 | -3200 | 97% | 93.6% | 80.9% | Won 63–10 | +0.03 |
| 4 | Toledo vs San Diego State · Sep 26 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 72.3% | Won 41–16 | +0.70 |
| 4 | Tulane vs Southern Miss · Sep 26 | -1100 | 91.7% | 88% | 93.5% | Won 24–21 | +0.09 |
| 4 | UNLV at Akron · Sep 26 | -520 | 83.9% | 80.4% | 81.7% | Won 38–10 | +0.19 |
| 4 | UTSA vs Colorado State · Sep 26 | -675 | 87.1% | 83.7% | 86.3% | Won 59–45 | +0.15 |
| 4 | #15Utah at Iowa State · Sep 26 | -325 | 76.5% | 73.4% | 55.9% | Won 31–17 | +0.31 |
| 4 | Utah State vs Troy · Sep 26 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 61.6% | Won 21–10 | +0.68 |
| 4 | Virginia vs Delaware · Sep 26 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 90.1% | Won 42–3 | +0.07 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech at Boston College · Sep 26 | -675 | 87.1% | 83.7% | 55% | Won 21–14 | +0.15 |
| 4 | #23Washington vs Minnesota · Sep 26 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 80% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 4 | West Virginia vs Oklahoma State · Sep 26 | -125 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 70.9% | Lost 24–41 | −1.00 |
| 4 | Wyoming vs Hawai'i · Sep 26 | +105 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 57.5% | Won 27–10 | +1.05 |
| 5 | North Texas at Tulsa · Oct 1 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 76% | Won 45–44 | +0.70 |
| 5 | Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · Oct 1 | +105 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 62% | Lost 13–34 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Liberty at Delaware · Oct 2 | -270 | 73% | 70% | 55.7% | Won 30–14 | +0.37 |
| 5 | #22Penn State at Northwestern · Oct 2 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 74.9% | Lost 13–34 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · Oct 2 | +105 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 53.9% | Won 35–33 | +1.05 |
| 5 | Air Force vs Navy · Oct 3 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 54.4% | Won 14–9 | +0.68 |
| 5 | #7Alabama at #16 Mississippi State · Oct 3 | -205 | 67.2% | 64.5% | 77.2% | Won 56–23 | +0.49 |
| 5 | Arizona vs Cincinnati · Oct 3 | -250 | 71.4% | 68.5% | 65.3% | Won 34–7 | +0.40 |
| 5 | Arizona State vs Baylor · Oct 3 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 62.5% | Lost 19–55 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Army at Louisiana Tech · Oct 3 | -110 | 52.4% | 50% | 58.9% | Lost 29–31 | −1.00 |
| 5 | #22Boise State vs Utah State · Oct 3 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 85.8% | Won 37–18 | +0.07 |
| 5 | Central Michigan vs Akron · Oct 3 | -278 | 73.5% | 70.5% | 71.4% | Won 41–17 | +0.36 |
| 5 | Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern · Oct 3 | +105 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 53.8% | Lost 24–31 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · Oct 3 | +185 | 35.1% | 33.6% | 55.3% | Won 38–14 | +1.85 |
| 5 | Florida State vs Virginia · Oct 3 | -102 | 50.5% | 48.3% | 64.3% | Won 38–7 | +0.98 |
| 5 | #2Georgia vs Vanderbilt · Oct 3 | -3600 | 97.3% | 94% | 92% | Won 38–14 | +0.03 |
| 5 | Hawai'i vs San José State · Oct 3 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 59% | Lost 16–20 | −1.00 |
| 5 | #20Houston vs UCF · Oct 3 | -425 | 81% | 77.7% | 62.1% | Won 27–17 | +0.24 |
| 5 | Illinois vs Purdue · Oct 3 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 87.4% | Lost 17–24 | −1.00 |
| 5 | #6Indiana at Rutgers · Oct 3 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 88.9% | Won 47–15 | +0.04 |
| 5 | Iowa State vs West Virginia · Oct 3 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 83.5% | Won 45–42 | +0.68 |
| 5 | James Madison vs Marshall · Oct 3 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 90.6% | Won 45–17 | +0.13 |
| 5 | Kansas vs Middle Tennessee · Oct 3 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 93.3% | Won 55–0 | +0.07 |
| 5 | Louisiana vs Arkansas State · Oct 3 | -205 | 67.2% | 64.5% | 71.9% | Won 23–20 | +0.49 |
| 5 | Louisville at NC State · Oct 3 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 57.8% | Lost 28–31 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Memphis at Charlotte · Oct 3 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 89.4% | Won 59–8 | +0.07 |
| 5 | #4Miami at Clemson · Oct 3 | -700 | 87.5% | 84% | 64% | Won 41–13 | +0.14 |
| 5 | Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green · Oct 3 | -470 | 82.5% | 79.1% | 78.7% | Lost 20–24 | −1.00 |
| 5 | #24Michigan at Minnesota · Oct 3 | -245 | 71% | 68.1% | 66.6% | Lost 14–20 | −1.00 |
| 5 | #25Missouri vs #8 Florida · Oct 3 | +180 | 35.7% | 34.2% | 55.4% | Won 45–17 | +1.80 |
| 5 | Nebraska vs Maryland · Oct 3 | -700 | 87.5% | 84% | 79.5% | Won 48–23 | +0.14 |
| 5 | New Mexico vs UTEP · Oct 3 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 89.4% | Won 61–7 | +0.04 |
| 5 | North Dakota State vs Wyoming · Oct 3 | -950 | 90.5% | 86.8% | 92.7% | Won 28–0 | +0.11 |
| 5 | #3Notre Dame at North Carolina · Oct 3 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 89.7% | Won 37–26 | +0.06 |
| 5 | Ohio at Kent State · Oct 3 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 83.2% | Won 13–10 | +0.57 |
| 5 | #5Ohio State at #14 Iowa · Oct 3 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 72.5% | Won 31–14 | +0.15 |
| 5 | Old Dominion at Georgia State · Oct 3 | +114 | 46.7% | 44.9% | 61.2% | Lost 10–42 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Oregon State at Colorado State · Oct 3 | -258 | 72.1% | 69.1% | 61% | Won 56–26 | +0.39 |
| 5 | #21SMU vs Boston College · Oct 3 | -1800 | 94.7% | 91.2% | 90.8% | Won 25–16 | +0.06 |
| 5 | San Diego State vs Texas State · Oct 3 | +295 | 25.3% | 24.3% | 53.2% | Won 31–29 | +2.95 |
| 5 | South Alabama vs UL Monroe · Oct 3 | -575 | 85.2% | 81.7% | 90.4% | Won 52–35 | +0.17 |
| 5 | South Carolina vs #24 Kentucky · Oct 3 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 65.3% | Lost 34–35 | −1.00 |
| 5 | South Florida vs Temple · Oct 3 | -230 | 69.7% | 66.9% | 86.4% | Lost 13–17 | −1.00 |
| 5 | TCU vs #10 BYU · Oct 3 | +185 | 35.1% | 33.6% | 54.4% | Lost 10–17 | −1.00 |
| 5 | #17Tennessee vs Auburn · Oct 3 | -230 | 69.7% | 66.9% | 81.3% | Won 24–14 | +0.44 |
| 5 | Texas A&M vs Arkansas · Oct 3 | -600 | 85.7% | 82.2% | 81.9% | Won 34–7 | +0.17 |
| 5 | #12Texas Tech at Colorado · Oct 3 | -575 | 85.2% | 81.7% | 77.2% | Won 29–7 | +0.17 |
| 5 | Toledo at Ball State · Oct 3 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 86.9% | Won 39–24 | +0.07 |
| 5 | UAB vs Samford · Oct 3 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 89.3% | Won 33–14 | +0.02 |
| 5 | UConn vs Syracuse · Oct 3 | +215 | 31.8% | 30.4% | 53.4% | Lost 41–42 | −1.00 |
| 5 | UNLV vs California · Oct 3 | -120 | 54.5% | 52.2% | 65.4% | Won 39–31 | +0.83 |
| 5 | #18USC vs Washington · Oct 3 | -310 | 75.6% | 72.6% | 67.3% | Won 25–21 | +0.32 |
| 5 | UTSA at Rice · Oct 3 | -500 | 83.3% | 80% | 78% | Won 16–14 | +0.20 |
| 5 | Wake Forest vs Stanford · Oct 3 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 81.3% | Won 57–3 | +0.15 |
| 5 | Washington State vs Fresno State · Oct 3 | -130 | 56.5% | 54.3% | 66.1% | Lost 6–26 | −1.00 |
| 5 | Western Michigan at Buffalo · Oct 3 | -535 | 84.2% | 80.8% | 64.2% | Won 20–17 | +0.19 |
| 5 | Wisconsin vs Michigan State · Oct 3 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 72.9% | Won 31–3 | +0.28 |
| 6 | Troy vs Southern Miss · Oct 6 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 77.7% | Won 55–34 | +0.24 |
| 6 | Florida International vs New Mexico State · Oct 7 | -250 | 71.4% | 68.5% | 61.3% | Won 22–3 | +0.40 |
| 6 | Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · Oct 7 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 58.8% | Won 27–26 | +0.68 |
| 6 | Liberty vs Sam Houston · Oct 8 | -550 | 84.6% | 81.2% | 79.9% | Won 35–3 | +0.18 |
| 6 | South Alabama at Arkansas State · Oct 8 | +136 | 42.4% | 40.7% | 52.3% | Won 56–49 | +1.36 |
| 6 | UTSA vs South Florida · Oct 8 | -230 | 69.7% | 66.9% | 60.2% | Won 31–24 | +0.44 |
| 6 | Western Kentucky vs Missouri State · Oct 8 | +102 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 69% | Won 34–13 | +1.02 |
| 6 | #8BYU vs Iowa State · Oct 9 | -470 | 82.5% | 79.1% | 64.8% | Won 24–10 | +0.21 |
| 6 | Louisville vs Florida State · Oct 9 | -192 | 65.8% | 63.1% | 69.3% | Won 44–20 | +0.52 |
| 6 | San José State vs Wyoming · Oct 9 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 65% | Lost 13–16 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Washington vs #20 Iowa · Oct 9 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 54.1% | Lost 24–41 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Washington State at Utah State · Oct 9 | +154 | 39.4% | 37.8% | 54.7% | Lost 16–17 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Air Force at Northern Illinois · Oct 10 | -298 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 62.4% | Won 28–7 | +0.34 |
| 6 | #6Alabama vs #2 Georgia · Oct 10 | -125 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 57.1% | Lost 17–20 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Arizona at West Virginia · Oct 10 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 58.8% | Won 52–31 | +0.57 |
| 6 | Arizona State vs Hawai'i · Oct 10 | -1650 | 94.3% | 90.8% | 90.1% | Won 30–12 | +0.06 |
| 6 | Army vs Tulane · Oct 10 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 53.6% | Won 20–17 | +0.54 |
| 6 | #23Boise State at Fresno State · Oct 10 | -310 | 75.6% | 72.6% | 56% | Won 38–31 | +0.32 |
| 6 | Bowling Green vs Sacramento State · Oct 10 | -325 | 76.5% | 73.4% | 69.7% | Won 38–10 | +0.31 |
| 6 | California vs Virginia Tech · Oct 10 | +295 | 25.3% | 24.3% | 50.8% | Won 25–20 | +2.95 |
| 6 | East Carolina vs Rice · Oct 10 | -380 | 79.2% | 76% | 88.4% | Won 28–12 | +0.26 |
| 6 | Eastern Michigan at Akron · Oct 10 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 50.6% | Won 25–23 | +0.46 |
| 6 | #16Florida vs South Carolina · Oct 10 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 67.8% | Lost 19–38 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Georgia Tech vs #23 Duke · Oct 10 | +170 | 37% | 35.5% | 53.2% | Won 28–25 | +1.70 |
| 6 | Illinois at Michigan State · Oct 10 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 58.1% | Won 38–37 | +0.70 |
| 6 | #7Indiana at Nebraska · Oct 10 | -340 | 77.3% | 74.1% | 74.3% | Won 20–17 | +0.29 |
| 6 | James Madison at Georgia Southern · Oct 10 | -310 | 75.6% | 72.6% | 82.4% | Won 27–24 | +0.32 |
| 6 | Kansas State vs #22 Houston · Oct 10 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 74.2% | Lost 16–35 | −1.00 |
| 6 | #10LSU at #25 Kentucky · Oct 10 | -360 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 60.3% | Lost 34–35 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Louisiana Tech vs Louisiana · Oct 10 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 59% | Won 32–31 | +0.65 |
| 6 | Marshall vs Coastal Carolina · Oct 10 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 72.5% | Lost 21–27 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Memphis vs UAB · Oct 10 | -675 | 87.1% | 83.7% | 91.9% | Won 38–13 | +0.15 |
| 6 | Miami (OH) at Massachusetts · Oct 10 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 80.2% | Won 20–19 | +0.44 |
| 6 | Minnesota at Purdue · Oct 10 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 63.2% | Lost 13–41 | −1.00 |
| 6 | #14Missouri vs Texas A&M · Oct 10 | -180 | 64.3% | 61.6% | 51.4% | Won 27–6 | +0.56 |
| 6 | NC State vs Wake Forest · Oct 10 | +140 | 41.7% | 40% | 63.9% | Lost 14–38 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Navy vs Tulsa · Oct 10 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 80.6% | Won 34–26 | +0.68 |
| 6 | Nevada at UTEP · Oct 10 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 57.7% | Won 30–13 | +0.27 |
| 6 | North Dakota State at UNLV · Oct 10 | -130 | 56.5% | 54.3% | 57.2% | Lost 7–13 | −1.00 |
| 6 | North Texas vs Charlotte · Oct 10 | -4500 | 97.8% | 94.6% | 96.9% | Won 50–10 | +0.02 |
| 6 | Northwestern vs Ball State · Oct 10 | -100000 | 99.9% | 98.1% | 97.1% | Won 45–14 | +0.00 |
| 6 | Ohio vs Central Michigan · Oct 10 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 79.3% | Won 31–14 | +0.74 |
| 6 | Old Dominion at App State · Oct 10 | +295 | 25.3% | 24.3% | 50% | Won 10–3 | +2.95 |
| 6 | #9Ole Miss at Vanderbilt · Oct 10 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 65.9% | Won 52–17 | +0.28 |
| 6 | #13Oregon vs #21 UCLA · Oct 10 | -425 | 81% | 77.7% | 92% | Lost 15–17 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Oregon State vs San Diego State · Oct 10 | -750 | 88.2% | 84.7% | 69.9% | Won 66–14 | +0.13 |
| 6 | Penn State vs #19 USC · Oct 10 | -105 | 51.2% | 48.9% | 67.4% | Lost 23–31 | −1.00 |
| 6 | #25Pittsburgh vs North Carolina · Oct 10 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 75.9% | Lost 17–21 | −1.00 |
| 6 | #15Tennessee at Arkansas · Oct 10 | -575 | 85.2% | 81.7% | 73.1% | Won 24–17 | +0.17 |
| 6 | #1Texas at Oklahoma · Oct 10 | -340 | 77.3% | 74.1% | 67.2% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 6 | Toledo vs Buffalo · Oct 10 | -1100 | 91.7% | 88% | 91.3% | Lost 8–23 | −1.00 |
| 6 | UCF at #18 Oklahoma State · Oct 10 | +310 | 24.4% | 23.4% | 56.7% | Lost 28–42 | −1.00 |
| 6 | UConn at Temple · Oct 10 | +150 | 40% | 38.4% | 52.3% | Won 34–20 | +1.50 |
| 6 | #12Utah vs Kansas · Oct 10 | -700 | 87.5% | 84% | 87.2% | Won 41–24 | +0.14 |
| 6 | Virginia vs Syracuse · Oct 10 | -550 | 84.6% | 81.2% | 74% | Won 28–25 | +0.18 |
| 6 | Western Michigan vs Kent State · Oct 10 | -600 | 85.7% | 82.2% | 91.5% | Won 38–7 | +0.17 |
| 7 | Jacksonville State vs Florida International · Oct 13 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 75.9% | Won 27–24 | +0.74 |
| 7 | Middle Tennessee vs Delaware · Oct 13 | -105 | 51.2% | 48.9% | 51.1% | Won 33–30 | +0.95 |
| 7 | Missouri State vs Kennesaw State · Oct 14 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 65.6% | Won 24–21 | +1.20 |
| 7 | Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · Oct 14 | -112 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 60.2% | Won 16–3 | +0.89 |
| 7 | East Carolina at UAB · Oct 15 | -198 | 66.4% | 63.7% | 71% | Lost 17–30 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern · Oct 15 | +130 | 43.5% | 41.7% | 66.8% | Lost 15–23 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Texas State vs Colorado State · Oct 15 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 81.1% | Won 66–27 | +0.15 |
| 7 | Coastal Carolina vs App State · Oct 16 | -105 | 51.2% | 48.9% | 58.3% | Lost 32–35 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Tulane vs Memphis · Oct 16 | +210 | 32.3% | 30.9% | 56% | Won 31–17 | +2.10 |
| 7 | Washington at Purdue · Oct 16 | +136 | 42.4% | 40.7% | 73% | Won 38–26 | +1.36 |
| 7 | #6Alabama at #14 Tennessee · Oct 17 | -310 | 75.6% | 72.6% | 54.1% | Lost 10–26 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Army vs Florida Atlantic · Oct 17 | -130 | 56.5% | 54.3% | 82.6% | Won 56–24 | +0.77 |
| 7 | Baylor vs TCU · Oct 17 | -198 | 66.4% | 63.7% | 56.7% | Lost 6–17 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Bowling Green vs Ball State · Oct 17 | -238 | 70.4% | 67.5% | 79.1% | Lost 31–32 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Buffalo vs Massachusetts · Oct 17 | -285 | 74% | 71% | 79.9% | Won 25–18 | +0.35 |
| 7 | Cincinnati at West Virginia · Oct 17 | +102 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 51.7% | Lost 42–45 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Duke vs North Carolina · Oct 17 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 72.9% | Lost 20–24 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Fresno State at San Diego State · Oct 17 | -290 | 74.4% | 71.4% | 57.4% | Lost 23–26 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #1Georgia vs Auburn · Oct 17 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 90.8% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #20Houston vs #18 Oklahoma State · Oct 17 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 79.6% | Won 35–32 | +0.54 |
| 7 | James Madison vs Georgia State · Oct 17 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 94.5% | Won 49–22 | +0.28 |
| 7 | Kansas State vs Kansas · Oct 17 | -162 | 61.8% | 59.3% | 72.9% | Won 35–24 | +0.62 |
| 7 | #22LSU vs #16 Mississippi State · Oct 17 | -950 | 90.5% | 86.8% | 80.2% | Won 31–0 | +0.11 |
| 7 | Louisiana vs Troy · Oct 17 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 60.4% | Won 33–6 | +0.68 |
| 7 | Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · Oct 17 | -600 | 85.7% | 82.2% | 73.4% | Won 24–0 | +0.17 |
| 7 | Louisville at Syracuse · Oct 17 | -625 | 86.2% | 82.7% | 72.8% | Won 34–26 | +0.16 |
| 7 | Maryland vs Rutgers · Oct 17 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 62.2% | Lost 30–37 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #3Miami vs Florida State · Oct 17 | -1600 | 94.1% | 90.4% | 86% | Won 43–35 | +0.06 |
| 7 | Miami (OH) vs Akron · Oct 17 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 86.8% | Won 34–14 | +0.28 |
| 7 | Michigan vs Penn State · Oct 17 | -230 | 69.7% | 66.9% | 56.7% | Won 21–18 | +0.44 |
| 7 | New Mexico at Hawai'i · Oct 17 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 66.5% | Won 21–10 | +0.15 |
| 7 | North Dakota State vs Nevada · Oct 17 | -700 | 87.5% | 84% | 92.5% | Won 31–17 | +0.14 |
| 7 | #25Northwestern at Michigan State · Oct 17 | -298 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 53.9% | Won 24–21 | +0.34 |
| 7 | #2Notre Dame at #8 BYU · Oct 17 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 71.3% | Lost 24–28 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Ohio at Sacramento State · Oct 17 | -700 | 87.5% | 84% | 70.7% | Won 48–7 | +0.14 |
| 7 | #4Ohio State at #5 Indiana · Oct 17 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 52.3% | Won 19–15 | +0.65 |
| 7 | Oklahoma vs #15 Kentucky · Oct 17 | -270 | 73% | 70% | 77.5% | Lost 13–21 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #9Ole Miss vs #13 Missouri · Oct 17 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 77% | Won 31–3 | +0.54 |
| 7 | #25Oregon vs Nebraska · Oct 17 | -258 | 72.1% | 69.1% | 86.6% | Won 17–14 | +0.39 |
| 7 | Oregon State vs Washington State · Oct 17 | -1000 | 90.9% | 87.2% | 62.5% | Won 48–30 | +0.10 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh at Boston College · Oct 17 | -238 | 70.4% | 67.5% | 67.8% | Lost 21–27 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Rice vs Tulsa · Oct 17 | +164 | 37.9% | 36.3% | 52.5% | Lost 17–38 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #24SMU vs Virginia · Oct 17 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 77.8% | Won 23–13 | +0.28 |
| 7 | San José State at UTEP · Oct 17 | -278 | 73.5% | 70.5% | 63.5% | Won 24–11 | +0.36 |
| 7 | South Florida vs Kent State · Oct 17 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 97% | Won 29–2 | +0.07 |
| 7 | Southern Miss vs Arkansas State · Oct 17 | +190 | 34.5% | 33.1% | 51% | Lost 13–23 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Temple vs Charlotte · Oct 17 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 84.9% | Lost 31–38 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #7Texas vs Florida · Oct 17 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 82.9% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 7 | #10Texas Tech vs Arizona State · Oct 17 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 84% | Won 53–25 | +0.13 |
| 7 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan · Oct 17 | -285 | 74% | 71% | 74.9% | Won 34–14 | +0.35 |
| 7 | #12UCLA vs Wisconsin · Oct 17 | -122 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 61.6% | Won 17–7 | +0.82 |
| 7 | UNLV at Air Force · Oct 17 | -122 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 50.7% | Lost 31–41 | −1.00 |
| 7 | UTSA vs Navy · Oct 17 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 68.4% | Won 38–34 | +0.44 |
| 7 | #11Utah at Colorado · Oct 17 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 84.7% | Won 27–24 | +0.13 |
| 7 | Vanderbilt vs Arkansas · Oct 17 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 65.6% | Lost 21–31 | −1.00 |
| 7 | Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech · Oct 17 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 54.2% | Won 34–24 | +0.28 |
| 7 | #21Wake Forest at California · Oct 17 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 56.1% | Won 41–7 | +0.25 |
| 7 | Western Michigan at Central Michigan · Oct 17 | -290 | 74.4% | 71.4% | 60.2% | Won 21–14 | +0.35 |
| 7 | Wyoming vs Northern Illinois · Oct 17 | -290 | 74.4% | 71.4% | 68% | Won 41–23 | +0.35 |
| 8 | Delaware vs Missouri State · Oct 20 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 56.7% | Won 61–38 | +0.68 |
| 8 | Florida International vs Middle Tennessee · Oct 20 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 70.5% | Lost 23–26 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Marshall vs South Alabama · Oct 20 | +110 | 47.6% | 45.7% | 53.7% | Won 20–13 | +1.10 |
| 8 | Sam Houston vs New Mexico State · Oct 21 | +130 | 43.5% | 41.7% | 57.7% | Lost 24–30 | −1.00 |
| 8 | James Madison at App State · Oct 22 | -485 | 82.9% | 79.6% | 84.5% | Lost 31–34 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Liberty at Kennesaw State · Oct 22 | -380 | 79.2% | 76% | 62.2% | Won 34–6 | +0.26 |
| 8 | Memphis vs East Carolina · Oct 22 | -425 | 81% | 77.7% | 73.7% | Won 41–34 | +0.24 |
| 8 | Air Force at Wyoming · Oct 23 | -230 | 69.7% | 66.9% | 58.9% | Lost 14–28 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Army at Tulsa · Oct 23 | -105 | 51.2% | 48.9% | 67.9% | Won 38–35 | +0.95 |
| 8 | NC State at Stanford · Oct 23 | -305 | 75.3% | 72.2% | 73.2% | Lost 28–31 | −1.00 |
| 8 | UConn vs Massachusetts · Oct 23 | -550 | 84.6% | 81.2% | 93.1% | Won 35–16 | +0.18 |
| 8 | Virginia vs Duke · Oct 23 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 53.2% | Lost 16–19 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #13Alabama vs Texas A&M · Oct 24 | -575 | 85.2% | 81.7% | 79.9% | Won 31–20 | +0.17 |
| 8 | #25Arizona vs Iowa State · Oct 24 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 57.4% | Won 39–3 | +0.27 |
| 8 | Arkansas State vs Georgia State · Oct 24 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 62% | Won 38–32 | +1.20 |
| 8 | #2BYU at UCF · Oct 24 | -305 | 75.3% | 72.2% | 61.3% | Lost 31–39 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Ball State vs Sacramento State · Oct 24 | -600 | 85.7% | 82.2% | 59.3% | Won 34–17 | +0.17 |
| 8 | #21Boise State at Washington State · Oct 24 | -625 | 86.2% | 82.7% | 58.7% | Won 31–10 | +0.16 |
| 8 | Buffalo vs Bowling Green · Oct 24 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 56.2% | Won 31–24 | +0.65 |
| 8 | Clemson vs Virginia Tech · Oct 24 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 74.7% | Lost 16–20 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Florida Atlantic vs Rice · Oct 24 | -340 | 77.3% | 74.1% | 70.8% | Won 51–49 | +0.29 |
| 8 | Georgia Tech vs Boston College · Oct 24 | -238 | 70.4% | 67.5% | 77.4% | Lost 27–49 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #6Indiana at Michigan · Oct 24 | -298 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 60.7% | Won 13–6 | +0.34 |
| 8 | #15Iowa at Minnesota · Oct 24 | -290 | 74.4% | 71.4% | 67.8% | Lost 10–13 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Kansas vs Baylor · Oct 24 | -112 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 56.6% | Won 25–24 | +0.89 |
| 8 | Kansas State at Arizona State · Oct 24 | -118 | 54.1% | 51.7% | 57.6% | Lost 17–28 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Kent State vs Akron · Oct 24 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 51% | Won 35–20 | +0.68 |
| 8 | #12Kentucky vs Vanderbilt · Oct 24 | -440 | 81.5% | 78.2% | 65.2% | Won 34–17 | +0.23 |
| 8 | #18LSU at Auburn · Oct 24 | -285 | 74% | 71% | 54.7% | Won 38–17 | +0.35 |
| 8 | Louisiana at Southern Miss · Oct 24 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 64.5% | Lost 31–35 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Louisiana Tech vs Old Dominion · Oct 24 | -550 | 84.6% | 81.2% | 58.6% | Won 26–0 | +0.18 |
| 8 | #1Miami vs Pittsburgh · Oct 24 | -1650 | 94.3% | 90.8% | 86.1% | Won 52–23 | +0.06 |
| 8 | Miami (OH) at Central Michigan · Oct 24 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 59.3% | Won 28–27 | +0.57 |
| 8 | Nevada vs San José State · Oct 24 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 57.9% | Won 28–13 | +0.46 |
| 8 | North Carolina vs Syracuse · Oct 24 | -360 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 70.2% | Lost 30–31 | −1.00 |
| 8 | North Dakota State at New Mexico · Oct 24 | +160 | 38.5% | 36.9% | 57.3% | Lost 16–21 | −1.00 |
| 8 | North Texas at Navy · Oct 24 | -148 | 59.7% | 57.2% | 53.8% | Won 49–39 | +0.68 |
| 8 | Northern Illinois vs Hawai'i · Oct 24 | +124 | 44.6% | 42.8% | 52.3% | Lost 21–56 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #24Northwestern vs Rutgers · Oct 24 | -750 | 88.2% | 84.7% | 74% | Won 42–14 | +0.13 |
| 8 | Ohio vs Eastern Michigan · Oct 24 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 84.8% | Won 24–20 | +0.25 |
| 8 | Oklahoma at Mississippi State · Oct 24 | -122 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 61.4% | Won 23–15 | +0.82 |
| 8 | Oklahoma State vs Colorado · Oct 24 | -550 | 84.6% | 81.2% | 60.5% | Won 57–24 | +0.18 |
| 8 | #25Oregon at Illinois · Oct 24 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 76.3% | Lost 10–21 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #23SMU vs California · Oct 24 | -1100 | 91.7% | 88% | 88.2% | Won 59–20 | +0.09 |
| 8 | San Diego State at Colorado State · Oct 24 | -110 | 52.4% | 50% | 55.7% | Lost 49–56 | −1.00 |
| 8 | TCU vs West Virginia · Oct 24 | -410 | 80.4% | 77.1% | 81.1% | Lost 20–24 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #11Tennessee at South Carolina · Oct 24 | +114 | 46.7% | 44.9% | 63.1% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #19Texas vs #7 Ole Miss · Oct 24 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 59% | Won 34–27 | +0.65 |
| 8 | Texas State vs Utah State · Oct 24 | -535 | 84.2% | 80.8% | 71.2% | Won 20–17 | +0.19 |
| 8 | #8Texas Tech at Cincinnati · Oct 24 | -440 | 81.5% | 78.2% | 69.1% | Lost 24–37 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Toledo vs Western Michigan · Oct 24 | -142 | 58.7% | 56.4% | 73.2% | Won 45–38 | +0.70 |
| 8 | Troy vs UL Monroe · Oct 24 | -625 | 86.2% | 82.7% | 88.9% | Lost 14–21 | −1.00 |
| 8 | Tulane vs UTSA · Oct 24 | +124 | 44.6% | 42.8% | 67.4% | Lost 19–42 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #9UCLA vs Michigan State · Oct 24 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 77% | Won 28–10 | +0.13 |
| 8 | #16USC at Wisconsin · Oct 24 | -130 | 56.5% | 54.3% | 62.1% | Lost 7–24 | −1.00 |
| 8 | #10Utah vs #14 Houston · Oct 24 | -250 | 71.4% | 68.5% | 83.7% | Won 21–13 | +0.40 |
| 9 | Missouri State vs Sam Houston · Oct 27 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 68% | Won 24–3 | +0.44 |
| 9 | Western Kentucky vs Delaware · Oct 27 | -130 | 56.5% | 54.3% | 74% | Lost 21–35 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · Oct 28 | -155 | 60.8% | 58.3% | 58.9% | Won 24–0 | +0.65 |
| 9 | Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State · Oct 28 | -108 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 56.2% | Lost 28–44 | −1.00 |
| 9 | James Madison vs Troy · Oct 29 | -1200 | 92.3% | 88.7% | 91.7% | Lost 21–24 | −1.00 |
| 9 | North Texas vs Florida Atlantic · Oct 29 | -550 | 84.6% | 81.2% | 88.9% | Won 48–41 | +0.18 |
| 9 | Sacramento State vs Kent State · Oct 30 | +225 | 30.8% | 29.5% | 67% | Won 31–10 | +2.25 |
| 9 | Tulane at Charlotte · Oct 30 | -345 | 77.5% | 74.4% | 90% | Won 38–31 | +0.29 |
| 9 | UCF vs Baylor · Oct 30 | +114 | 46.7% | 44.9% | 55.4% | Lost 9–41 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Air Force vs UConn · Oct 31 | -112 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 61.2% | Won 35–26 | +0.89 |
| 9 | #8BYU vs Arizona State · Oct 31 | -850 | 89.5% | 85.8% | 78.2% | Won 27–20 | +0.12 |
| 9 | #20Boise State vs Texas State · Oct 31 | -440 | 81.5% | 78.2% | 80.3% | Won 46–45 | +0.23 |
| 9 | Duke vs Boston College · Oct 31 | -265 | 72.6% | 69.6% | 79.7% | Won 47–2 | +0.38 |
| 9 | East Carolina vs Temple · Oct 31 | -185 | 64.9% | 62.3% | 82.4% | Won 17–9 | +0.54 |
| 9 | Florida State vs Clemson · Oct 31 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 59.9% | Lost 24–36 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Fresno State vs Oregon State · Oct 31 | +185 | 35.1% | 33.6% | 56.8% | Won 38–22 | +1.85 |
| 9 | #3Georgia vs #17 Florida · Oct 31 | -455 | 82% | 78.7% | 80.9% | Won 27–8 | +0.22 |
| 9 | Georgia Southern vs App State · Oct 31 | -225 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 64.5% | Won 19–3 | +0.44 |
| 9 | Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina · Oct 31 | -175 | 63.6% | 60.9% | 59.9% | Lost 20–31 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Illinois at Maryland · Oct 31 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 62.3% | Won 20–17 | +0.74 |
| 9 | #4Indiana vs Minnesota · Oct 31 | -1450 | 93.5% | 89.9% | 93.2% | Won 23–16 | +0.07 |
| 9 | #24Iowa vs #25 Wisconsin · Oct 31 | -135 | 57.5% | 55.1% | 76.9% | Won 30–0 | +0.74 |
| 9 | Iowa State vs #24 Oklahoma State · Oct 31 | +295 | 25.3% | 24.3% | 78.3% | Won 51–49 | +2.95 |
| 9 | Kansas State at Colorado · Oct 31 | +130 | 43.5% | 41.7% | 69.6% | Lost 24–27 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Liberty vs Florida International · Oct 31 | -575 | 85.2% | 81.7% | 80.4% | Won 49–10 | +0.17 |
| 9 | Louisville vs Stanford · Oct 31 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 95.2% | Won 52–24 | +0.05 |
| 9 | Memphis vs Army · Oct 31 | -218 | 68.5% | 65.8% | 68% | Won 49–22 | +0.46 |
| 9 | #1Miami at North Carolina · Oct 31 | -600 | 85.7% | 82.2% | 81.7% | Won 38–35 | +0.17 |
| 9 | Michigan at Rutgers · Oct 31 | -800 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 78.3% | Won 28–21 | +0.13 |
| 9 | #23Missouri at Arkansas · Oct 31 | -395 | 79.8% | 76.6% | 56.1% | Won 34–10 | +0.25 |
| 9 | NC State vs California · Oct 31 | -325 | 76.5% | 73.4% | 75.7% | Won 31–10 | +0.31 |
| 9 | Nebraska vs Washington · Oct 31 | -298 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 58.6% | Lost 10–17 | −1.00 |
| 9 | New Mexico at San José State · Oct 31 | -650 | 86.7% | 83.2% | 65.7% | Won 21–16 | +0.15 |
| 9 | North Dakota State vs UTEP · Oct 31 | -2400 | 96% | 92.6% | 97.4% | Won 31–7 | +0.04 |
| 9 | #5Notre Dame at Navy · Oct 31 | -6500 | 98.5% | 95.4% | 96.2% | Won 35–13 | +0.02 |
| 9 | #2Ohio State at #25 USC · Oct 31 | -245 | 71% | 68.1% | 75.3% | Lost 18–30 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Oklahoma vs South Carolina · Oct 31 | -170 | 63% | 60.4% | 70.1% | Lost 25–42 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Old Dominion vs Marshall · Oct 31 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 61.9% | Lost 23–36 | −1.00 |
| 9 | #12Ole Miss vs Auburn · Oct 31 | -440 | 81.5% | 78.2% | 83.3% | Won 45–15 | +0.23 |
| 9 | Oregon vs #20 Northwestern · Oct 31 | -180 | 64.3% | 61.6% | 89.1% | Won 34–26 | +0.56 |
| 9 | Penn State vs Purdue · Oct 31 | -375 | 79% | 75.7% | 93.3% | Won 31–17 | +0.27 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech · Oct 31 | -325 | 76.5% | 73.4% | 69.7% | Won 34–11 | +0.31 |
| 9 | #19SMU at Syracuse · Oct 31 | -355 | 78% | 74.8% | 73.3% | Lost 27–30 | −1.00 |
| 9 | South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech · Oct 31 | +190 | 34.5% | 33.1% | 60.5% | Lost 20–35 | −1.00 |
| 9 | South Florida vs UAB · Oct 31 | -305 | 75.3% | 72.2% | 86.3% | Won 30–10 | +0.33 |
| 9 | Southern Miss at UL Monroe · Oct 31 | -166 | 62.4% | 60% | 55.5% | Won 35–21 | +0.60 |
| 9 | TCU vs Kansas · Oct 31 | -238 | 70.4% | 67.5% | 68.7% | Won 22–16 | +0.42 |
| 9 | #11Texas vs Mississippi State · Oct 31 | -1350 | 93.1% | 89.3% | 88.8% | Won 31–3 | +0.07 |
| 9 | #13Texas Tech vs #22 Arizona · Oct 31 | -180 | 64.3% | 61.6% | 72.3% | Won 34–26 | +0.56 |
| 9 | #7UCLA vs Nevada · Oct 31 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 91.4% | Won 27–0 | +0.05 |
| 9 | UNLV vs Northern Illinois · Oct 31 | -2100 | 95.5% | 92% | 90.9% | Won 31–24 | +0.05 |
| 9 | #6Utah at Cincinnati · Oct 31 | -270 | 73% | 70% | 71.2% | Won 49–25 | +0.37 |
| 9 | Utah State vs Colorado State · Oct 31 | -325 | 76.5% | 73.4% | 75.6% | Won 31–14 | +0.31 |
| 9 | #14Wake Forest vs Virginia · Oct 31 | -520 | 83.9% | 80.4% | 66.2% | Won 51–7 | +0.19 |
| 9 | Washington State at San Diego State · Oct 31 | +120 | 45.5% | 43.6% | 55.1% | Lost 20–26 | −1.00 |
| 9 | Western Michigan vs Bowling Green · Oct 31 | -625 | 86.2% | 82.7% | 77% | Won 23–10 | +0.16 |
Read this before using it
What this record is, and what it isn't
A small sample, on purpose. A few weeks of games is not a season. We list every pick the current model makes, losses included, and a record this short says little about what comes next.
How it's graded. Each pick uses the current model re-run on only the games played before that kickoff, so no result leaks into its own pick. This is a replay, not a ledger of what was published at the time: the sheet published in weeks 1 and 2 used an earlier version of the model, so some of its picks differ from this list.
Single bets only. A parlay pays the book's margin once per leg, so it has a higher bar than any row here.
What would change our view
- If "Every pick" stays above its break-even rate by more than the noise figure over a full season, the record is saying something real.
- If the favorite picks keep beating break-even while the underdog picks keep losing, the useful part is narrower than the whole sheet, and we'll say which part.
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Odds are DraftKings' closing moneylines. Results are final scores. 21+. This is a record of past results, not betting advice, and it is not a prediction of future results. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.