Big East Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 16.2
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET | Mount St. Mary's #295 | Home | −16.8 | 94% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET | Eastern Michigan #180 | Home | −11.5 | 85% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET | Detroit Mercy #233 | Home | −14.3 | 90% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Neutral at Colonial Hall Greenbrier Tip-Off | −2.5 | 59% |
| 5 | Tue Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET | Cleveland State #298 | Home | −17.3 | 94% |
| 6 | Fri Nov 20, 7:30 PM ET | Iowa #31 | Home | +3.7 | 37% |
| 7 | Wed Nov 25, 2:30 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Neutral at Imperial Arena Battle 4 Atlantis - Signature Series | +4.7 | 33% |
| 8 | Fri Nov 27, 11:00 AM ET | Virginia #22 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Imperial Arena Battle 4 Atlantis - Signature Series | +7.5 | 25% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 2, 7:00 PM ET | Texas Southern #356 | Home | −24.3 | 99% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 5, 8:00 PM ET | Cincinnati #25 Top 5 hardest | Away Crosstown Shootout | +9.5 | 19% |
| 11 | Wed Dec 9, 7:00 PM ET | Purdue Fort Wayne #227 | Home | −14.0 | 90% |
| 12 | Sat Dec 12, 6:00 PM ET | Florida International #185 | Home | −12.4 | 87% |
| 13 | Sat Dec 19, 6:30 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Away · conference | +2.7 | 40% |
| 14 | Tue Dec 22, 8:30 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Home · conference | −1.1 | 54% |
| 15 | Wed Dec 30, 8:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Away · conference | +2.8 | 40% |
| 16 | Sat Jan 2, 12:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Home · conference | −0.4 | 52% |
| 17 | Wed Jan 6, 7:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 | Home · conference | +4.4 | 35% |
| 18 | Sat Jan 9, 1:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Away · conference | +5.4 | 31% |
| 19 | Tue Jan 12, 8:00 PM ET | Butler #80 | Home · conference | −3.6 | 63% |
| 20 | Sat Jan 16, 12:00 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +11.4 | 15% |
| 21 | Tue Jan 19, 6:30 PM ET | Villanova #28 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.5 | 22% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 23, 2:00 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Home · conference | −1.6 | 56% |
| 23 | Tue Jan 26, 8:00 PM ET | St. John's #17 | Home · conference | +6.9 | 27% |
| 24 | Sat Jan 30, 2:00 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Away · conference | +1.0 | 47% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 6, 3:30 PM ET | Butler #80 | Away · conference | +0.7 | 47% |
| 26 | Tue Feb 9, 7:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Home · conference | −1.3 | 55% |
| 27 | Sat Feb 13, 1:00 PM ET | St. John's #17 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +11.2 | 15% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 3:00 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Home · conference | −3.2 | 61% |
| 29 | Wed Feb 24, 8:30 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Away · conference | +3.1 | 39% |
| 30 | Sun Feb 28, 12:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Away · conference | +3.7 | 37% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 7:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Home · conference | +1.0 | 47% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 2:30 PM ET | UConn #13 | Home · conference | +7.3 | 25% |
Spread is from Xavier's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
17 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Westry | PG | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | #37 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 30.6 | 22.1 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| Mike Nwoko | C | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | #121 | 13.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 21.8 | 19.5 | 11.6 | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| Tru Washington | SG | 6-4 | SR | Transfer | #130 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 27.5 | 19.0 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Jovan Milicevic | PF | 6-10 | JR | Returning | #194 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 26.2 | 18.9 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | PF | 6-9 | JR | Transfer | · | 9.5 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 24.5 | 18.6 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 0.6 |
| Ruben Dominguez | SG | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | · | 10.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 23.3 | 18.2 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Braden Appelhans | SG | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | · | 5.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 13.6 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Kalek House | PG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | #95 | · | · | · | · | 11.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Asher Elson | PF | 6-11 | FR | Recruit | #195 | · | · | · | · | 10.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Henry Thole | PF | 6-7 | JR | Walk-on | · | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Michael Wolf | PG | 6-1 | SR | Walk-on | · | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Gabriel Pozzato | SF | 6-7 | RS SO | Returning | · | 14.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 34.9 | · | · | · | · |
| Filip Borovicanin | SF | 6-9 | SR | Returning | · | 10.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 31.1 | · | · | · | · |
| Nikos Chitikoudis | PF | 6-9 | SR | Transfer | · | 11.3 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 26.1 | · | · | · | · |
| Gedeon Basson | PG | 6-1 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Harrison Aligbe | PF | 6-8 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Kason Westphal | C | 7-0 | RS FR | Returning | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.