Big Ten Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 12.4
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET | Bucknell #336 | Home | −17.0 | 94% |
| 2 | Sat Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Away | +5.5 | 31% |
| 3 | Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET | Virginia #22 | Home | +8.0 | 23% |
| 4 | Mon Nov 16, 6:00 PM ET | Alcorn State #352 | Home | −19.0 | 96% |
| 5 | Fri Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET | Wagner #331 | Home | −16.4 | 93% |
| 6 | Tue Nov 24, 3:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Michelob ULTRA Arena Players Era Sixteen | +12.8 | 12% |
| 7 | Wed Dec 2, 7:00 PM ET | American University #187 | Home | −8.4 | 78% |
| 8 | Sun Dec 6, 12:00 PM ET | Ohio State #30 | Away · conference | +10.6 | 17% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 9, 8:30 PM ET | Michigan State #12 | Home · conference | +10.3 | 17% |
| 10 | Tue Dec 15, 8:00 PM ET | Morgan State #361 | Home | −22.2 | 98% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 19, 1:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Neutral at CFG Bank Arena | −0.6 | 52% |
| 12 | Tue Dec 29, 6:30 PM ET | Radford #269 | Home | −12.4 | 87% |
| 13 | Sat Jan 2, 6:00 PM ET | UCLA #45 | Home · conference | +4.3 | 35% |
| 14 | Tue Jan 5, 8:00 PM ET | USC #39 | Home · conference | +5.3 | 32% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 9, 6:00 PM ET | Iowa #31 | Away · conference | +10.1 | 18% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 12, 6:00 PM ET | Indiana #38 | Away · conference | +9.0 | 21% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 16, 2:00 PM ET | Illinois #5 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +12.5 | 13% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 19, 7:00 PM ET | Rutgers #95 | Home · conference | −1.9 | 57% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 23, 12:00 PM ET | Purdue #21 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +11.8 | 14% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 26, 7:00 PM ET | Wisconsin #41 | Home · conference | +5.0 | 32% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 30, 12:00 PM ET | Penn State #108 | Away · conference | +0.5 | 48% |
| 22 | Tue Feb 2, 7:00 PM ET | Michigan State #12 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +14.3 | 10% |
| 23 | Tue Feb 9, 6:30 PM ET | Nebraska #15 | Home · conference | +9.8 | 19% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 13, 12:00 PM ET | Indiana #38 | Home · conference | +5.0 | 32% |
| 25 | Wed Feb 17, 9:00 PM ET | Oregon #75 | Away · conference | +4.0 | 36% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 20, 5:00 PM ET | Washington #65 | Away · conference | +5.6 | 30% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 24, 6:30 PM ET | Minnesota #87 | Home · conference | −1.1 | 54% |
| 28 | Sun Feb 28, 5:00 PM ET | Rutgers #95 | Away · conference | +2.1 | 42% |
| 29 | Thu Mar 4, 6:30 PM ET | Michigan #2 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +20.2 | 3% |
| 30 | Sun Mar 7, 1:00 PM ET | Northwestern #64 | Home · conference | +1.6 | 44% |
Spread is from Maryland's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
16 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomislav Buljan | PF | 6-9 | SO | Transfer | · | 13.1 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 25.9 | 20.4 | 10.4 | 7.6 | 1.2 |
| Andre Mills | SG | 6-4 | SO | Returning | #119 | 12.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 26.6 | 19.7 | 9.9 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Bishop Boswell | PG | 6-4 | JR | Transfer | #75 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 26.4 | 16.9 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| DJ Wagner | PG | 6-4 | SR | Transfer | #7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 23.6 | 15.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Maban Jabriel | SF | 6-9 | JR | Transfer | · | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 19.8 | 15.3 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| Baba Oladotun | SF | 6-10 | FR | Recruit | #11 | · | · | · | · | 14.4 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Kaden House | SG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | #45 | · | · | · | · | 13.2 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Adama Tambedou | PF | 6-7 | FR | Recruit | #122 | · | · | · | · | 9.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Austin Brown | SF | 6-8 | FR | Recruit | #197 | · | · | · | · | 9.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Robert Jennings II | PF | 6-8 | RS SR | Transfer | #239 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| George Turkson Jr. | SF | 6-7 | SO | Returning | #110 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 11.5 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Guillermo Del Pino | PG | 6-5 | SO | Returning | · | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Mike McNair Jr. | SG | 6-5 | SR | Transfer | · | 16.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 36.1 | · | · | · | · |
| Pharrel Payne | C | 6-9 | RS SR | Returning | #203 | 17.5 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 26.9 | · | · | · | · |
| Alex K'Medehouto | C | 7-0 | JR | Transfer | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Lukas Sotell | SG | 6-3 | SR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.