Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 22.9
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, time TBA | Bellarmine #307 | Home | −24.5 | 99% |
| 2 | Thu Nov 5, 6:00 PM ET | Wake Forest #72 | Home | −10.7 | 83% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, time TBA | Memphis #89 | Home | −12.9 | 88% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, time TBA | Prairie View A&M #280 | Home | −24.7 | 99% |
| 5 | Tue Nov 17, time TBA | Eastern Illinois #306 | Home | −24.8 | 99% |
| 6 | Fri Nov 20, time TBA | UCF #47 | Home | −7.4 | 75% |
| 7 | Tue Nov 24, 7:00 PM ET | Ohio State #30 | Away | +0.3 | 49% |
| 8 | Fri Nov 27, time TBA | Southern #300 | Home | −25.4 | 99% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 2, 7:15 PM ET | Notre Dame #74 | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | −6.4 | 72% |
| 10 | Sun Dec 6, 8:00 PM ET | California #94 | Away | −8.7 | 79% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 12, 2:00 PM ET | West Georgia #310 | Home | −26.3 | 99% |
| 12 | Fri Dec 18, time TBA | Southern Indiana #343 | Home | −29.1 | >99% |
| 13 | Mon Dec 21, time TBA | Milwaukee #259 | Home | −22.8 | 98% |
| 14 | Tue Dec 29, 8:00 PM ET | Alcorn State #352 | Home | −30.3 | >99% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 2:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +4.6 | 34% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 6, 7:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Home · conference | −12.6 | 87% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 11:00 AM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +7.0 | 26% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 12, 9:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Home · conference | −13.4 | 89% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 4:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +1.4 | 45% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 19, 7:00 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Home · conference | −5.1 | 68% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 8:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Home · conference | −7.2 | 74% |
| 22 | Wed Jan 27, 9:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Away · conference | −4.2 | 65% |
| 23 | Sat Jan 30, 2:00 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Home · conference | −5.7 | 70% |
| 24 | Tue Feb 2, 9:00 PM ET | LSU #53 | Away · conference | −4.0 | 64% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 6, time TBA | Arkansas #16 | Home · conference | −1.3 | 55% |
| 26 | Tue Feb 9, 7:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Away · conference | −1.6 | 56% |
| 27 | Sat Feb 13, 2:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | −2.2 | 58% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, time TBA | Texas A&M #37 | Away · conference | −1.4 | 55% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 9:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 | Home · conference | −2.7 | 60% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 8:30 PM ET | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +1.8 | 44% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 9:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Away · conference | −0.5 | 52% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 2:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +0.5 | 48% |
Spread is from Vanderbilt's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner | PG | 6-0 | JR | Returning | #249 | 19.5 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 33.5 | 24.6 | 15.5 | 2.9 | 4.0 |
| Ace Glass | PG | 6-3 | SO | Transfer | #155 | 16.4 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 28.8 | 21.5 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Bangot Dak | PF | 6-11 | SR | Transfer | #249 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 25.7 | 19.6 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams | SF | 6-9 | SO | Transfer | #44 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 27.4 | 18.3 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | PF | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | · | 6.5 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 24.3 | 17.5 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| TO Barrett | PG | 6-6 | JR | Transfer | #135 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 22.8 | 17.4 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Gabe Nesmith | SF | 6-6 | FR | Recruit | #34 | · | · | · | · | 13.4 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Chandler Bing | SF | 6-6 | SO | Returning | · | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 14.8 | 11.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Ethan Mgbako | SF | 6-6 | FR | Recruit | #78 | · | · | · | · | 11.4 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Jackson Sheffield | C | 6-10 | FR | Recruit | #106 | · | · | · | · | 9.8 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Jayden Leverett | C | 6-11 | SO | Returning | #218 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Ant Brown Jr. | PG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | #79 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Baylor Allen | PG | 5-11 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Chase Byington | PG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Mavrick Hawkins | SG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.