Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 16.4
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, time TBA | Alcorn State #352 | Home | −23.3 | 98% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Central Arkansas #164 | Home | −11.9 | 86% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, time TBA | SE Louisiana #299 | Home | −17.2 | 94% |
| 4 | Tue Nov 17, time TBA | Nicholls #236 | Home | −15.3 | 92% |
| 5 | Mon Nov 23, 2:30 PM ET | Clemson #19 | Neutral at Lahaina Civic Center Southwest Maui Invitational | +5.9 | 30% |
| 6 | Tue Dec 1, 9:00 PM ET | Virginia Tech #52 | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | +2.3 | 42% |
| 7 | Mon Dec 7, time TBA | William & Mary #166 | Home | −12.8 | 88% |
| 8 | Sat Dec 12, time TBA | UL Monroe #346 | Neutral at Landers Center | −21.0 | 97% |
| 9 | Tue Dec 15, time TBA | Youngstown State #242 | Home | −15.3 | 92% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 19, 7:00 PM ET | NC State #29 | Home | +2.6 | 41% |
| 11 | Tue Dec 22, time TBA | Southern Miss #214 | Neutral at Mississippi Coast Coliseum | −12.3 | 87% |
| 12 | Mon Dec 28, 7:00 PM ET | Jackson State #357 | Home | −25.3 | 99% |
| 13 | Sat Jan 2, 1:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Home · conference | +0.7 | 48% |
| 14 | Tue Jan 5, 7:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +7.6 | 24% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 9, 12:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | +4.0 | 36% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 13, 9:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.3 | 22% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 16, 8:30 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Away · conference | +5.3 | 32% |
| 18 | Sat Jan 23, 6:00 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Home · conference | +0.9 | 47% |
| 19 | Wed Jan 27, 9:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 | Home · conference | +4.2 | 35% |
| 20 | Sat Jan 30, 6:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Away · conference | +3.1 | 39% |
| 21 | Tue Feb 2, 9:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 | Home · conference | +3.5 | 37% |
| 22 | Sat Feb 6, 4:00 PM ET | LSU #53 | Away · conference | +2.2 | 42% |
| 23 | Tue Feb 9, 9:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +9.4 | 20% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 13, 8:30 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Home · conference | −5.9 | 71% |
| 25 | Wed Feb 17, 7:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +6.5 | 28% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 20, 3:30 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Away · conference | −3.0 | 61% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 24, 9:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +13.2 | 12% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 27, 3:30 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Home · conference | +1.6 | 44% |
| 29 | Tue Mar 2, 10:00 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Home · conference | +1.2 | 46% |
| 30 | Sat Mar 6, 4:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Away · conference | −1.8 | 57% |
Spread is from Ole Miss's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Clark | PG | 5-10 | SR | Transfer | · | 12.7 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 30.6 | 18.2 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Corey Stephenson | SF | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | · | 18.0 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 31.1 | 17.9 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 1.0 |
| Ilias Kamardine | PG | 6-5 | SR | Returning | · | 11.3 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 31.0 | 17.3 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Dasear Haskins | SF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | · | 11.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 27.8 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Roman Siulepa | SF | 6-7 | SO | Transfer | · | 10.0 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 26.6 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Patton Pinkins | SG | 6-5 | SO | Returning | #83 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 24.9 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Santiago Trouet | PF | 6-11 | SR | Transfer | · | 8.1 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 25.6 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
| Micah Handlogten | C | 7-1 | SR | Transfer | #299 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 14.8 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Christian Brown | PF | 6-8 | SO | Transfer | · | 3.0 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 13.3 | 10.2 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Stefan Cicic | C | 7-0 | JR | Transfer | · | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 12.4 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Daniel Patton | SF | 6-7 | FR | Recruit | #301 | · | · | · | · | 8.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Jaron Saulsberry | SF | 6-6 | FR | Recruit | #169 | · | · | · | · | 8.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Yohance Connor | PG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | #166 | · | · | · | · | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Zach Day | SG | 6-5 | JR | Walk-on | · | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Ben Henshall | SG | 6-6 | SR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.