Big East Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
31 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 16.9
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 6:30 PM ET | Loyola Maryland #340 | Home | −21.1 | 97% |
| 2 | Sat Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET | Maryland #97 | Home | −5.5 | 69% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, 6:30 PM ET | Delaware State #363 | Home | −24.9 | 99% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM ET | Clemson #19 Top 5 hardest | Away | +8.5 | 22% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, 6:30 PM ET | Navy #203 | Home | −12.4 | 87% |
| 6 | Sat Nov 21, 6:00 PM ET | Coppin State #364 | Home | −28.1 | 99% |
| 7 | Thu Nov 26, 2:30 PM ET | Texas #20 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Jenny Craig Pavilion Rady Children's Invitational | +6.8 | 27% |
| 8 | Wed Dec 2, 6:30 PM ET | UMass Lowell #258 | Home | −15.3 | 92% |
| 9 | Wed Dec 9, 6:30 PM ET | Rider #354 | Home | −22.8 | 98% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 12, 12:00 PM ET | North Carolina #33 | Home | +2.4 | 41% |
| 11 | Wed Dec 16, 6:30 PM ET | Sacred Heart #274 | Home | −15.8 | 92% |
| 12 | Sat Dec 19, 12:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Home · conference | −1.1 | 54% |
| 13 | Wed Dec 23, 3:00 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +10.2 | 18% |
| 14 | Wed Dec 30, 8:00 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Home · conference | −2.8 | 60% |
| 15 | Sun Jan 3, 12:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 | Home · conference | +3.5 | 38% |
| 16 | Wed Jan 6, 7:00 PM ET | St. John's #17 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +10.0 | 18% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 9, 12:00 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Home · conference | −1.7 | 56% |
| 18 | Fri Jan 15, 8:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Away · conference | +2.8 | 40% |
| 19 | Mon Jan 18, 6:30 PM ET | Butler #80 | Away · conference | −0.0 | 50% |
| 20 | Sat Jan 23, 6:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Home · conference | +0.2 | 49% |
| 21 | Tue Jan 26, 8:00 PM ET | UConn #13 | Home · conference | +6.3 | 28% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, 3:30 PM ET | Creighton #62 | Away · conference | +2.3 | 42% |
| 23 | Wed Feb 3, 8:30 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Home · conference | −3.7 | 63% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 6, 1:30 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Away · conference | +1.9 | 43% |
| 25 | Tue Feb 9, 7:00 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Away · conference | +1.3 | 45% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 13, 12:00 PM ET | Butler #80 | Home · conference | −4.1 | 65% |
| 27 | Tue Feb 16, 9:00 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Away · conference | +0.2 | 49% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 20, 1:00 PM ET | St. John's #17 | Home · conference | +5.8 | 30% |
| 29 | Tue Feb 23, 8:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Away · conference | +4.4 | 35% |
| 30 | Tue Mar 2, 6:30 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Home · conference | −2.2 | 58% |
| 31 | Sat Mar 6, 12:30 PM ET | Villanova #28 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +7.4 | 25% |
Spread is from Georgetown's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
16 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ Benson | PF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | · | 11.7 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 26.0 | 26.2 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Williams | SF | 6-7 | JR | Returning | #175 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 30.0 | 21.8 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| Vyctorius Miller | SG | 6-5 | JR | Transfer | #56 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 25.5 | 20.0 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Josiah Parker | SF | 6-7 | SO | Transfer | #208 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 21.8 | 19.9 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Chol Machot | C | 7-0 | JR | Transfer | · | 8.9 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 19.8 | 19.2 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 0.3 |
| Elmarko Jackson | PG | 6-3 | SR | Transfer | #22 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 17.8 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | SG | 6-4 | JR | Returning | #76 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 16.7 | 15.9 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Justin Caldwell | PF | 6-9 | FR | Recruit | #150 | · | · | · | · | 11.3 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Jaland Lowe | PG | 6-2 | SR | Transfer | #90 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Mason Moses | SG | 6-6 | JR | Walk-on | · | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Michael Van Raaphorst | PG | 6-3 | JR | Walk-on | · | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Seal Diouf | C | 6-9 | JR | Returning | #273 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Vince Iwuchukwu | C | 7-1 | SR | Returning | #30 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 23.1 | · | · | · | · |
| Athan Olivier IV | PG | 5-10 | FR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Gabriel Landeira | PG | 6-6 | RS FR | Returning | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Pedro Pastre | SF | 6-6 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.