Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 13.3
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tue Nov 3, time TBA | Stetson #322 | Home | −14.6 | 91% |
| 2 | Sun Nov 8, time TBA | Southeast Missouri State #209 | Home | −8.9 | 79% |
| 3 | Wed Nov 11, time TBA | Saint Peter's #267 | Home | −10.9 | 84% |
| 4 | Sat Nov 14, time TBA | Gardner-Webb #362 | Home | −21.1 | 97% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET | Elon #247 | Home | −10.5 | 83% |
| 6 | Wed Nov 25, 4:30 PM ET | USC #39 | Neutral at Acrisure Arena Acrisure Series | +8.0 | 23% |
| 7 | Thu Nov 26, 2:00 PM ET | Arizona State #69 | Neutral at Acrisure Arena Acrisure Series | +4.1 | 35% |
| 8 | Tue Dec 1, 7:00 PM ET | NC State #29 | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | +11.8 | 14% |
| 9 | Sun Dec 6, time TBA | UT Martin #221 | Home | −9.1 | 80% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 12, time TBA | Youngstown State #242 | Home | −10.3 | 82% |
| 11 | Tue Dec 15, 9:00 PM ET | Clemson #19 | Home | +8.7 | 21% |
| 12 | Sat Dec 19, 1:00 PM ET | Maryland #97 | Neutral at CFG Bank Arena | +0.6 | 48% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 22, 4:00 PM ET | North Carolina Central #341 | Home | −16.8 | 94% |
| 14 | Tue Dec 29, time TBA | South Carolina State #358 | Home | −20.0 | 97% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 3:30 PM ET | LSU #53 | Away · conference | +7.2 | 26% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 6, 9:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 | Home · conference | +10.4 | 17% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 3:30 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Home · conference | +6.1 | 29% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 12, 9:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +13.4 | 11% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 1:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Away · conference | +8.1 | 23% |
| 20 | Wed Jan 20, 6:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 | Home · conference | +9.4 | 20% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 1:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Away · conference | +3.3 | 38% |
| 22 | Wed Jan 27, 8:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | +9.0 | 21% |
| 23 | Sat Jan 30, 1:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Away · conference | +10.6 | 17% |
| 24 | Tue Feb 2, 7:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +18.4 | 5% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 6, 8:30 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Home · conference | +6.0 | 29% |
| 26 | Wed Feb 10, 8:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +12.6 | 13% |
| 27 | Sat Feb 13, 6:00 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Home · conference | +6.3 | 28% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 3:30 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Home · conference | +3.0 | 39% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 7:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +15.4 | 8% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 1:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Home · conference | −0.8 | 53% |
| 31 | Tue Mar 2, 8:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +14.2 | 10% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 12:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Away · conference | +10.2 | 18% |
Spread is from South Carolina's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 14.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 33.9 | 28.7 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Shane Blakeney | SG | 6-5 | SR | Transfer | · | 14.2 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 33.7 | 28.3 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| Camden Heide | SF | 6-7 | SR | Transfer | #130 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 22.5 | 19.6 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Grant Polk | SG | 6-6 | SO | Returning | #243 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 12.9 | 14.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Johnson | PG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | #75 | · | · | · | · | 14.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Hayden Assemian | PF | 6-6 | SO | Returning | #246 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Davion Hannah | SG | 6-6 | SO | Transfer | #48 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 12.8 | 10.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Eli Sparkman | PG | 6-0 | SR | Walk-on | · | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Jakub Necas | PF | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | · | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 24.4 | · | · | · | · |
| Alexsas Bieliauskas | PF | 6-11 | SO | Transfer | · | 4.9 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 20.1 | · | · | · | · |
| Ford Wilder | SG | 6-4 | FR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Hugo Lopez | PF | 6-9 | SR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Juan Fernandez | C | 6-11 | SR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Mathias Alessanco | PF | 6-8 | FR | International | #288 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Nasir Hines | PF | 6-10 | SO | Transfer | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.