Atlantic Coast Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
32 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 13.6
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tue Nov 3, time TBA | Hampton #224 | Home | −9.0 | 79% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, time TBA | Georgia Southern #301 | Home | −13.0 | 88% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, time TBA | Eastern Kentucky #293 | Home | −12.2 | 87% |
| 4 | Sat Nov 14, time TBA | UNC Asheville #278 | Home | −10.9 | 84% |
| 5 | Tue Nov 17, time TBA | Norfolk State #337 | Home | −16.4 | 93% |
| 6 | Fri Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Home | +7.5 | 25% |
| 7 | Tue Nov 24, time TBA | Samford #215 | Home | −8.6 | 78% |
| 8 | Sat Nov 28, time TBA | Alcorn State #352 | Home | −18.2 | 95% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 2, 9:15 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | +4.6 | 34% |
| 10 | Sun Dec 6, 4:00 PM ET | Murray State #110 | Neutral at Bridgestone Arena Bad Boy Mowers Series | +0.1 | 50% |
| 11 | Wed Dec 9, 7:00 PM ET | The Citadel #348 | Home | −17.0 | 94% |
| 12 | Sat Dec 12, 12:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Kia Center Hall of Fame Series - Orlando | +18.3 | 5% |
| 13 | Sat Dec 19, 3:00 PM ET | Butler #80 | Neutral at Gainbridge Fieldhouse Indy Classic | +3.5 | 38% |
| 14 | Tue Dec 22, time TBA | Longwood #240 | Home | −9.9 | 82% |
| 15 | Wed Dec 30, 7:00 PM ET | Duke #1 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +18.5 | 5% |
| 16 | Sat Jan 2, 12:00 PM ET | Syracuse #56 | Away · conference | +8.7 | 21% |
| 17 | Tue Jan 5, 7:00 PM ET | Miami #24 | Home · conference | +10.3 | 18% |
| 18 | Sat Jan 9, 12:30 PM ET | Notre Dame #74 | Home · conference | +2.0 | 43% |
| 19 | Tue Jan 12, 9:00 PM ET | Clemson #19 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +14.4 | 10% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 19, 9:00 PM ET | NC State #29 | Home · conference | +9.3 | 20% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 23, 4:30 PM ET | SMU #50 | Away · conference | +9.5 | 19% |
| 22 | Wed Jan 27, 8:00 PM ET | Virginia #22 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +14.4 | 9% |
| 23 | Sat Jan 30, 12:00 PM ET | Louisville #9 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +14.4 | 9% |
| 24 | Wed Feb 3, 7:00 PM ET | Stanford #76 | Home · conference | +1.8 | 44% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 6, 2:15 PM ET | North Carolina #33 | Away · conference | +12.5 | 13% |
| 26 | Tue Feb 9, 9:00 PM ET | Boston College #111 | Away · conference | +2.2 | 42% |
| 27 | Tue Feb 16, 7:00 PM ET | Clemson #19 | Home · conference Flex Game: 2/16 or 2/17 | +10.3 | 17% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, time TBA | Pittsburgh #83 | Away · conference | +4.9 | 33% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 6:00 PM ET | Florida State #82 | Away · conference | +5.5 | 31% |
| 30 | Sat Feb 27, 12:00 PM ET | SMU #50 | Home · conference | +5.1 | 32% |
| 31 | Wed Mar 3, 8:30 PM ET | Wake Forest #72 | Away · conference | +6.4 | 28% |
| 32 | Sat Mar 6, 12:00 PM ET | Virginia Tech #52 | Home · conference | +4.6 | 34% |
Spread is from Georgia Tech's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 20.3 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 35.1 | 27.7 | 15.8 | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| Nasir Whitlock | PG | 6-2 | SR | Transfer | · | 20.5 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 35.0 | 27.1 | 14.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Victor Valdes | SF | 6-7 | SR | Transfer | · | 14.8 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 29.2 | 23.5 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Kam Craft | SG | 6-6 | SR | Returning | #58 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 21.4 | 18.4 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Jackson Fields | SF | 6-9 | RS SR | Transfer | · | 4.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 14.2 | 13.8 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| Kayden Allen | SG | 6-6 | FR | Recruit | #71 | · | · | · | · | 13.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Courtland Muldrew | SG | 6-3 | SO | Transfer | #109 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 12.7 | 12.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Kaiden Bailey | PG | 6-2 | FR | Recruit | #160 | · | · | · | · | 11.9 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Moustapha Diop | C | 6-11 | FR | Recruit | #116 | · | · | · | · | 11.9 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Cole Kirouac | C | 7-0 | SO | Returning | #237 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Cody Cross | PG | 6-2 | FR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Haiden Harper | PG | 6-1 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Ilja Kurucs | PF | 6-10 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Jackson McVey | C | 7-1 | SO | Transfer | #206 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Tylis Jordan | PF | 6-10 | SO | Transfer | #47 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.