Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 20.3
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tue Nov 3, time TBA | Alabama State #313 | Home | −23.7 | 98% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Northern Kentucky #222 | Home | −18.9 | 96% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, time TBA | UL Monroe #346 | Home | −27.3 | 99% |
| 4 | Thu Nov 12, time TBA | Oklahoma State #60 | Home | −5.7 | 70% |
| 5 | Mon Nov 16, time TBA | SE Louisiana #299 | Home | −21.0 | 97% |
| 6 | Thu Nov 19, 8:00 PM ET | TCU #42 | Away | +1.7 | 44% |
| 7 | Wed Nov 25, 2:30 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Neutral at Imperial Arena Battle 4 Atlantis - Signature Series | −4.7 | 67% |
| 8 | Fri Nov 27, 5:00 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Neutral at Imperial Arena Battle 4 Atlantis - Signature Series | −4.1 | 65% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 2, 9:15 PM ET | Stanford #76 | Home ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | −7.5 | 75% |
| 10 | Sun Dec 6, 4:00 PM ET | Arkansas-Pine Bluff #320 | Home | −24.3 | 99% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 12, 3:00 PM ET | Florida State #82 | Neutral at Toyota Center (Houston) Houston Hoopfest | −6.5 | 72% |
| 12 | Thu Dec 17, 7:00 PM ET | Holy Cross #328 | Home | −24.2 | 99% |
| 13 | Mon Dec 21, time TBA | North Florida #335 | Home | −26.4 | 99% |
| 14 | Tue Dec 29, time TBA | Prairie View A&M #280 | Home | −21.6 | 97% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 8:30 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Home · conference | −1.7 | 56% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 5, 9:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Away · conference | +0.3 | 49% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 3:30 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Away · conference | −6.1 | 71% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 12, 7:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 | Home · conference | +2.3 | 42% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 6:00 PM ET | LSU #53 | Home · conference | −4.8 | 67% |
| 20 | Wed Jan 20, 7:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +10.7 | 16% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 6:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Away · conference | −0.9 | 53% |
| 22 | Tue Jan 26, 7:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +3.9 | 36% |
| 23 | Sat Jan 30, 2:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +5.7 | 30% |
| 24 | Tue Feb 2, 9:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Home · conference | −1.3 | 55% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 6, 6:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Away · conference | −5.0 | 67% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 3:30 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Home · conference | −2.5 | 59% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 17, 9:00 PM ET | Texas #20 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +5.5 | 31% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, time TBA | Vanderbilt #18 | Home · conference | +1.4 | 45% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 9:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 | Home · conference | +1.0 | 46% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 8:30 PM ET | LSU #53 | Away · conference | −0.6 | 52% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 7:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +4.9 | 33% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 8:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | +1.2 | 46% |
Spread is from Texas A&M's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
17 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty | PG | 6-4 | SR | Transfer | #159 | 23.4 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 35.2 | 24.8 | 17.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| Tyshawn Archie | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 14.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 25.7 | 20.6 | 10.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Jalen Shelley | SF | 6-8 | JR | Transfer | #62 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 31.1 | 18.9 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Lukas Walls | SG | 6-5 | SR | Transfer | · | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 23.9 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Reece | PG | 6-0 | SO | Transfer | #81 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 23.8 | 17.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Jamie Vinson | PF | 6-11 | JR | Returning | #212 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 6.7 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Josh Irving | C | 6-11 | FR | Recruit | #69 | · | · | · | · | 10.4 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako | PF | 6-9 | RS JR | Returning | #12 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 18.9 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Cade Phillips | PF | 6-9 | RS JR | Transfer | #148 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 16.9 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Chris McDermott | PF | 6-7 | JR | Returning | #184 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Jeremiah Green | PG | 6-3 | RS FR | Returning | #102 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Jordan Pope | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | #189 | 13.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 29.1 | · | · | · | · |
| Rylan Griffen | SG | 6-5 | SR | Returning | #45 | 11.2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 26.0 | · | · | · | · |
| Zach Clemence | PF | 6-11 | SR | Returning | #66 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 16.9 | · | · | · | · |
| Kyle Moran | SG | 6-3 | SR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Neiko Mundey | PG | 6-3 | RS FR | Returning | #86 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Preston Clark | PF | 6-6 | SR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.