Big 12 Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 16.5
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, time TBA | Niagara #333 | Home | −19.3 | 96% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Stetson #322 | Home | −19.2 | 96% |
| 3 | Thu Nov 12, time TBA | Mercer #183 | Home | −13.0 | 88% |
| 4 | Tue Nov 17, 11:59 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Neutral at Michelob ULTRA Arena Players Era Eight | +2.6 | 41% |
| 5 | Fri Nov 27, 7:00 PM ET | North Carolina #33 | Neutral at Spectrum Center Dick Vitale Invitational pres. by Belk | +2.9 | 40% |
| 6 | Tue Dec 1, time TBA | Mercyhurst #294 | Home | −16.7 | 94% |
| 7 | Sat Dec 5, 4:30 PM ET | Virginia Tech #52 | Home | −2.2 | 58% |
| 8 | Wed Dec 9, 6:00 PM ET | Pittsburgh #83 | Neutral at PPG Paints Arena Backyard Basketball Classic | −3.5 | 63% |
| 9 | Sun Dec 13, time TBA | Coppin State #364 | Home | −28.3 | 99% |
| 10 | Wed Dec 16, time TBA | Northern Arizona #323 | Home | −18.7 | 96% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 19, 3:30 PM ET | Wake Forest #72 | Neutral at First Horizon Coliseum Holiday Hoopfest | −2.6 | 59% |
| 12 | Mon Dec 21, time TBA | South Carolina State #358 | Home | −24.5 | 99% |
| 13 | Sat Jan 2, 1:30 PM ET | Kansas #14 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.7 | 21% |
| 14 | Tue Jan 5, 6:00 PM ET | Oklahoma State #60 | Home · conference | −2.9 | 60% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 9, time TBA | Colorado #92 | Away · conference | −2.5 | 59% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 12, 8:30 PM ET | Kansas State #101 | Home · conference | −7.9 | 76% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 16, 12:00 PM ET | Cincinnati #25 | Home · conference | +2.9 | 40% |
| 18 | Wed Jan 20, 9:00 PM ET | Utah #98 | Away · conference | −3.0 | 61% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 23, 2:00 PM ET | BYU #27 | Away · conference | +6.3 | 28% |
| 20 | Wed Jan 27, 8:30 PM ET | Arizona State #69 | Home · conference | −3.5 | 63% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 30, 8:00 PM ET | Arizona #6 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +7.5 | 25% |
| 22 | Wed Feb 3, 8:00 PM ET | UCF #47 | Away · conference | +2.6 | 41% |
| 23 | Sat Feb 6, 12:45 PM ET | Iowa State #7 | Home · conference | +7.1 | 26% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 13, 6:00 PM ET | Texas Tech #8 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +10.6 | 17% |
| 25 | Tue Feb 16, 7:00 PM ET | UCF #47 | Home · conference | −1.4 | 55% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 20, time TBA | Baylor #43 | Away · conference | +3.6 | 37% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 24, 6:30 PM ET | Cincinnati #25 | Away · conference | +6.7 | 27% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 27, 12:00 PM ET | Houston #3 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +9.2 | 20% |
| 29 | Wed Mar 3, 5:00 PM ET | TCU #42 | Home · conference | −0.1 | 50% |
| 30 | Sat Mar 6, 3:00 PM ET | Iowa State #7 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +11.0 | 16% |
Spread is from West Virginia's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
14 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack | PG | 6-4 | SR | Transfer | #135 | 17.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 34.0 | 23.4 | 12.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Javan Buchanan | SF | 6-7 | SR | Transfer | · | 12.6 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 27.9 | 21.0 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| Seydou Traore | SF | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | · | 9.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 28.7 | 19.3 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Martin Somerville | PG | 6-3 | JR | Transfer | · | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 26.0 | 19.2 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Joson Sanon | SG | 6-5 | JR | Transfer | #24 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 20.9 | 16.4 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Miles Sadler | PG | 6-0 | FR | Recruit | #21 | · | · | · | · | 15.5 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Amir Jenkins | PG | 6-2 | SO | Returning | #193 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 16.1 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Amadou Seini | C | 7-1 | FR | International | #62 | · | · | · | · | 12.3 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Aliou Dioum | C | 6-10 | FR | Recruit | #118 | · | · | · | · | 10.7 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Keonte Greybear | PG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | #174 | · | · | · | · | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Brenen Lorient | PF | 6-9 | SR | Returning | #240 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 29.4 | · | · | · | · |
| Mo Sylla | C | 6-10 | SO | Transfer | #41 | 9.6 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 21.5 | · | · | · | · |
| MJ Feenane | SG | 6-6 | SO | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Max Olejasz | SF | 6-7 | FR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.