Big East Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
31 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 17.7
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 7:30 PM ET | Saint Peter's #267 | Home | −15.6 | 92% |
| 2 | Thu Nov 5, 6:30 PM ET | Long Island University #316 | Home | −19.2 | 96% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, time TBA | Charlotte #122 | Neutral at The Palestra | −6.8 | 73% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Away | +8.1 | 23% |
| 5 | Thu Nov 19, 8:30 PM ET | Wisconsin #41 | Neutral at Baha Mar Convention Center Baha Mar Championship | +2.4 | 41% |
| 6 | Tue Nov 24, 7:00 PM ET | New Hampshire #350 | Home | −22.8 | 98% |
| 7 | Sat Nov 28, 12:00 PM ET | Siena #198 | Home | −12.8 | 88% |
| 8 | Fri Dec 4, 7:00 PM ET | Kansas State #101 | Home | −7.6 | 76% |
| 9 | Mon Dec 7, 7:00 PM ET | NJIT #345 | Home | −22.1 | 98% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 12, 4:30 PM ET | Rutgers #95 | Away | −2.4 | 59% |
| 11 | Tue Dec 15, 7:00 PM ET | UNC Greensboro #297 | Home | −17.4 | 94% |
| 12 | Sat Dec 19, 12:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Away · conference | +1.1 | 46% |
| 13 | Wed Dec 23, 8:00 PM ET | St. John's #17 | Home · conference | +4.9 | 33% |
| 14 | Wed Dec 30, 4:00 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Away · conference | −0.7 | 52% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 12:00 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Away · conference | +0.4 | 48% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 6, 6:00 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Home · conference | −2.6 | 59% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 7:00 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +5.3 | 31% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 12, 6:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +6.4 | 28% |
| 19 | Fri Jan 15, 8:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Home · conference | −2.8 | 60% |
| 20 | Sat Jan 23, 12:00 PM ET | St. John's #17 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.9 | 21% |
| 21 | Wed Jan 27, 6:30 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Home · conference | −3.1 | 61% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, 12:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Away · conference | +3.4 | 38% |
| 23 | Wed Feb 3, 6:30 PM ET | Butler #80 | Home · conference | −5.0 | 67% |
| 24 | Sun Feb 7, 2:30 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Home · conference | −4.6 | 66% |
| 25 | Wed Feb 10, 8:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 | Home · conference | +2.6 | 41% |
| 26 | Sun Feb 14, 3:00 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Away · conference | +1.4 | 45% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 17, 8:00 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +9.2 | 20% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 8:30 PM ET | Providence #46 | Home · conference | −0.8 | 53% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 9:00 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Away · conference | +0.9 | 47% |
| 30 | Sun Feb 28, 12:00 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Home · conference | −3.7 | 63% |
| 31 | Sat Mar 6, 1:30 PM ET | Butler #80 | Away · conference | −0.9 | 53% |
Spread is from Seton Hall's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Brown | SG | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | #177 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 32.3 | 21.8 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Del Jones | PG | 6-3 | JR | Transfer | #145 | 17.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 31.7 | 21.7 | 10.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Kareem Thomas | SG | 6-5 | JR | Transfer | · | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 29.2 | 20.5 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Roddie Anderson III | PG | 6-3 | SR | Transfer | · | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 23.8 | 19.1 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Devin Williams | PF | 6-10 | JR | Transfer | #76 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 23.8 | 18.4 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| Mayar Wol | SF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | #195 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 19.9 | 17.2 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Simeon Wilcher | SG | 6-4 | SR | Transfer | #37 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 18.7 | 15.0 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Trey Parker | PG | 6-0 | JR | Returning | #142 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 13.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Mihailo Petrovic | PG | 6-2 | JR | Transfer | · | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Elijah Fisher | SF | 6-6 | SR | Returning | #34 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 20.7 | · | · | · | · |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba | C | 7-0 | JR | Transfer | · | 4.7 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 17.3 | · | · | · | · |
| Darien Moore Jr. | PG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | #154 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Ilay Dolinski | PF | 6-8 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Terry Copeland Jr. | PF | 6-9 | JR | Transfer | #203 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Theo Airhienbuwa | SF | 6-6 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.