Big East Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 20 in conference · expected wins 15.2
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 8:00 PM ET | Kansas City #359 | Home | −25.6 | 99% |
| 2 | Thu Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET | Le Moyne #311 | Home | −19.0 | 96% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET | Kansas State #101 | Away | −2.8 | 60% |
| 4 | Sun Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET | Iowa #31 | Neutral at Casey's Center | +4.6 | 34% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, 9:00 PM ET | Bethune-Cookman #256 | Home | −15.8 | 92% |
| 6 | Tue Nov 24, 5:30 PM ET | Michigan #2 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at T-Mobile Arena Players Era Sixteen | +14.2 | 10% |
| 7 | Tue Dec 1, 8:00 PM ET | Oral Roberts #318 | Home | −19.2 | 96% |
| 8 | Sat Dec 5, 1:00 PM ET | Nebraska #15 | Home | +6.0 | 29% |
| 9 | Sat Dec 12, 10:00 PM ET | Gonzaga #10 Top 5 hardest | Home | +7.6 | 24% |
| 10 | Tue Dec 15, 8:00 PM ET | Mount St. Mary's #295 | Home | −17.2 | 94% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 19, 8:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 | Home · conference | +3.3 | 38% |
| 12 | Tue Dec 22, 8:30 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Away · conference | +1.1 | 46% |
| 13 | Thu Dec 31, 5:00 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Home · conference | −2.6 | 59% |
| 14 | Sun Jan 3, 2:00 PM ET | UConn #13 | Home · conference | +6.1 | 29% |
| 15 | Wed Jan 6, 6:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Away · conference | +2.6 | 41% |
| 16 | Sat Jan 9, 12:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Away · conference | +1.7 | 44% |
| 17 | Wed Jan 13, 9:00 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Home · conference | −4.1 | 64% |
| 18 | Sat Jan 16, 3:30 PM ET | St. John's #17 | Home · conference | +5.6 | 30% |
| 19 | Wed Jan 20, 7:00 PM ET | Marquette #68 | Away · conference | +1.6 | 44% |
| 20 | Wed Jan 27, 7:00 PM ET | Villanova #28 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +7.2 | 26% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 30, 3:30 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Home · conference | −2.3 | 58% |
| 22 | Wed Feb 3, 9:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Home · conference | −0.1 | 50% |
| 23 | Sun Feb 7, 4:30 PM ET | UConn #13 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +10.1 | 18% |
| 24 | Wed Feb 10, 6:30 PM ET | St. John's #17 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +9.8 | 19% |
| 25 | Sun Feb 14, 3:00 PM ET | Seton Hall #58 | Home · conference | −1.4 | 55% |
| 26 | Wed Feb 17, 8:30 PM ET | Butler #80 | Away · conference | −0.3 | 51% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 24, 8:30 PM ET | Xavier #71 | Home · conference | −3.1 | 61% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 27, 7:00 PM ET | DePaul #78 | Away · conference | −0.0 | 50% |
| 29 | Tue Mar 2, 9:30 PM ET | Butler #80 | Home · conference | −4.5 | 66% |
| 30 | Sat Mar 6, 8:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Away · conference | +4.2 | 35% |
Spread is from Creighton's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson | PG | 5-11 | SR | Transfer | · | 17.6 | 2.7 | 6.7 | 35.8 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| Wes Enis | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 16.4 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 34.0 | 19.9 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Jasen Green | PF | 6-8 | SR | Returning | #177 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 28.4 | 18.5 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| BJ Davis | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | #167 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 22.2 | 17.2 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | C | 6-10 | JR | Transfer | #96 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 25.0 | 16.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| Austin Swartz | SG | 6-4 | JR | Returning | #51 | 10.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 21.6 | 15.1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Isaac Traudt | PF | 6-10 | SR | Returning | #57 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 18.9 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Katrelle Harmon | SG | 6-4 | FR | Recruit | #85 | · | · | · | · | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Hudson Greer | SG | 6-7 | SO | Returning | #46 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 13.7 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Trevon Carter-Givens | PF | 6-10 | FR | Recruit | #137 | · | · | · | · | 8.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Kayden Edwards | PG | 6-3 | SO | Transfer | #60 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Jackson McAndrew | PF | 6-10 | JR | Returning | #36 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 20.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Shane Thomas | SG | 6-3 | SR | Walk-on | · | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Fredrick King | C | 6-9 | SR | Transfer | #119 | 13.1 | 8.4 | 0.8 | 24.8 | · | · | · | · |
| Wesly Rosa | C | 7-2 | SR | Transfer | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.