Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 20.6
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, time TBA | East Texas A&M #248 | Home | −19.6 | 96% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Mississippi Valley State #360 | Home | −29.2 | >99% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, time TBA | North Alabama #330 | Home | −24.0 | 99% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, time TBA | Fairleigh Dickinson #325 | Home | −23.0 | 98% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, time TBA | Campbell #163 | Home | −15.8 | 92% |
| 6 | Tue Nov 24, 1:30 PM ET | Pittsburgh #83 | Neutral at Suncoast Credit Union Arena Fort Myers Tip-Off - Beach Division | −6.6 | 73% |
| 7 | Thu Nov 26, 12:00 PM ET | Purdue #21 | Neutral at Suncoast Credit Union Arena Fort Myers Tip-Off - Beach Division | +2.1 | 42% |
| 8 | Tue Dec 1, 9:00 PM ET | Syracuse #56 | Home ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | −5.5 | 69% |
| 9 | Sat Dec 5, 12:00 PM ET | Arizona State #69 | Neutral at BOK Center | −4.8 | 67% |
| 10 | Mon Dec 7, 9:00 PM ET | Alabama State #313 | Home | −23.5 | 98% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 12, 2:30 PM ET | Oklahoma State #60 | Neutral at Paycom Center | −4.1 | 65% |
| 12 | Thu Dec 17, 9:00 PM ET | Jackson State #357 | Home | −29.1 | >99% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 22, 8:30 PM ET | SMU #50 | Away | −0.9 | 53% |
| 14 | Mon Dec 28, time TBA | UL Monroe #346 | Home | −26.9 | 99% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 12:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 | Home · conference | −0.1 | 50% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 6, 9:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +9.5 | 19% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 6:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Home · conference | −9.7 | 81% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 12, 7:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Away · conference | +1.1 | 46% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 12:00 PM ET | Texas #20 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +4.5 | 34% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 19, 7:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Home · conference | −4.5 | 66% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 8:30 PM ET | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +4.5 | 34% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, 1:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Home · conference | −10.6 | 83% |
| 23 | Tue Feb 2, 9:00 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Away · conference | +1.3 | 45% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 6, 3:30 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Away · conference | +1.6 | 44% |
| 25 | Wed Feb 10, 7:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +3.0 | 39% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 1:00 PM ET | LSU #53 | Home · conference | −5.4 | 69% |
| 27 | Tue Feb 16, 7:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Away · conference | −0.5 | 52% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 8:30 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | +0.4 | 48% |
| 29 | Wed Feb 24, 9:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Home · conference | −3.2 | 61% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 3:30 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Away · conference | −1.6 | 56% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 9:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 | Home · conference | +0.5 | 48% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 12:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +5.6 | 30% |
Spread is from Oklahoma's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
14 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | PF | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | #198 | 12.4 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 7.2 | 1.5 |
| BJ Edwards | PG | 6-3 | SR | Transfer | #96 | 12.7 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 33.2 | 20.4 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Xzavyier Brown | PG | 6-3 | SR | Returning | #237 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 32.4 | 20.0 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Derrion Reid | SF | 6-8 | JR | Returning | #16 | 11.7 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 27.5 | 17.3 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| Pop Isaacs | PG | 6-2 | SR | Transfer | #92 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 22.3 | 16.7 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Tyler Hendricks | SG | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | · | 11.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 29.8 | 16.3 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Khani Rooths | SF | 6-9 | JR | Transfer | #33 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 15.9 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| Yaak Yaak | C | 7-0 | SR | Transfer | · | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Dayton Forsythe | PG | 6-2 | JR | Returning | #223 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 17.3 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Gage Mayfield | SF | 6-7 | FR | Recruit | #88 | · | · | · | · | 9.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Wadley | SG | 6-5 | FR | Recruit | #55 | · | · | · | · | 9.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Kai Rogers | C | 6-10 | SO | Returning | #72 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Ben Moser | SG | 6-3 | SR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Finley Keeffe | SF | 6-7 | SO | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.