College Football · ATS Tracker
UCLA Bruins leads the Power 4 at +16.8 points a game against the spread; Washington Huskies trails at -13.1. Every FBS team's cover margin, and why the market has probably caught up already.
Which college football teams are beating the spread, and which ones keep letting bettors down? This tracker ranks every FBS team by its average margin against the spread (ATS) through Week 6: how many points a game it has finished ahead of, or behind, the closing line. A 7-point favorite that wins by 10 is +3. A 7-point underdog that loses by 3 is +4. Positive means the market has been underrating the team so far; negative means overrating it.
| # | Team | Conf | Avg ATS margin | ATS record | Next game (line) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | Big Ten | +16.8 | 5-0 | vs Wisconsin Badgers |
| 2 | Northwestern Wildcats | Big Ten | +13.5 | 4-1 | @ Michigan State Spartans (-8.5) |
| 3 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | ACC | +12.6 | 4-2 | @ California Golden Bears |
| 4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | SEC | +10.7 | 4-2 | @ Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5) |
| 5 | Utah Utes | Big 12 | +9.5 | 5-0 | @ Colorado Buffaloes (-16.5) |
| 6 | Baylor Bears | Big 12 | +9.3 | 4-1 | vs TCU Horned Frogs (-6.5) |
| 7 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | Big Ten | +8.4 | 5-1 | @ Oregon Ducks |
| 8 | Miami Hurricanes | ACC | +7.8 | 4-1 | vs Florida State Seminoles (-21) |
| 9 | Duke Blue Devils | ACC | +7.4 | 4-1 | vs North Carolina Tar Heels (-3) |
| 10 | Georgia Bulldogs | SEC | +7.3 | 5-1 | vs Auburn Tigers (-18.5) |
| # | Team | Conf | Avg ATS margin | ATS record | Next game (line) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Huskies | Big Ten | -13.1 | 1-5 | @ Purdue Boilermakers (+2.5) |
| 2 | Stanford Cardinal | ACC | -11.2 | 2-4 | vs Elon Phoenix |
| 3 | Colorado Buffaloes | Big 12 | -8.1 | 1-4 | vs Utah Utes (+16.5) |
| 4 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Big Ten | -6.9 | 2-3 | @ Maryland Terrapins (+4.5) |
| 5 | Vanderbilt Commodores | SEC | -6.8 | 3-3 | vs Arkansas Razorbacks (-6.5) |
| 6 | Clemson Tigers | ACC | -6.8 | 2-3 | vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers |
| 7 | Arizona State Sun Devils | Big 12 | -6.7 | 2-3 | @ Texas Tech Red Raiders (+12.5) |
| 8 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Big 12 | -6.7 | 2-3 | vs Arizona State Sun Devils (-12.5) |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | Big Ten | -6.3 | 2-3 | vs Penn State Nittany Lions (-6) |
| 10 | Maryland Terrapins | Big Ten | -5.5 | 3-3 | vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-4.5) |
Still perfect against the spread after four or more games: UCLA Bruins, Utah Utes, BYU Cougars.
The biggest numbers are often outside the Power 4, where markets have less information to work with early. New Mexico Lobos leads all of FBS at +19.3.
Top five
| # | Team | Conf | Avg ATS margin | ATS record | Next game (line) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico Lobos | Mountain West | +19.3 | 5-0 | @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors |
| 2 | Oregon State Beavers | Pac-12 | +19.2 | 6-0 | vs Washington State Cougars (-17.5) |
| 3 | Georgia State Panthers | Sun Belt | +17.7 | 5-0 | @ James Madison Dukes |
| 4 | James Madison Dukes | Sun Belt | +13.8 | 5-1 | vs Georgia State Panthers |
| 5 | UConn Huskies | Independent | +10.3 | 4-2 | Bye, or no line yet |
Bottom five
| # | Team | Conf | Avg ATS margin | ATS record | Next game (line) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marshall Thundering Herd | Sun Belt | -12.8 | 1-5 | Bye, or no line yet |
| 2 | San Diego State Aztecs | Pac-12 | -12.3 | 1-5 | vs Fresno State Bulldogs (+8.5) |
| 3 | Old Dominion Monarchs | Sun Belt | -10.9 | 1-5 | vs Georgia Southern Eagles (+3.5) |
| 4 | Charlotte 49ers | American | -10.2 | 2-4 | @ Temple Owls |
| 5 | UL Monroe Warhawks | Sun Belt | -10.1 | 1-4 | vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
Before you bet the top of this list, here is the test we ran. For every season from 2022 to 2025, we took each team's ATS margin through Week 6 and compared it with the same team's ATS margin for the rest of that season. If early covers predicted later covers, the two would move together. They didn't: the average correlation was -0.02, which is indistinguishable from zero.
| Season | Teams | Correlation | Early top 10, rest of season | Covered | Early bottom 10, rest of season | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 130 | -0.18 | -1.7 | 44% | +2.0 | 58% |
| 2023 | 133 | -0.01 | -2.5 | 40% | +0.4 | 57% |
| 2024 | 134 | -0.02 | +0.8 | 48% | -1.1 | 48% |
| 2025 | 136 | +0.13 | +1.2 | 59% | -2.1 | 46% |
The reason is simple. Sportsbooks see the same scores you do and move the next line to match. A team that has beaten the number by two touchdowns a game gets priced like it. So this list tells you who has surprised the market, and it is a good place to start digging. It is not a betting system on its own: the useful question is whether the team has actually changed (a new quarterback, a healthier roster, a coordinator who fits), or whether it has just been lucky and the line has already moved past it.
Closing spreads are DraftKings' numbers as published through ESPN's odds feed, and final scores come from ESPN. Regular-season games only, Weeks 0 through 6, and a team needs 3 or more games with a line to be ranked. A push counts as zero and shows as the third number in the record. "Next game" is the team's DraftKings line for the coming week as of publishing; lines move, so check the book before you act on one.
For entertainment and information. Nothing here is a guarantee of any result. If you bet, bet what you can afford to lose; help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.
Closing spreads are DraftKings' numbers via ESPN's odds feed; scores are ESPN's. The carry-forward test is rerun from 2022-2025 closing lines every time this page is built.
This page updates every week on its own, so bookmark it. Leave your email and we will tell you when we add a new free college tool. No set schedule, no spam, unsubscribe whenever.