Southeastern Conference · men's CBB 2026-27 preview
Ratings as of 2026-10-07 · preseason, no 2026-27 games played
Rating line · rank among 364
Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions against an average D-I opponent. Net rating is the gap between them.
30 games · 18 in conference · expected wins 18.4
Each game gets a spread and a win probability from the ratings. Expected wins is the sum of those probabilities, rounded for the record.
| # | Date (ET) | Opponent | Site | Spread | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wed Nov 4, time TBA | SE Louisiana #299 | Home | −20.7 | 97% |
| 2 | Mon Nov 9, 9:00 PM ET | App State #186 | Home | −15.5 | 92% |
| 3 | Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET | Arizona #6 Top 5 hardest | Home | +5.2 | 32% |
| 4 | Tue Nov 17, 11:59 PM ET | West Virginia #51 | Neutral at Michelob ULTRA Arena Players Era Eight | −2.6 | 59% |
| 5 | Tue Nov 24, time TBA | Lipscomb #188 | Home | −16.8 | 94% |
| 6 | Tue Dec 1, 7:00 PM ET | Clemson #19 | Away ACC/SEC Men's Challenge | +4.8 | 33% |
| 7 | Sun Dec 6, time TBA | Eastern Kentucky #293 | Home | −21.2 | 97% |
| 8 | Sun Dec 13, time TBA | Alabama State #313 | Home | −23.3 | 98% |
| 9 | Tue Dec 15, time TBA | Middle Tennessee #177 | Neutral at Propst Arena Rocket City Classic | −13.7 | 89% |
| 10 | Sat Dec 19, 4:00 PM ET | Wisconsin #41 | Neutral at Bridgestone Arena Bad Boy Mowers Series | −0.7 | 53% |
| 11 | Tue Dec 22, time TBA | Lehigh #312 | Home | −22.6 | 98% |
| 12 | Tue Dec 29, time TBA | Morgan State #361 | Home | −30.6 | >99% |
| 13 | Sat Jan 2, 8:30 PM ET | Texas A&M #37 | Away · conference | +1.7 | 44% |
| 14 | Wed Jan 6, 7:00 PM ET | Tennessee #11 | Home · conference | +3.5 | 38% |
| 15 | Sat Jan 9, 1:00 PM ET | Georgia #40 | Home · conference | −2.8 | 60% |
| 16 | Tue Jan 12, 9:00 PM ET | Texas #20 | Away · conference | +4.9 | 33% |
| 17 | Sat Jan 16, 8:30 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Home · conference | −5.3 | 68% |
| 18 | Tue Jan 19, 7:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt #18 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +5.1 | 32% |
| 19 | Sat Jan 23, 3:30 PM ET | LSU #53 | Away · conference | −1.0 | 54% |
| 20 | Tue Jan 26, 7:00 PM ET | Mississippi State #88 | Home · conference | −9.4 | 80% |
| 21 | Sat Jan 30, time TBA | Alabama #23 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +4.9 | 33% |
| 22 | Sat Feb 6, 3:30 PM ET | Oklahoma #32 | Home · conference | −1.6 | 56% |
| 23 | Tue Feb 9, 7:00 PM ET | Florida #4 Top 5 hardest | Home · conference | +5.8 | 30% |
| 24 | Sat Feb 13, 6:00 PM ET | South Carolina #100 | Away · conference | −6.3 | 72% |
| 25 | Tue Feb 16, 9:00 PM ET | Arkansas #16 Top 5 hardest | Away · conference | +6.1 | 29% |
| 26 | Sat Feb 20, 12:00 PM ET | Missouri #48 | Home · conference | −4.2 | 65% |
| 27 | Wed Feb 24, 7:00 PM ET | LSU #53 | Home · conference | −5.0 | 68% |
| 28 | Sat Feb 27, time TBA | Kentucky #26 | Away · conference | +4.4 | 34% |
| 29 | Tue Mar 2, 10:00 PM ET | Ole Miss #59 | Away · conference | −1.2 | 54% |
| 30 | Sat Mar 6, 6:00 PM ET | Alabama #23 | Home · conference | +0.5 | 48% |
Spread is from Auburn's side: a minus sign means favored. Opponent numbers are ATO model ranks out of 364. Neutral sites carry no home edge.
17 players · sorted by projected minutes
Last season is each player's own line from the roster sheet. The projection columns are the 2026-27 per-game line from the best ball projection.
Swipe the table sideways; the player column stays put.
| Player | Pos | Ht | Class | Type | Rivals | PPG | RPG | APG | MPG | Proj MPG | Proj PTS | Proj REB | Proj AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | PF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | · | 14.4 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 36.0 | 26.7 | 10.1 | 7.1 | 1.4 |
| Adam Olsen | SF | 6-8 | SR | Transfer | · | 16.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 35.8 | 25.2 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | PG | 6-1 | JR | Returning | #31 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 32.3 | 24.8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| Kevin Overton | SG | 6-5 | SR | Returning | #247 | 14.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 31.7 | 24.6 | 11.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Bukky Oboye | C | 7-1 | JR | Transfer | · | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 17.7 | 17.8 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Owen Freeman | C | 6-10 | SR | Transfer | #190 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 11.9 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 1.1 |
| Caleb Williams | SF | 6-5 | FR | Recruit | #253 | · | · | · | · | 10.8 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Simon Walker | SG | 6-5 | SO | Returning | #114 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Blake Muschalek | SG | 6-3 | SR | Walk-on | · | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Drake Cardwell | SG | 6-5 | JR | Walk-on | · | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| George Kimble III | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | · | 18.0 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 29.7 | · | · | · | · |
| Kolby King | PG | 6-1 | SR | Transfer | #263 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 19.2 | · | · | · | · |
| Bradley Pearson | PG | 6-1 | JR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Jeremiah Bowman | SF | 6-7 | SO | Returning | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Joah Shay | PG | 5-6 | JR | Walk-on | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Mantas Rubstavicius | SF | 6-6 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Narcisse Ngoy | C | 7-0 | FR | International | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
PPG, RPG, APG, MPG are last season. Rivals is the recruit rank where the sheet has one. A dot means no figure.
Method · updated 2026-10-07
Ratings are net points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team, built from game results and roster information. Before games are played, the starting point is a season-ahead forecast from the roster sheet. Once the season starts, results take over.
Spreads are expected scores from each team's offense, defense and tempo, with a home edge of 2.04 points and none at neutral sites. Win probability uses a normal spread of 11 points. These are estimates of what is likely, not statements about what will happen.
Minutes and per-game lines come from a best ball projection built on last season's play, transfer and recruit information. Last-season lines and recruit ranks are facts from the roster sheet.
Every game prediction is logged before tip-off and compared with the final score. We publish where the model is close and where it misses, and we change it only when the results say to.