Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 19.4
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 7:30 PM ET | North Carolina Central #341 | Home | −26.1 | 99% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Presbyterian #251 | Home | −19.0 | 96% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, time TBA | Florida Gulf Coast #271 | Home | −20.5 | 97% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET | North Carolina #33 | Away | +3.2 | 39% |
| 5 | Mon Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET | Jacksonville #263 | Home | −19.2 | 96% |
| 6 | Fri Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET | Georgia Tech #112 | Away | −7.5 | 75% |
| 7 | Thu Nov 26, 11:00 AM ET | Cincinnati #25 | Neutral at State Farm Field House ESPN Events Invitational - Magic Bracket | +3.1 | 39% |
| 8 | Fri Nov 27, 7:00 PM ET | UCF #47 | Neutral at State Farm Field House ESPN Events Invitational - Magic Bracket | −1.6 | 56% |
| 9 | Tue Dec 1, 5:00 PM ET | Boston College #111 | Home ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | −11.2 | 85% |
| 10 | Tue Dec 8, 9:00 PM ET | Duke #1 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Madison Square Garden Jimmy V Classic | +11.7 | 14% |
| 11 | Sun Dec 13, time TBA | Alabama A&M #308 | Home | −22.3 | 98% |
| 12 | Wed Dec 16, 6:00 PM ET | West Georgia #310 | Home | −23.5 | 98% |
| 13 | Sun Dec 20, 2:00 PM ET | Gardner-Webb #362 | Home | −30.9 | >99% |
| 14 | Tue Dec 29, time TBA | North Florida #335 | Home | −26.7 | 99% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 2, 1:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Away · conference | −0.7 | 52% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 5, 9:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Home · conference | +1.5 | 45% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 1:00 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Away · conference | +2.8 | 40% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 12, 7:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Home · conference | −1.1 | 54% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 16, 3:30 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Home · conference | −9.3 | 80% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 19, 9:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +7.1 | 26% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 4:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +6.7 | 27% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, 3:30 PM ET | LSU #53 | Home · conference | −4.7 | 66% |
| 23 | Wed Feb 3, 7:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +8.5 | 22% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 6, 8:30 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Away · conference | −6.0 | 71% |
| 25 | Tue Feb 9, 7:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 | Home · conference | +1.6 | 44% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 3:30 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Away · conference | +2.5 | 41% |
| 27 | Tue Feb 16, 7:00 PM ET | Kentucky #26 | Home · conference | +0.9 | 47% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 8:30 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +11.2 | 16% |
| 29 | Wed Feb 24, 9:00 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Away · conference | +3.2 | 39% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 6:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Home · conference | −3.8 | 63% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 7:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 | Away · conference | +5.8 | 30% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 12:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Home · conference | −10.2 | 82% |
Spread is from Georgia's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Dilione V | SG | 6-5 | SR | Transfer | #43 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 27.4 | 23.3 | 12.7 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Blue Cain | SG | 6-5 | SR | Returning | #67 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 27.8 | 22.6 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| Marcus Millender | PG | 5-11 | SR | Returning | · | 12.0 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 26.1 | 20.9 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Kanon Catchings | SF | 6-9 | JR | Returning | #39 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 23.3 | 18.7 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| James Scott | C | 6-11 | SR | Transfer | #176 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 17.9 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| Brady Dunlap | SF | 6-8 | JR | Transfer | #161 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Kareem Stagg | PF | 6-8 | SO | Returning | #73 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 12.8 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Hakeem Weems | PF | 6-9 | FR | Recruit | #266 | · | · | · | · | 9.8 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Mading Kuany | SF | 6-9 | FR | Recruit | #283 | · | · | · | · | 9.8 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Brandon Klatsky | SG | 6-4 | SR | Walk-on | · | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Markel Jennings | PG | 5-11 | JR | Walk-on | · | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Andrew Osasuyi | PF | 6-10 | SO | Transfer | · | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 11.9 | · | · | · | · |
| David Ugonna Ike | C | 7-0 | FR | International | #296 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Donovan Williams Jr. | PG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | #188 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Kemauri Millender | PG | 5-11 | JR | Transfer | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.