Atlantic Coast Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 22.2
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET | Stetson #322 | Home | −24.7 | 99% |
| 2 | Fri Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET | American University #187 | Home | −18.2 | 95% |
| 3 | Mon Nov 9, 7:00 PM ET | North Dakota #314 | Home | −24.5 | 99% |
| 4 | Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM ET | Georgetown #66 | Home | −8.5 | 78% |
| 5 | Mon Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET | The Citadel #348 | Home | −26.7 | 99% |
| 6 | Mon Nov 23, 2:30 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Neutral at Lahaina Civic Center Southwest Maui Invitational | −5.9 | 70% |
| 7 | Tue Dec 1, 7:00 PM ET | Auburn #36 | Home ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | −4.8 | 67% |
| 8 | Sun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET | Le Moyne #311 | Home | −24.7 | 99% |
| 9 | Sat Dec 12, 4:30 PM ET | TCU #42 | Away | −1.6 | 56% |
| 10 | Tue Dec 15, 9:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Away | −8.7 | 79% |
| 11 | Sat Dec 19, 9:00 PM ET | Cincinnati #25 Top 5 hardest | Neutral at Heritage Bank Center | −0.5 | 52% |
| 12 | Tue Dec 22, 2:00 PM ET | Colgate #235 | Home | −20.2 | 97% |
| 13 | Tue Dec 29, 6:00 PM ET | Virginia #22 | Home · conference | −2.2 | 58% |
| 14 | Sat Jan 2, 1:00 PM ET | NC State #29 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +0.5 | 48% |
| 15 | Tue Jan 5, 9:00 PM ET | Boston College #111 | Away · conference | −9.6 | 81% |
| 16 | Sat Jan 9, 12:00 PM ET | Wake Forest #72 | Home · conference | −10.0 | 82% |
| 17 | Tue Jan 12, 9:00 PM ET | Georgia Tech #112 | Home · conference | −14.4 | 90% |
| 18 | Sat Jan 16, 4:00 PM ET | Pittsburgh #83 | Away · conference | −6.8 | 73% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 23, 12:00 PM ET | Florida State #82 | Home · conference | −11.3 | 85% |
| 20 | Wed Jan 27, 7:00 PM ET | Miami #24 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +1.4 | 45% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 30, time TBA | Duke #1 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +5.3 | 31% |
| 22 | Tue Feb 2, 8:00 PM ET | Virginia Tech #52 | Away · conference | −3.7 | 63% |
| 23 | Sat Feb 6, 12:00 PM ET | California #94 | Home · conference | −12.1 | 86% |
| 24 | Wed Feb 10, 7:00 PM ET | Syracuse #56 | Home · conference | −7.8 | 76% |
| 25 | Sat Feb 13, 3:15 PM ET | Florida State #82 | Away · conference | −7.2 | 74% |
| 26 | Tue Feb 16, 7:00 PM ET | Georgia Tech #112 | Away · conference Flex Game: 2/16 or 2/17 | −10.3 | 83% |
| 27 | Sat Feb 20, 12:00 PM ET | Stanford #76 | Home · conference | −10.1 | 82% |
| 28 | Tue Feb 23, 10:00 PM ET | SMU #50 | Away · conference | −3.3 | 62% |
| 29 | Tue Mar 2, 7:00 PM ET | Notre Dame #74 | Home · conference | −9.8 | 81% |
| 30 | Sat Mar 6, 12:00 PM ET | Louisville #9 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +5.1 | 32% |
Spread is from Clemson's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
15 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Certa | SG | 6-5 | JR | Transfer | #114 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 26.8 | 21.5 | 11.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Dylan Faulkner | PF | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | · | 17.2 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 26.1 | 21.5 | 11.8 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| David Fuchs | PF | 6-9 | SR | Transfer | · | 12.7 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 24.0 | 19.6 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 1.2 |
| Carter Welling | C | 6-11 | SR | Returning | · | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 20.8 | 19.2 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | SF | 6-7 | SR | Transfer | · | 8.0 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 23.6 | 18.7 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Ace Buckner | PG | 6-3 | SO | Returning | #132 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 18.3 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Chase Thompson | SF | 6-8 | SO | Returning | #132 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Amare James | SG | 6-6 | FR | Recruit | · | · | · | · | · | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Harris Reynolds | SG | 6-5 | FR | Recruit | #114 | · | · | · | · | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Will Stevens | C | 6-10 | FR | Recruit | #149 | · | · | · | · | 10.4 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Zac Foster | SG | 6-4 | SO | Returning | #118 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 18.7 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Dallas Thomas | SF | 6-9 | SO | Returning | #81 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Trent Steinour | C | 6-10 | SO | Returning | #213 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Dillon Hunter | PG | 6-4 | SR | Returning | #184 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 28.6 | · | · | · | · |
| Blake Davidson | PF | 6-9 | RS FR | Returning | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.