Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 21.2
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tue Nov 3, time TBA | Manhattan #285 | Home | −23.3 | 98% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET | James Madison #244 | Home | −21.1 | 97% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, 9:30 PM ET | Kansas #14 | Neutral at United Center State Farm Champions Classic | +2.2 | 42% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, time TBA | Northern Arizona #323 | Home | −24.9 | 99% |
| 5 | Mon Nov 16, time TBA | Grambling #326 | Home | −26.3 | 99% |
| 6 | Fri Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET | Indiana #38 | Neutral at Lucas Oil Stadium | −2.8 | 60% |
| 7 | Fri Nov 27, 9:00 PM ET | Wichita State #61 | Home | −7.9 | 76% |
| 8 | Wed Dec 2, 7:15 PM ET | Virginia #22 Top 5 hardest | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | +2.3 | 42% |
| 9 | Sat Dec 5, time TBA | App State #186 | Home | −17.8 | 95% |
| 10 | Tue Dec 8, 7:30 PM ET | Bryant #332 | Home | −26.3 | 99% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 12, 4:00 PM ET | Louisville #9 | Home | +1.8 | 43% |
| 12 | Sat Dec 19, 2:30 PM ET | North Carolina #33 | Neutral at Madison Square Garden CBS Sports Classic | −2.0 | 57% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 22, 1:00 PM ET | Sacred Heart #274 | Home | −22.7 | 98% |
| 14 | Mon Dec 28, 7:00 PM ET | Gardner-Webb #362 | Home | −32.5 | >99% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 12:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Away · conference | +0.1 | 50% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 5, 7:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Home · conference | −7.6 | 76% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 4:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Away · conference | −2.4 | 59% |
| 18 | Wed Jan 13, 7:00 PM ET | LSU #53 | Home · conference | −7.4 | 75% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 4:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 | Home · conference | −1.4 | 55% |
| 20 | Wed Jan 20, 8:30 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Away · conference | −7.6 | 76% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 2:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 | Home · conference | +1.2 | 46% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, 12:00 PM ET | Texas #20 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +2.6 | 41% |
| 23 | Tue Feb 2, 9:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Away · conference | −3.5 | 63% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 6, 2:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 | Home · conference | −2.0 | 57% |
| 25 | Wed Feb 10, 8:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Home · conference | −12.6 | 87% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 4:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +5.2 | 32% |
| 27 | Tue Feb 16, 7:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Away · conference | −0.9 | 53% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, time TBA | Arkansas #16 | Home · conference | −0.6 | 52% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 9:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +2.7 | 40% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, time TBA | Auburn #36 | Home · conference | −4.4 | 66% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 7:00 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Home · conference | −4.9 | 67% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, time TBA | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +7.6 | 24% |
Spread is from Kentucky's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
14 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic | SF | 6-9 | SR | Transfer | #45 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 30.5 | 23.6 | 14.0 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Zoom Diallo | PG | 6-6 | JR | Transfer | #44 | 15.7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 29.6 | 22.7 | 12.7 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Alex Wilkins | PG | 6-6 | SO | Transfer | · | 17.8 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 29.8 | 21.6 | 11.4 | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| Justin McBride | PF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | #130 | 15.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 27.1 | 19.8 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| Malachi Moreno | C | 7-0 | SO | Returning | #28 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 22.6 | 18.6 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| Jerone Morton | PG | 6-4 | SR | Transfer | · | 7.8 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 24.9 | 18.5 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Franck Kepnang | C | 7-0 | SR | Transfer | #97 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 22.9 | 17.9 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 |
| Kam Williams | SG | 6-7 | JR | Returning | · | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 18.5 | 12.5 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Mason Williams | PG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | #136 | · | · | · | · | 10.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Trent Noah | SF | 6-6 | JR | Returning | #154 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10.6 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Reece Potter | C | 7-1 | SR | Returning | · | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 17.0 | · | · | · | · |
| Braydon Hawthorne | SF | 6-8 | SO | Returning | #63 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Ousmane N'Diaye | PF | 7-0 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Zyon Hawthorne | PG | 6-1 | FR | Recruit | #392 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.