Big East Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 22.9
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 6:30 PM ET | Monmouth #205 | Home | −21.4 | 97% |
| 2 | Sun Nov 8, 12:00 PM ET | Iona #250 | Home | −24.1 | 99% |
| 3 | Wed Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET | Colgate #235 | Home | −22.6 | 98% |
| 4 | Sun Nov 15, 7:00 PM ET | Syracuse #56 | Home | −9.2 | 80% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET | Siena #198 | Home | −20.5 | 97% |
| 6 | Tue Nov 24, 10:30 PM ET | Oregon #75 | Neutral at Michelob ULTRA Arena Players Era Sixteen | −9.5 | 81% |
| 7 | Tue Dec 1, 6:30 PM ET | Columbia #181 | Home | −20.3 | 97% |
| 8 | Sat Dec 5, 12:00 PM ET | Arizona #6 Top 5 hardest | Home Hall of Fame Series - New York City | +1.3 | 45% |
| 9 | Tue Dec 8, 6:30 PM ET | Wagner #331 | Home | −28.6 | >99% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 12, 3:30 PM ET | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Legacy Arena at BJCC C.M. Newton Classic | −1.3 | 55% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 19, 8:30 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Home · conference | −11.8 | 86% |
| 12 | Wed Dec 23, 8:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Away · conference | −4.9 | 67% |
| 13 | Wed Dec 30, 6:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Away · conference | −3.8 | 64% |
| 14 | Sun Jan 3, 5:00 PM ET | Butler #80 | Away · conference | −8.2 | 77% |
| 15 | Wed Jan 6, 7:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Home · conference | −10.0 | 82% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 13, 7:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Home · conference | −8.2 | 77% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 16, 3:30 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Away · conference | −5.6 | 70% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 19, 7:30 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Away · conference | −7.7 | 76% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 23, 12:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Home · conference | −8.9 | 79% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 26, 8:00 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Away · conference | −6.9 | 73% |
| 21 | Fri Jan 29, 8:00 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | −1.2 | 54% |
| 22 | Tue Feb 2, 7:30 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Away · conference | −6.3 | 72% |
| 23 | Sat Feb 6, 12:30 PM ET | Villanova #28 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | −0.1 | 50% |
| 24 | Wed Feb 10, 6:30 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Home · conference | −9.8 | 81% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 13, 1:00 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Home · conference | −11.2 | 85% |
| 26 | Wed Feb 17, 7:00 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Home · conference | −10.6 | 83% |
| 27 | Sat Feb 20, 1:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Away · conference | −5.8 | 70% |
| 28 | Tue Feb 23, 7:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 | Home · conference | −4.2 | 65% |
| 29 | Sat Feb 27, 1:00 PM ET | Butler #80 | Home · conference | −12.5 | 87% |
| 30 | Tue Mar 2, 7:30 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +2.9 | 40% |
Spread is from St. John's's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
16 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | SF | 6-7 | SR | Transfer | · | 19.3 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 33.6 | 25.7 | 16.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | SF | 6-5 | SO | Transfer | #14 | 17.8 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 32.6 | 25.7 | 15.0 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Reed Bailey | PF | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | · | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 19.1 | 19.9 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| Donnie Freeman | PF | 6-9 | JR (RS) | Transfer | #9 | 16.5 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 31.3 | 19.8 | 10.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Ian Jackson | SG | 6-5 | JR | Returning | #8 | 9.4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 18.3 | 16.9 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | SG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 7.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 16.4 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Ruben Prey | C | 6-11 | JR | Returning | · | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 10.8 | 13.9 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Theo Edema | C | 6-11 | FR | Recruit | #103 | · | · | · | · | 10.7 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos | SG | 6-4 | JR | Returning | · | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Avery Brown | PG | 6-2 | RS SR | Transfer | #217 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 15.0 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Fotis Konstantinidis | PG | 6-2 | SO | Returning | · | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Casper Pohto | SG | 6-3 | SO | Returning | · | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Babacar Sane | SF | 6-7 | SR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Lazar Stojkovic | C | 7-1 | FR | International | #327 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Quinn Ellis | PG | 6-5 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Zsombor Maronka | PF | 6-10 | SR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.