Big 12 Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
31 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 13.3
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, time TBA | Abilene Christian #257 | Home | −12.1 | 87% |
| 2 | Sat Nov 7, time TBA | San Diego State #63 | Neutral at Pechanga Arena Bill Walton Classic | +3.7 | 37% |
| 3 | Tue Nov 10, time TBA | San Diego #179 | Home | −8.8 | 79% |
| 4 | Sat Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET | Providence #46 | Away | +8.1 | 23% |
| 5 | Wed Nov 18, time TBA | Portland #216 | Home | −10.7 | 83% |
| 6 | Tue Nov 24, 11:59 PM ET | Stanford #76 | Neutral at Acrisure Arena Acrisure Series | +1.7 | 44% |
| 7 | Tue Dec 1, time TBA | UTEP #275 | Home | −12.6 | 87% |
| 8 | Sat Dec 5, 10:00 PM ET | Colorado State #85 | Home | −1.4 | 55% |
| 9 | Sat Dec 12, time TBA | Central Arkansas #164 | Home | −8.0 | 77% |
| 10 | Tue Dec 15, time TBA | Cal Poly #252 | Home | −13.0 | 88% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 19, 5:30 PM ET | Purdue #21 | Neutral at Gainbridge Fieldhouse Indy Classic | +9.8 | 19% |
| 12 | Tue Dec 22, 9:00 PM ET | North Dakota #314 | Home | −15.6 | 92% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 29, time TBA | Denver #228 | Home | −11.1 | 84% |
| 14 | Sat Jan 2, 8:00 PM ET | Oklahoma State #60 | Away · conference | +6.4 | 28% |
| 15 | Tue Jan 5, 11:00 PM ET | Iowa State #7 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +12.4 | 13% |
| 16 | Sat Jan 9, time TBA | West Virginia #51 | Home · conference | +2.5 | 41% |
| 17 | Wed Jan 13, 9:00 PM ET | Kansas #14 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +14.1 | 10% |
| 18 | Sat Jan 16, 8:00 PM ET | Houston #3 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +14.4 | 9% |
| 19 | Tue Jan 19, time TBA | UCF #47 | Away · conference | +7.6 | 24% |
| 20 | Sat Jan 23, time TBA | Cincinnati #25 | Home · conference | +7.9 | 24% |
| 21 | Wed Jan 27, 8:00 PM ET | Baylor #43 | Away · conference | +8.7 | 22% |
| 22 | Sat Jan 30, time TBA | TCU #42 | Away · conference | +8.8 | 21% |
| 23 | Tue Feb 2, 11:00 PM ET | Texas Tech #8 | Home · conference | +12.1 | 14% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 6, time TBA | Kansas State #101 | Away · conference | +1.0 | 46% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 13, time TBA | Baylor #43 | Home · conference | +4.5 | 34% |
| 26 | Wed Feb 17, 9:00 PM ET | BYU #27 | Home · conference | +7.4 | 25% |
| 27 | Sat Feb 20, time TBA | Utah #98 | Away · conference | +1.4 | 45% |
| 28 | Wed Feb 24, 9:00 PM ET | Houston #3 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +18.4 | 5% |
| 29 | Sat Feb 27, 3:00 PM ET | Arizona State #69 | Home · conference | +1.1 | 46% |
| 30 | Wed Mar 3, 9:00 PM ET | Arizona #6 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +17.2 | 6% |
| 31 | Sat Mar 6, time TBA | Utah #98 | Home · conference | −2.7 | 60% |
Spread is from Colorado's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
16 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely | PF | 6-6 | SR | Transfer | · | 17.9 | 11.5 | 2.4 | 32.3 | 29.7 | 14.2 | 9.4 | 1.9 |
| Barrington Hargress | PG | 6-1 | SR | Returning | · | 14.7 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 32.5 | 27.4 | 13.3 | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| Noah Feddersen | C | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | · | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 21.2 | 20.0 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 0.9 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | C | 7-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 4.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 20.8 | 19.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Josiah Sanders | PG | 6-5 | SO | Returning | #151 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 17.9 | 16.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Jalin Holland | SG | 6-5 | SO | Returning | #173 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 17.5 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Rider Portela | SG | 6-6 | FR | Recruit | #229 | · | · | · | · | 11.2 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Ian Inman | SG | 6-6 | SO | Returning | #271 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10.5 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| David Gomez | PF | 6-9 | SO | Transfer | · | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 19.5 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Nick Randall | SF | 6-8 | JR | Walk-on | · | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Alex Dickeson | PG | 6-4 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Amir Jones | PG | 6-3 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Chase Hill | SF | 6-7 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Eric Jacobsen | C | 6-11 | FR | Recruit | #393 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Goc Malual | PF | 6-8 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Luke Mirhashemi | PG | 6-5 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.