Big East Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview

DePaul

#78of 364 D-I teams in the ATO model rating

Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played

Rating line · rank among 364

How it scores, how it defends, how fast it plays

Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.

Adjusted offense
101.1#140 of 364 · points per 100 possessions
Adjusted defense
91.1#31 of 364 · allowed per 100, lower is better
Tempo
67.0#241 of 364 · possessions per 40, #1 is fastest
Net rating
+9.9#78 of 364 · +6.8 points a game vs average

32 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 15.3

Projected 15-17 overall, 7-13 in the Big East

Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.

Overall
15-17
15.3 expected wins
Conference
7-13
7.4 expected wins
Non-conf.
8-4
8.0 expected wins

Five hardest games, lowest win probability

#Date (ET)OpponentSiteSpreadWin prob.
1Mon Nov 2, 8:00 PM ETWest Georgia #310Home−16.693%
2Thu Nov 5, 8:30 PM ETSouth Florida #67Home−0.351%
3Mon Nov 9, 9:00 PM ETAlabama A&M #308Home−15.792%
4Fri Nov 13, time TBANorthwestern #64Away+3.737%
5Tue Nov 17, 8:00 PM ETMaryland Eastern Shore #338Home−17.895%
6Tue Nov 24, 6:00 PM ETPurdue #21 Top 5 hardestNeutral at Suncoast Credit Union Arena Fort Myers Tip-Off - Beach Division+8.123%
7Thu Nov 26, 7:00 PM ETPittsburgh #83Neutral at Suncoast Credit Union Arena Fort Myers Tip-Off - Beach Division−0.752%
8Tue Dec 1, 8:00 PM ETNorth Alabama #330Home−17.895%
9Sat Dec 5, 5:30 PM ETSMU #50Home+1.345%
10Tue Dec 8, 9:00 PM ETMaine #347Home−19.696%
11Sat Dec 12, time TBASaint Louis #34 Top 5 hardestAway+8.522%
12Sat Dec 19, 8:30 PM ETSt. John's #17 Top 5 hardestAway · conference+11.814%
13Tue Dec 22, 8:00 PM ETCanisius #339Home−18.295%
14Wed Dec 30, 4:00 PM ETSeton Hall #58Home · conference+0.748%
15Sat Jan 2, 2:00 PM ETProvidence #46Home · conference+2.043%
16Wed Jan 6, 6:30 PM ETUConn #13 Top 5 hardestAway · conference+11.914%
17Sat Jan 9, 4:00 PM ETButler #80Home · conference−2.358%
18Wed Jan 13, 9:00 PM ETCreighton #62Away · conference+4.136%
19Sat Jan 16, 1:30 PM ETMarquette #68Away · conference+3.737%
20Tue Jan 19, 7:30 PM ETSt. John's #17Home · conference+7.724%
21Fri Jan 22, 7:00 PM ETVillanova #28Home · conference+5.232%
22Sat Jan 30, 2:00 PM ETXavier #71Home · conference−1.053%
23Wed Feb 3, 8:30 PM ETGeorgetown #66Away · conference+3.737%
24Sun Feb 7, 2:30 PM ETSeton Hall #58Away · conference+4.634%
25Wed Feb 10, 8:30 PM ETUConn #13Home · conference+8.023%
26Sat Feb 13, 12:00 PM ETProvidence #46Away · conference+6.328%
27Tue Feb 16, 9:00 PM ETGeorgetown #66Home · conference−0.251%
28Sat Feb 20, 3:00 PM ETXavier #71Away · conference+3.239%
29Tue Feb 23, 8:00 PM ETButler #80Away · conference+1.843%
30Sat Feb 27, 7:00 PM ETCreighton #62Home · conference+0.050%
31Wed Mar 3, 7:00 PM ETVillanova #28 Top 5 hardestAway · conference+9.120%
32Sat Mar 6, 7:00 PM ETMarquette #68Home · conference−0.451%

Spread is from DePaul's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.

16 players · sorted by projected minutes

Roster

Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.

Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.

PlayerPosHtClassTypeRivals PPGRPGAPGMPG Proj MPGProj PTSProj REBProj AST
Koree CottonSG6-6SRTransfer·13.95.32.527.120.19.73.71.8
Layden BlockerPG6-2SRReturning#4611.12.53.529.119.98.21.92.4
Ade PopoolaSG6-5SRTransfer·10.84.21.328.719.97.62.81.0
Wilson JacquesC7-0SRTransfer·8.88.81.127.419.66.56.00.8
Kahmare HolmesSG6-3JRTransfer·19.55.72.731.919.510.03.11.5
Noah MeeusenSG6-5JRTransfer·5.93.22.627.317.34.92.11.9
Magoon GwathC7-0JRTransfer·8.94.30.319.014.46.63.30.4
Kruz McClureSG6-6SOReturning#2115.01.41.518.612.53.91.11.0
Theo Pierre-JustinPF6-10JRReturning·4.02.60.915.512.23.62.20.7
Fabian FloresC7-2JRReturning·2.92.90.310.611.43.73.10.4
Noah SmithSF6-8FRRecruit#145····9.43.41.90.5
Nate KasherPG6-1SOWalk-on·0.40.80.41.85.92.20.80.5
Amsal DelalicSF6-8JRReturning·3.82.00.713.4····
Andrew JensenPF6-10FRRecruit#347········
Jonas JohnsonSF6-7SOWalk-on·········
Mason Lockett IVSG6-5FRRecruit#357········

PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.

Method · updated 2026-10-07

How these numbers work

The rating

Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.

The games

Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.

The roster

Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.

How it gets graded

Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.

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