Atlantic Coast Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
31 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 16.7
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, time TBA | Eastern Washington #169 | Home | −10.0 | 82% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Oakland #147 | Home | −8.9 | 79% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, time TBA | Rice #246 | Home | −13.2 | 88% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET | UNLV #90 | Away | +0.4 | 49% |
| 5 | Tue Nov 17, 10:00 PM ET | UC Irvine #120 | Home | −6.8 | 73% |
| 6 | Thu Nov 19, time TBA | Sacramento State #288 | Home | −15.8 | 92% |
| 7 | Tue Nov 24, 11:59 PM ET | Colorado #92 | Neutral at Acrisure Arena Acrisure Series | −1.7 | 56% |
| 8 | Sun Nov 29, 5:00 PM ET | Portland #216 | Home | −12.2 | 87% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 2, 9:15 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 Top 5 hardest | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | +7.5 | 25% |
| 10 | Sun Dec 6, time TBA | Pacific #161 | Home | −9.0 | 79% |
| 11 | Mon Dec 14, time TBA | Northern Colorado #197 | Home | −11.2 | 85% |
| 12 | Fri Dec 18, time TBA | San José State #210 | Home | −11.3 | 85% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 22, time TBA | St. Thomas-Minnesota #175 | Home | −10.3 | 83% |
| 14 | Wed Dec 30, 2:00 PM ET | Notre Dame #74 | Away · conference | +2.2 | 42% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 6:00 PM ET | Louisville #9 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +14.1 | 10% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 6, 9:00 PM ET | Virginia #22 | Home · conference | +6.1 | 29% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 5:30 PM ET | Florida State #82 | Home · conference | −2.9 | 60% |
| 18 | Wed Jan 13, 9:00 PM ET | Duke #1 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +17.9 | 5% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 2:15 PM ET | North Carolina #33 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.1 | 23% |
| 20 | Sat Jan 23, 9:00 PM ET | California #94 | Away · conference | +0.1 | 50% |
| 21 | Wed Jan 27, 11:00 PM ET | Syracuse #56 | Home · conference | +0.5 | 48% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, 8:00 PM ET | NC State #29 | Home · conference | +5.0 | 32% |
| 23 | Wed Feb 3, 7:00 PM ET | Georgia Tech #112 | Away · conference | −1.8 | 56% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 6, 8:00 PM ET | SMU #50 | Away · conference | +5.2 | 32% |
| 25 | Wed Feb 10, 9:00 PM ET | Miami #24 | Home · conference | +6.0 | 29% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 4:30 PM ET | Virginia Tech #52 | Home · conference | +0.6 | 48% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 17, 9:00 PM ET | Syracuse #56 | Away · conference | +4.5 | 34% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 12:00 PM ET | Clemson #19 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +10.1 | 18% |
| 29 | Wed Feb 24, 11:00 PM ET | Wake Forest #72 | Home · conference | −1.8 | 56% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 8:00 PM ET | Boston College #111 | Home · conference | −5.6 | 69% |
| 31 | Sat Mar 6, 4:00 PM ET | California #94 | Home · conference | −4.0 | 64% |
Spread is from Stanford's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
16 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Bliss | PG | 6-4 | JR | Transfer | #150 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 39.8 | 23.8 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Nick Townsend | PF | 6-7 | SR | Transfer | · | 16.3 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 33.3 | 23.8 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| Aidan Cammann | PF | 6-10 | SR | Returning | · | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 21.7 | 15.3 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Austin Maurer | C | 7-0 | JR | Transfer | #214 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 17.9 | 15.1 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Aziz Olajuwon | SF | 6-7 | FR | Recruit | #74 | · | · | · | · | 10.8 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Drew Anderson | PF | 6-9 | FR | Recruit | #141 | · | · | · | · | 9.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Elias Obenyah | SG | 6-5 | FR | Recruit | #140 | · | · | · | · | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Isaiah Rogers | PG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | #112 | · | · | · | · | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Julius Price | SG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | #152 | · | · | · | · | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Myles Jones | SG | 6-3 | SO | Returning | #291 | · | · | · | · | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Donavin Young | PF | 6-8 | JR | Returning | · | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 15.5 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Ethan Kitch | PG | 6-2 | JR | Walk-on | · | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Kristers Skrinda | PF | 6-10 | SO | Returning | · | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Evan Stinson | SF | 6-7 | JR | Returning | #254 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Tallis Toure | C | 6-11 | JR | Returning | · | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Anthony Batson Jr. | SG | 6-3 | JR | Returning | #264 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 5.1 | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.