Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 16.6
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tue Nov 3, time TBA | New Orleans #207 | Home | −14.5 | 91% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Texas Southern #356 | Home | −25.1 | 99% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, time TBA | Louisiana Tech #182 | Home | −12.3 | 87% |
| 4 | Sat Nov 14, time TBA | Gonzaga #10 Top 5 hardest | Away Bad Boy Mowers Series | +10.8 | 16% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, time TBA | UL Monroe #346 | Home | −23.3 | 98% |
| 6 | Sat Nov 21, time TBA | Queens University #160 | Home | −12.3 | 87% |
| 7 | Wed Nov 25, 2:00 PM ET | Arizona State #69 | Neutral at Acrisure Arena Acrisure Series | −1.3 | 55% |
| 8 | Thu Nov 26, 7:00 PM ET | SMU #50 | Neutral at Acrisure Arena Acrisure Series | +0.5 | 48% |
| 9 | Tue Dec 1, 9:00 PM ET | Wake Forest #72 | Home ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | −4.4 | 66% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 5, time TBA | Hofstra #119 | Home | −8.9 | 79% |
| 11 | Sun Dec 13, 3:30 PM ET | Houston #3 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Toyota Center (Houston) Houston Hoopfest | +11.8 | 14% |
| 12 | Fri Dec 18, time TBA | High Point #54 | Home | −2.2 | 58% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 22, 6:00 PM ET | Louisiana #305 | Home | −17.8 | 95% |
| 14 | Mon Dec 28, time TBA | Washington State #165 | Home | −12.4 | 87% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 3:30 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Home · conference | −7.2 | 74% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 5, 7:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.1 | 23% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 8:30 PM ET | Tennessee #11 | Home · conference | +6.3 | 28% |
| 18 | Wed Jan 13, 7:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 | Away · conference | +7.4 | 25% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 6:00 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Away · conference | +4.8 | 33% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 19, 9:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | +3.8 | 37% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 3:30 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Home · conference | +1.0 | 46% |
| 22 | Tue Jan 26, 9:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +9.2 | 20% |
| 23 | Sat Jan 30, 3:30 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Away · conference | +4.7 | 34% |
| 24 | Tue Feb 2, 9:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 | Home · conference | +4.0 | 36% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 6, 4:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Home · conference | −2.2 | 58% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 1:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Away · conference | +5.4 | 31% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 17, 8:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +8.8 | 21% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 6:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Away · conference | −2.1 | 57% |
| 29 | Wed Feb 24, 7:00 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Away · conference | +5.0 | 32% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 8:30 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Home · conference | +0.6 | 48% |
| 31 | Tue Mar 2, 9:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 | Home · conference | +4.9 | 33% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 2:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Away · conference | +2.9 | 40% |
Spread is from LSU's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
12 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | PG | 6-2 | SR | Transfer | · | 13.3 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 34.4 | 28.2 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 6.5 |
| Skyy Clark | PG | 6-3 | SR | Transfer | #36 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 28.5 | 23.3 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Austin Nunez | PG | 6-2 | SR | Transfer | #93 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 28.5 | 21.3 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | PF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | #101 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | SG | 6-5 | SR | Transfer | · | 13.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 24.7 | 18.5 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | PG | 6-3 | JR | Transfer | · | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 16.1 | 14.7 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Brice Dessert | C | 6-11 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Gilad Levy | C | 7-3 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Jordan Bender | PF | 6-8 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Michael Ruzic | C | 7-0 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| RJ Luis Jr. | SG | 6-7 | SR | Pro | #221 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Saliou Niang | SF | 6-6 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.