CFB Best Ball · Favorites
Good, not great yet. One quiet night at LSU, one 100-yard game against Georgia Southern, and about a third of Clemson's catches in both.
2026 So Far · 2 games
REC
11
5.5 per game
YDS
134
12.2 per catch
TD
1
HALF-PPR
12.5
per game, WR46
What I Paid · Underdog
ADP
129.6
WR38
MY AVG PICK
128.6
right on ADP
EXPOSURE
5 of 16
all in The Tailgate
MY BOARD
169th
set Sept. 3
I went into this one expecting to write that T.J. Moore has been great. The box scores say something more useful than that: his role has been great and his production has been ordinary, and the gap between the two is Clemson's offense.
He has 24.9 half-PPR points in two games, 12.5 a game. That ranks 46th among the 193 receivers in Underdog's player pool who have played two games in our box-score data. The market drafted him as the 38th receiver, so so far he is running slightly behind his price, not ahead of it.
Week 1, at LSU, a 51-10 loss: 4 catches for 31 yards, 5.1 points (ESPN box score, Sept. 5, 2026). Clemson's whole team caught 14 passes for 105 yards.
Week 2, Georgia Southern, a 22-7 win: 7 catches for 103 yards and a 10-yard touchdown, 19.8 points. Clemson's own recap (Sept. 12, 2026) has him leading the offense in a weather-delayed game.
Across both games Moore has 11 of Clemson's 34 receptions, 32%, and 134 of its 302 receiving yards, 44%. He led the team in catches in both games, including the blowout loss.
How I count it: his catches and yards divided by the team's totals in the ESPN box scores. Box scores do not carry targets, so catch share stands in for target share.
A third of the catches is a real WR1 role. The problem is what it is a third of. Clemson has 302 receiving yards in two games. A receiver can have a great share of very little and still score like a WR4.
Moore caught 52 passes for 837 yards and four touchdowns last season (ESPN), 16.1 yards a catch. This year he is at 12.2. Some of that is two games of noise. Some of it is an offense that has not been able to push the ball.
I took him on five of sixteen teams, all in The Tailgate, right at ADP. My preseason board had him 169th, well below the market, so this is another spot where I drafted past my own numbers. So far neither of us has been proven right. He has scored roughly where both prices said he would.
Best Ball Playoffs · Clemson (bye Week 6)
WEEK 11
vs Georgia Tech
WEEK 12
at Duke
WEEK 13
vs South Carolina
Two home games and a trip to Durham. Both of my teams with Duke's Nate Sheppard also have Moore, so on those two rosters Week 12 is one game carrying both.
These are Underdog best ball teams. Nothing gets traded or dropped, so the verdict is about what I do in my next drafts at this price.
A real share of his team's passing game is the hard part to find, and he has it. The offense is the thing that could sink it. At 31% I have enough of him to benefit if Clemson's passing game finds its feet and not so much that it hurts if it doesn't.
If Clemson is still under 200 receiving yards a game through North Carolina, Cal and Miami, the next three games, a third of it is not enough to make him a weekly starter, and five teams is more of him than I want.
If his share falls under a quarter in that stretch, the role was never as secure as two games suggested.
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Exposure figures from my own Underdog draft exports. ADP from Underdog best ball rankings. Statistics and quotes from published reporting. Nothing here is betting advice, and I am telling you what I did, not what you should do.